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I must admit I generally don’t lay horses but would be very confident of collecting if I laid Nyaleti, don’t rate her at all.
Think im with you on that judge, shes peaked, probably rated slightly higher than she should. E
Nyaleti was beaten 2 heads in the May Hill. The rating she got for that run is not far from her best.
It had been suggested by jockeys that she should try further but she looked like a mile was too far, giving way half way through the final furlong. Back to 7F should be ideal.
Some of the lightly raced ones may come on but when punters get right down to it tomorrow, I think they will take the bird in the hand approach and back Nyaleti.
Clemmie fans will be hoping Nyaleti wins the Rockfel. Johnston’s filly is the only one to win from the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes the O’Brien filly won, that is from 14 attempts since.
Normally I might have been tempted to swerve Nyaleti but the rest of this field looks below average for a Rockfel.
In the Royal Lodge I added a decent single on Nelson at 11/4 yesterday. I doubled him at 10/3 with Polydream for the Boussac but the more I look at the Royal Lodge, the more I feel there are going to be defectors and a really small field with Nelson very skinny.
I would still take 15/8 Nelson as quickly as possible if I wasn’t on already. He’s shaping like a banker for me.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I think Heartache has been made a non runner, Middle.
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I think Heartache has been made a non runner, Middle.
Just seen that. Ground presumably?
Clemmie looks far better than the rest for me and the 6/4 available is a cracking price in my opinion.
Betty F, for me.
She won her maiden on the July course. Interestingly, only one juvenile this season has posted quicker closing sectionals on the course this season, and that was Glorious Journey who has since bolted up in a Group 3. The only horses to run the finish quicker than him, in any grade, were those running in the July Cup. When you consider that Brando ran the final 3 furlongs in 33.1 seconds, the fastest in the Timeform archive, and Betty F has ran them in 34.05, ‘only’ six lengths slower. She did so despite looking a little raw and not given an overly hard time of it by Mosse – I think that’s a special bit of form.
I took some 9/1 on Different League today, it was crazy value in my opinion. Already on at 8/1 as well.
She finished ahead of Clemmie last time they met. She won’t mind soft ground and she’s an Albany winner who was sitting only a point less than a novice stakes winner. Betty F made a good start to her career but the race has been bobbins, 6 unplaced from 6 runs. It was crazy to see her 10/1 and the market is adjusting at 18/1 with Heartache out of it now.
Threading could be anything but at a third of the French filly’s odds she had to be a pass. I reckon Clemmie is way short given the form of her Group 2 win not panning out and the softening ground that was deemed a factor in her coming out of the Moyglare. Any more rain would surely be a big concern.
There may be a breakthrough performance to come but I make Different League the best in this field at the moment. The Betty F stopwatch figure looks dodgy to me. Sometimes the clock lies and the form of that race she won has so far shown that she beat nothing of any note at all in the also rans who have made no impact in maidens.
Allez France I hope here.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Good luck to all Betty F supporters today she is the dark horse in the mix and could be anything. I was there when she won her maiden and it was impressive being by Frankel she’ll have the turn of foot to see her up the stiff finish that has caught AOB horses out in the past and Noseda has been allowed to give her a pre race gallop down the Rowley Mile and was very pleased with the result. Two year olds can progress leaps and bounds after their first run so I’m not worried that she didnt beat anything of note she’s a tough little filly.
The rain has stayed away overnight and she’s a good each way bet.
Hoping Threading will run the race of her life too win today..both have good chances to beat Clemmie.Will be there today and getting to the pre parade early to get a good look at them all..great days racing ahead.. Good luck..Jac
Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...I’ve just backed Threading in this at 10/3.
I feel she has more in her favour than Clemmie and more room for improvement too.
Added Betty F.
Not really a speed figures man but put her up on here as a possible early doors due to the visual impression, if the speed figures back that up then it’s happy days.
Steve,
9s Different League looks crazy – who was offering that?
I see Andrew Balding has an outsider in this – Crossing The Line. I don’t know the Flat well enough but something tells me Balding isn’t one for tilting at windmills – is that the case with him? I might be wrong.
Balding has had 8 winners from 78 runs with 2yos since 1st April this year. That’s not a great strike rate, in my opinion, so I wouldn’t be particularly bullish on his placing of Crossing The Line.
EDIT: Racing UK just announced that AOB has had travel issues getting to Newmarket this morning, hopes to be there at least an hour before the first race.
Think Clemmie might drift- already out to 7-4 and the long absence is a slight concern as well as the travel issues.
I did listen to the racing post podcast last night where one of the commentators was very bullish on Clemmie- apparently he’s been to the yard and she’s really come to herself the last two weeks. However I wonder if she’s in the same class as her full brother and visually for me, Betty F has been the most impressive of the principals.
Buckets of money for Threading and Different League- and zero for Clemmie and Betty F- if the market is anything to go by I’ve read another one badly again
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