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Sha Tin 9 am
Ka ying victory was an effortless winner over five furlongs on debut needing only to be pushed out to win. He beat sailing Ruby who had the advantage of the railside. They both step up immediately in trip and are short priced here.
Ka ying victory would have been my idea of a progressive winner but has a huge weight of expectation on him not to mention a very short price.
CHANCHENG GLORY
Each way
Has the benefit of three runs Including a debut win over five and has already stepped up to six furlongs running third both times. A bit of potential value against the principals here.
SUN BUTTE
win
Mombetsu 1250
narrow second over an inadequate trip on debut for new yard.
stayed on in a manner to suggest this race’s only course and distance winner can replicate win here on this day last year.
he was odds on favourite then and should go off a nice price today
A change of device means I cannot reproduce that world symbol at the moment
but
Sun Butte wins easily to land step 22.Kawasaki 1105
Attract voice
Win
Seven length winner on last outing reversing four lengths defeat by reoppossing rival.Maurezen star
Each way
Two wins last year for old yard over this trip in September and on this day at morioka.
Outside chance of repeat performance here on latest run for new yard a good fourth and second recently. A month between penultimate run and win last year similar preparation now.Attract voice Winner step 23
kawasaki 11:40
vincenzo
win
belated improvement to land win coming from off the pace here maybe more to come.
Dazzling sky
each way
places in big fields in Tokyo outside hopes here. Change of scenery.
****They have opened up as near favourites
REVERSE FORECASTVincenzo wins and beats Dazzling sky into second place
Forecast of ¥6:62Step 24 and step 25
12:15 Kawasakithis field is packed with course winners and course and distance winners.
very little to go on so small stakes on these three runners in the hope of snagging a decent priced horse.
Peace flag
win
Shadow fax
win
Narino baron
Each way
***********
Peace flag opens up at 50s so is an each way runner.Kawasaki 12:50
Blue Tourmaline
Each way
Identical build up and draw to last years win on 28 th August.First runner of the month hopefully
Sonada 1230
Win wood tail
Win
30 length winner on debut for new yard 14 days ago.
No bet if odds on, on first show1/66!!!!
no bet
the two to oppose him with are thanks to the cover stall 1 one drawn alongside the favourite, whilst stall 10 means all three of these will meet on the traverse on a turning track and on a track with a good draw bias.
Yoshino Ricky
Poschiavo
Both each wayPhysics upheld as stall ten runner gets to within 2 lengths of a previous 30 length winner.
Yoshino Ricky 2nd @ 5/1 well backed from bigger odds
I got 6/1 so small step 26 on the road for the month. If I can get to forty steps this month I’ll be halfway.Ohi 1210
Ranryo O
Each way
Not seen since June.
Very lightly raced and runs off same trajectory as last year. Won four consecutive times from April to 7th September. Not in same form this year but did start run of soaring appearowith a win in April two more unplaced runs in late may and June. Has beaten two of these on last years winning run.*******
Runner up @ 9/1 from 10s
Another step 28
1155 mombetsu ( Japan)
SUDA WORLD
Win
three times a course winner and has won at the trip and over six furlongs two from the last four runs.
Did not appreciate the extended mile last time a long way behind a horse he beat comfortably over this trip the previous run. If handling the going will be a handful under this jockey from a low draw.
Ohi 12;50
Suave Johann
Win
Absent two years when winning September 21.
Absent again September last year back again here and has a huge strike rate targeted at this race.A week on with the benefit of yard form and race fitness hopefully a result here.
Sha Tin
1110
Super sunny sing
Win
Last seen in the Hong Kong derby when eighth this drop back to a sharp seven holds no fears for this runner from stall 1. Rattled off a four timer in lead up to derby including over this trip.
May need this run but certainly the class horse here.
but
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