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Cape of Good Hope? Mohawk? Clutching at straws obviously!
Very much so haha. Mohawk has disappointed me since his decent start at Chester. COGH wouldn’t have a hope!
Hermosa perhaps is a possible, he keeps mentioning how he has the option of stepping her up in trip.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Don’t think circus maximus would have a hope in hell either way in this
Just don’t think hes that good
Suppose he might improve a bit stepped back up in trip, but at the moment Circus Maximus is a Group 1 winner without being Group 1 class. Lucky to win the St James’s Palace.
Value Is EverythingHow about Hunting Horn? Pretty decent effort in the POW?
Miles off it?
Would need to be a pretty big shock result for him to feature.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Hunting Horn ran well – for him – in the POW, Frenchy; but tbh that’s not saying much. 6 1/2 lengths behind Crystal Ocean; 5 1/4 behind Magical. Simply is not good enough unless every runner ignores the pacemaker. Personally wouldn’t back him @ 100/1.
Value Is EverythingI’m not saying these horses would win but if Magical is injured and the others need a break from Epsom/RA or are running in the Irish Derby then surely it’s unthinkable AOB would run nothing? The way the race looks likely to cut up, if Enable doesn’t make it, it’s possible RegalReality could go off favourite! In that case some of the AOB also rans would have a chance at least.
I would say Frenchy is Enable doesn’t make it something nearer the front of the market will be drafted in and also Coolmore would throw something at the race from their 3yo brigade like Hermosa, it would be daft not to.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!As always, ante-post betting is about getting a run for your money. This is a difficult market to judge whether each horse is value or not. Albeit we know Sea Of Class probably won’t run, so backing her is a no no. 3/1 May turn out to be very big for Enable come race day. Hasn’t run yet this season, but vibes are certainly much better than previously. 3/1 Would be good value if (but only IF) Crystal Ocean and Magical don’t turn up. But – at this stage – that’t’s what I’d be betting on by taking that price. Then again 5/1 or 7/1 would be good prices for Crystal Ocean and Magiical if they turn up; but that looks a big IF at this stage… Indeed, imo prices for all the rest of this field won’t be as big as it would be in a normal ante-post race – because there’s so much doubt about the top of the market. Too much doubt for me to get involved at this stage.
Value Is EverythingWith Sea Of Class, Crystal Ocean and Magical all lengthening in the market… And the three around them, Enable, Circus Maximus and Regal Reality shortening… imo Probability of SOC, CO and M being absent is sky high; making Enable @ 5/2 now worth taking.
Value Is EverythingAgreed. I expect we’ll be out to get her at that kind of price on the day, but in the meantime plenty of scope to beat SP.
Some chopper on the RUK website did a preview of the Coral-Eclipse and made the point that Stoute regularly does run horses in all three of the Prince of Wales, Coral-Eclipse AND King George…although I wonder if perhaps the 2019 situation is a little different with Crystal Ocean. I doubt many of the previous Stoute runners competed on soft ground at Royal Ascot.
AOB & co still not decided on Circus Maximus plans by the sound of it, although I would guess that he’d rock up here. A Coral-Eclipse is worth a bit more for a stallion’s CV than a Sussex Stakes I’d say.
I think you’ve made an excellent point regarding soft ground and Crystal Ocean, LS. Soft ground – particularly a truly run race on soft ground – usually takes longer to recover from than good or good-firm (something also against Magical’s participation). But added to that… Crystal Ocean stays a lot further and therefore particularly suited by a test of stamina at 1m2f (a truly run race on soft going) rather than a test of speed at the trip (slowly run and/or on good-firm). So there’s a fairly big chance he won’t be as effective in an Eclipse… Which all means Crystal Ocean is less likely to run at Sandown than previous Stoute Prince Of Wales winners/runners. Makes sense to go straight to the King George.
Value Is Everything
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