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Grey Dolphin,
Richard Burton is available for the Foxhunters, but he’s banned for the amateur races on the second and third days of the Festival – hence the change of rider on Any Currency in the NH Chase.
Oddly, if somebody wanted him to ride against professionals on the first day of the meeting, he’d be allowed to do so. His ban only applies on days when there are races restricted to amateur jockeys.
AP
I enjoy the comment on this thread, in an area where I have very little knowledge…keep up the good work lads.
However, this is one hunter chase I always have a bet in and I will stick to what I have seen in televised hunter chases …. Trust Fund will do for me.I enjoy the comment on this thread, in an area where I have very little knowledge…keep up the good work lads.
However, this is one hunter chase I always have a bet in and I will stick to what I have seen in televised hunter chases …. Trust Fund will do for me.Hi Shabby
You are missing a real goldmine for punters, I managed 4 out of 4 last week in Hunter Chases incl a pretty obvious 33-1 shot.
Check my post reviewing this weeks Hunter Chases on daily lays and plays, subtitle "Notes on this weeks entries"No Roulez Cool???
Probably not for me now. He’s one of the very few genuine class acts in the contest, but best price 7-2 about a horse still to take on a properly undulating track in the heat of battle is insanely short to me.
At 33-1, last year’s Connollys Red Mills Intermediate Final winner Drybrook Bedouin looks overpriced to me, not least with effectiveness over the New Course duly proven.
gc
You surprise me Jeremy.
Roulez Cool looks so far in front of anything else on form. Indeed, does not need to run to form to win. The undulating track is a worry, agree. But he’s performed well at Autail, so is used to strange racecourses (if not undulating). Now best priced 3/1 nrnb, bog. I’d rather back him at that price, estimate he could go off around 7/4 to 2/1. Must surely stand a better than 25% chance? Most worrying to me is; an expert in the foxhunter field thinks he is poor value.
Value Is EverythingRoulez Cool looks so far in front of anything else on form. Indeed, does not need to run to form to win. The undulating track is a worry, agree. But he’s performed well at Autail, so is used to strange racecourses (if not undulating). Now best priced 3/1 nrnb, bog. I’d rather back him at that price, estimate he could go off around 7/4 to 2/1. Must surely stand a better than 25% chance? Most worrying to me is; an expert in the foxhunter field thinks he is poor value.
I too keep a very close eye on Hunter Chasers /Pointers and I’d have to agree with graysonscolumn, especially as any advice he’s given me has proved to be pretty sound
Roulez Cool news from Robert W-C:
"He has suffered a minor setback and missed a bit of work, but Cheltenham is still the plan; it has to be an outside chance that he won’t go.
"He suffered a small injury to his gluteal muscle, so it is literally a pain in the backside."
I for one happen to think that Roulez Cool is poor value. Yes, he may have over half a stone in hand on current ratings but: he has yet to prove himself beyond an extended 3m, he is out of Makounji who was best at 2m/2m5f, he only narrowly beat Drybrook Bedouin (who is 25/1) at Larkhill when holding a big fitness advantage, and he has reportedly suffered a recent training setback. At around 3/1 I would concede that he represents extremely poor value.
The aforementioned Drybrook Bedouin already has winning course experience and although he didn’t do much for the form last time out Larkhill wouldn’t be his track.
Half a length separated Baby Run and Turthen last year yet the former is about 6/1 and the latter (who won a Ladies Open in an incredibly fast time last time out) is about 20s – no prizes for guessing where the value lies there.
Gentle George has arguably more potential than anything in the field, but perhaps this is a year too soon…?
Fantastic insights lads, many thanks. Looks a good race for a bet with SWC very short on a young inexperienced horse with unproven stamina- sound familiar?
I just want Isabel and Chesnut Annie to run a mighty race and come back safe; I’m nervous already. No bets on this one.
Update on my previous post – as many of you will have noticed by now, Richard Burton has been secured for the ride on Gentle George now, with Cedrus Libani not taking his chance and Unowatimeen having been balloted out.
It’s one of the pratfalls of the balloting system that Unowatimeen – trained by last year’s successful handler Sheila Crow and last seen winning at Horseheath, just as Cappa Bleu had done in his preparation – has to miss out on account of no previous hunter chase wins, whilst the likes of James Pine just about squeaked in on 2008 hunter chase form despite having done little since (his second to the idling Noakarad De Verzee in the Mount Argus at Uttoxeter last season flattered him hugely on the evening), but rules is rules, and Mrs Crow would have known about them.
Her loss is Steve Flook’s gain, though, and although I tend to share the view of Happy Jack that this risks being a year too soon, I’d be happier at the prospects of Burton getting a young horse around intact and with a fighting chance than most of his contemporaries.
The successes of Cappa Bleu, Castle Mane and Earthmover in the last 12 years do, of course, indicate being a seven-year-old is not an outright absolute bar to victory.
gc
Jeremy Grayson. Son of immigrant. Adoptive father of two. Metadata librarian. Freelance point-to-point / horse racing writer, analyst and commentator wonk. Loves music, buses, cats, the BBC Micro, ale. Advocate of CBT, PACE and therapeutic parenting. Aspergers.
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