Cheltenham AP Register 2010

[Euro]

Update
Arkle
£20w Sizing Europe @ 10/1

Champion Hurdle
£20w Hurricane Fly NR
£15w Go Native @ 6/1
£15w Zaynar @ 84/10
free £30 bet on Solwith from Ladbrokes

RSA
£15w Long Run @ 5/1

Ryanair
£15ew Planet of Sound @ 14/1
£10w Tranquil Sea @ 68/10

World Hurdle
£20w Karabak (w/o Big Bucks) @ 32/10
£5w Karabak @ 86/10

Gold Cup
£25w Denman @ 34/10
£5w Aran Concerto @ 47
£10w Cooldine @ 145/10

Triumph Hurdle
£5w Pistolet Noir @ 195/10
£10w Pistolet Noir @ 25/1

Update:

Arkle
£20w Sizing Europe @ 10/1

Champion Hurdle
£20w Hurricane Fly NR
£20w Go Native @ 11/2
£20w Zaynar @ 86/10
free £30 bet on Solwith from Ladbrokes

RSA
£25w Long Run @ 48/10
£10w Punchestowns @ 92/10

Coral Cup
£15ew James De Vassy @ 20/1

Ryanair
£15ew Planet of Sound @ 14/1
£25w Tranquil Sea @ 11/2

World Hurdle
£20w Karabak (w/o Big Bucks) @ 32/10
£10w Karabak @ 95/10

Gold Cup
£40w Denman @ 7/2
£5w Aran Concerto NR
£20w Cooldine @ 145/10

Triumph Hurdle

£15w Pistolet Noir NR

[thehorsesmouth]

Neptune: QUEL ESPRIT £10 e/w 8/1

RSA: PUNCHESTOWNS £10 e/w 4/1

Albert Bartlett: ENTERPRISE PARK £10 e/w 13/2

Jewson: RIVALISTE £5 e/w 7/1

William Hill: BENSALEM £5 e/w 13/2

[thehorsesmouth]

An update on my bets:

Supreme Novices: DUNGUIB 3/1 (with Irish-trained bumper winner)

Arkle: CAPTAIN CEE BEE 7/1 now: 10/3

William Hill: BENSALEM 13/2 now: 13/2

Neptune Nov Hurdle: RITE OF PASSAGE 14/1 now: 5/2
QUEL ESPRIT 8/1 now: 8/1

RSA: PANDORAMA 12/1 now: NR
WEAPON’S AMNESTY 16/1 now: 10/1
PUNCHESTOWNS 4/1 now: 4/1

Champion Chase: BIG ZEB 8/1 now: 8/1
KALAHARI KING 10/1 now: 5/1

Champion Bumper: HIDDEN UNIVERSE 20/1 now: 7/1

Jewson: RIVALISTE 7/1 now: 7/1

Ryanair: JONCOL 10/1 now: NR

Triumph: PITTONI 25/1 now: 25/1

Albert Bartlett: QUEL ESPRIT 5/1 now: 7/1
ENTERPRISE PARK 13/2 now: 13/2

[Blunkett]

In the thinking that if Dunguib goes for the Champion, then Get Me Out Of Here wins the Supreme,but, if Dunguib stays in the Supreme, GMOOH goes for the County, i’ve just done the following, NRNB

£20 Get Me Out Of Here @ 7/1 – Supreme

£20 Dunguib @ 5/1 – Champion.

Plus a sneaky £5 DOUBLE.

[Big Bucks]

Dunguib runs in the Supreme.

[Blunkett]

Well there we are then!

[stilvi]

Would probably try and have around 90% of bets before the meeting starts so will topping these up when NRNB kicks in. The idea would be for one bet to cover the others and if a second comes in we are in profit. In no better than an average position at the moment. All bets are each way and I rarely take less than 8/1 ante-post.

Supreme: QUANTITATIVEEASING (20/1)

NR (0/5) – this is the race I would have targeted but on the Kempton run he would have had no chance.

Neptune: QUANTITATIVEEASING (14/1)

(1/5) – doubtful stayer and not good enough.

RSA: WEIRD AL (12/1)

(3/5) – very solid just a case of whether that will be good enough – would like to add Burton Port if confirmed.

Arkle: TATANIANO (33/1 & 20/1 – last April)

(2/5) – haven’t totally given up but Walsh will have to produce the ride of his career – Captain Cee Bee should win with a blemish free round but I can’t trust AP to produce one of those so will not be going in again.

Triumph – NOTUS DE LA TOUR (25/1)

(3/5) – open race – if he runs and the ground doesn’t dry up has as good a chance as any.

World Hurdle – W/O BIG BUCKS – TIDAL BAY (8/1) & TIME FOR RUPERT (10/1)

(3/5) Big Bucks will win – of the other two I am increasingly leaning towards Time For Rupert particularly after reading that Brian Harding was going be on Tidal Bay – hopefully that was a misprint

Bumper – UP OU THAT (14/1) & CUE CARD (33/1)

(3/5 & 1/5) – open race – the Weld pair are as short as Dunguib was which can’t be right – Up Ou That looks the part and should improve considerably racing on quicker ground – I should have waited to back Cue Card.

Champion Hurdle – Medermit (20/1)

(3/5) – solid chance in another open race.

Added a few more – handicaps have been very difficult as you have to be pretty exposed just to get in

Ryanair – POQUELIN (5/1)

(3/5) – clearly better chance if it dries up.

