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I was thinking there was already a thread for this race, because I wanted to read it to find out who is likely to run.
I do so hope this race goes ahead – there are questions marks about all bar a couple of the entries.
I am amazed the going is described as Good to Soft at the moment.
I won’t bother putting up the entries until the weights are clarified tomorrow.
If Air Force One is already jocked up, does that mean he is a probable runner, or has it just been done because they know who the jockey would be if he did run?
PS The Novices’ Chase at 1.40 looks a cracker.
Well here they are
1 -21 Barbers Shop 64 7 11-10 N J Henderson 57 159 164 169
b g Saddlers´ Hall (IRE) — Close Harmony (Bustino)2 11- Denman 330 9 11-10 P F Nicholls 70 R Walsh 182 182 189
ch g Presenting — Polly Puttens (Pollerton)3 231 Exotic Dancer 41 9 11-10 Jonjo O´Neill 82 174 157 183
b g Turgeon (USA) — Northine (FR) (Northern Treat (USA))4 161 Joe Lively 14 10 11-10 C L Tizzard 50 Joe Tizzard 166 158 169
b g Flemensfirth (USA) — Forest Gale (Strong Gale)5 194 Or Noir De Somoza 21 7 11-10 D E Pipe 69 168 136 166
bl g Discover D´Auteuil (FR) — Planete D´O (FR) (Son Of Silver)6 27P Snoopy Loopy 14 11 11-10 P Bowen 50 S E Durack 165 165 173
ch g Old Vic — Lovely Snoopy (IRE) (Phardante (FR))7 11- An Accordion 333 8 11-6 D E Pipe 69 152 115 164
b g Accordion — Jennie´s First (Idiots Delight)8 -16 Imperial Commander 43 8 11-6 N A Twiston-Davies 45 156 168 169
b g Flemensfirth (USA) — Ballinlovane (Le Moss)9 -61 Madison Du Berlais 70 8 11-6 D E Pipe 69 159 139 171
b g Indian River (FR) — Anais Du Berlais (FR) (Dom Pasquini (FR))10 -31 Niche Market 49 8 11-6 R H Buckler 67 137 136 149
b g Presenting — Juresse (IRE) (Jurado (USA))11 225 Air Force One 43 7 11-5 C J Mann 67 Noel Fehily 159 164 174
ch g Lando (GER) — Ame Soeur (FR) (Siberian Express (USA))12 4P2 Albertas Run 43 8 11-5 Jonjo O´Neill 82 165 141 183
b g Accordion — Holly Grove Lass (Le Moss)13 1/P Trabolgan 49 11 11-0 N J Henderson 57 148 – –
b g King´s Ride — Derrella (Derrylin)Could be a four horse race:-
Joe Lively
Snoopy Loopy
Niche Market
Madison Du Berlais
Could be a four horse race:-
Joe Lively
Snoopy Loopy
Niche Market
Madison Du BerlaisWithout Denman?
Edit: IGNORE THIS – JUST NOTICED STORY WAS DATED 30 JAN !
Denman had a racecourse gallop at Wincanton this morning, but I can’t find the story to put the link here. Ridden by Walsh. I think Thomas was on Neptune Collonges.
Would that mean he’s not running on Saturday, or does it depend how far he went at what pace?
I was thinking yesterday that the race would be a bog, and Denman would pull out.
The 4 runner suggestion was only half-serious, or maybe half-joking.
Haha no worries Gerald.
I really want Newbury to be on on Saturday. Will be very disappointing to see another massive race day fall foul of the weather.
Very pleased I decided against going to Leopardstown for the Hennesy meeting. Mightve cost me a bit too much for a non-event travelling from here in London!
Does anyone have any clues here? I’d have thought Albertas Run would be a good choice, if he can cope with the going.
I’m not happy with having a bet on Joe Lively here, though I was happy to have 9/1 at muddier Newbury.
NO. FORM HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR TS RPR
1 11- Denman 330 9 11-10 P F Nicholls R Walsh 182 182 189
2 161 Joe Lively 14 10 11-10 C L Tizzard Joe Tizzard 166 158 169
3 11- An Accordion 333 tb 8 11-6 D E Pipe J W Farrelly 152 115 164
4 -61 Madison Du Berlais 70 p 8 11-6 D E Pipe Tom Scudamore 159 139 171
5 -31 Niche Market 49 8 11-6 R H Buckler Harry Skelton 137 136 149
6 4P2 Albertas Run 43 8 11-5 Jonjo O´Neill A P McCoy 165 141 183
7 1/P Trabolgan 49 11 11-0 N J Henderson B J Geraghty 148 – –
I’ve just remembered. Joe Lively beat Silverburn and Barbers Shop in the Feltham. (I was on Barbers Shop
)I think its a really difficult race to call. Albertas Run is best on goodish ground, even then he strikes me as the type that you have to catch right. Kempton wouldn’t be Denman’s ideal track at all and lets face it how much confidence can you currently back Denman with? We just don’t know how he is going to be..
Joe Lively is an interesting one. Kempton can suit front runners and the soft ground will hold no fears for him. Maybe he’s the one to be on?
Its hard to get excited by any of the others.
I think
Denman
will win it fairly comfortably. He wouldn’t be out on the track if he wasn’t in very good shape. 4/7 seems a good price, because he can front run aswell which is a bonus for Kempton, and he will like the ground.
If he is in very good shape, then at least we get an answer to the wonderful question "What would happen if Denman ran in the King George?"
Looking through Albertas Runs form he’s won several times on soft ground over hurdles and in bumpers so maybe its a myth that he needs good ground. Perhaps he’s just the type of horse that sometimes is in the mood and sometimes isn’t?
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Kempton wouldn’t be Deman’s ideal course, but his jumping ability, and the soft ground, will more than negate any deficiency.Considering he is a stone and a half superior to the others, 4/7 may well look like finding money in the street by tomorrow evening.
For me Denman is a lay tomorrow.
Coming back of an almost 11 month break, not knowing if he is fully fit or fully recovered from his heart problems and a seemingly unsuitable track tomorrow is the time, for me, to get him.
As for the winner I fancy Joe Lively and have had an investment at 6/1. Has course and distance form and will love the going.
For me Denman is a lay tomorrow.
Coming back of an almost 11 month break, not knowing if he is fully fit or fully recovered from his heart problems and a seemingly unsuitable track tomorrow is the time, for me, to get him.
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Completely agree. Giving weight to most of the field as well. Put all the combinations together and its going to take the "real" Denman to come out on top tomorrow.
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