Albert Bartlett – TELL MASSINI (5/1 & 9/2)

(4/5) – most solid of the bets should go very close

William Hill Trophy – THE PACKAGE (10/1)

(2/5) – have my doubts about him getting in but obviously others don’t

Jewson – THE HOLLINWELL (12/1)

(2/5) – hopefully is a lot better than he has actually shown so far

Festival Bumper – CUE CARD (33/1)

(2/5) – couldn’t resist another go, bet looks a little better now I know he has been entered

RSA – BURTON PORT (25/1)

(2/5) – solid profile – keeping my fingers crossed AP doesn’t get offered the ride

Further update:-

Jewson – HEY BIG SPENDER (12/1)

(3/5) – at first glance has plenty of weight but to counter has course form and scope for more improvement

Coral Cup – WISHFULL THINKING (14/1) & MOURAD (16/1)

(2/5 & 3/5) – Wishfull Thinking looked to be very progressive last time but still inexperienced and all form right handed; Mourad will surely run here in preference to stayers, course form and should go well

Martin Pipe – PEVERIL (14/1) & BORN AGAIN (25/1)

(3/5 & 1/5) – Peveril tough and progressive beat a useful horse last time; Born Again a strong travelling potential chaser who should improve on the better ground

Fred Winter – NOTUS DE LA TOUR (8/1)

(4/5) – Just in case they are silly enough not to go for the Triumph

Pertemps – ALFIE SHERRIN (6/1)

(3/5) – Tried hard to resist and very short on experience but the Newbury race is working out exceptionally well

Neptune – WISHFULL THINKING (25/1)

(2/5) – Just in case he mises the Coral

National Hunt – PRESENTING FOREVER (33/1)

(3/5) Four miles should help (Presenting out of a Roselier mare) and Wogan form does not look too bad

Kim Muir – PALYPSO DE CREEK (20/1)

(2/5) – Should cope with the drying ground and looks to have a solid chance – may add Shillingstone if the ground continues to dry

So far have one non-runner but fearing Quantitativeeasing will be taken out of both races and there might be more woe to come with Tataniano and Notus De La Tour. Hopefully it will all balance out.

[turner07]

Put these two on about a week ago, got about £10 more on with accumulators etc, may put a few more on before next week but not sure yet!

Dunguib 4/5
Garde Champetre 9/4
Big Bucks 8/13

£35 ew treble.

Long run 5/1
Garde Champetre 9/4
VLV 3/1

£1.50 ew patent

Bit worried about VLV as I think she may run in the champion!!

[moehat]

Just added Muirhead 100/1 ew for the Ch Hurdle. Not even sure that he’s running, but I’m convinced there’s a 100/1 winner out there somewhere.

[Zarkava]

I’ve had £10 on General Miller for the Supreme at 44s and £10 on Katchit for the World Hurdle at 40s. I backed him last year for it at 33s and laid it off after Aintree, but King sounds extremely bullish about Katchit and sounded a lot more positive about him than Big Buck’s even.

[Jamsym]

November Bet
£4000 win Dunguib 5/2 Paddy Power

Todays Bets
£200 win Get Me Out Of Here 11/2 Paddy Power
£1000 win Go Native 7/2 Will Hill NRNB/BO
£1000 win Secant Star 8/1 Will Hill NRNB/BO
£333 Tell Massini 9/2 Victor CHan
£300 e/w Lake Legend 14/1 Paddy Power NrNB/BO
£667 Tell Massini 4/1 Paddy Power NRNB/BO

£20e/w Lucky 15 Paddy Power
Secant Star 7/1 1/4 1,2,3
Lake Legend 14/1 1/4 1,2,3,4
Go Native 3/1 1/4 1,2,3
Tell Massini 4/1 1/4 1,2,3

[thehorsesmouth]

Added these bets recently:

Cooldine €10e/w @ 7/2 without Kauto Star

Quevega €10 win @ 2/1

Deutschland €10e/w 12/1

Dunguib + Cee Bee dbl €5 @ 15/2
Dunguib + Garde Ch dbl €5 @ 9/2
Dunguib + Quevega dbl €5 @ 5/1

Voler La Vedette + Kauto dbl €5 @ 6/1

[Ian]

Supreme Novices

£50 Win Menorah 11/1

Champion Chase

£50 Win Twist Magic 10/1

Champion Hurdle

£100 Win Go Native 6/1

Well thats me done, no further bets at this festival. £400 profit in total. Started so well with Menorah. The other two disappointing especially Go Native.

[moehat]

I’m going to have a bonfire with my ante post slips after tomorrow; most of them being non runners..note to self, no bets next year till nrnb.

[The Ante-Post King]

Supreme Novices

£50 Win Menorah 11/1

Champion Chase

£50 Win Twist Magic 10/1

Champion Hurdle

£100 Win Go Native 6/1

Well thats me done, no further bets at this festival. £400 profit in total. Started so well with Menorah. The other two disappointing especially Go Native.

Well done Ian,i like your discipline!

[Gerald]

(Looking at the situation in reverse, Mon Mome has a good chance of coming 3rd or 4th in the Gold Cup.)

Gerald

Didn’t realise I had wrote that as long ago as early June.

[Gerald]

Been having/will be having £5 a week on Celestial Halo for the Champion Hurdle and Big Zeb for the Champion Chase until something bad/good happens to them.

[Author]

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