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I shall be having a small bet on Miss Understanding to turn over the odds on fav in the last at Great Leighs
20.50 Kempton
Divertimente could be the one at Kempton tonight. The mile might just be up his street (limited attempts at the distance; one runner up spot achieved). Well handicapped. This one has been noted on several occasions in the past few months (backed last time). Stable in reasonable form. Opposition ropey;11/1 available.
Best of luck.
The Dore horse ran a really strange race, but its the AW and it happens. Transpires the horse wasn’t all that fancied either. Still I’m convinced that there is a good priced win in this horse.
I have a dilemma. I’ve been following Bahamian Bay (14.00 SW) after it’s eyecatching reappearance run, where it hacked all over standard sandpit opposition around the top bend before running out of puff in the final furlong. However, the next two runs in Class 6 were long priced and did not build on the initial promise.
Basically, Mel Brittain’s gelding is a banded animal, nothing more, nothing less. Today it finally runs in the right class – the first banded race run at Southwell for a good while – but at the wrong trip (7f). It’s more of a 6f horse. I’ll back it because I am compelled, because the horse is fit as a flea after three runs, and because the race is truly, truly dire.
What does anyone else think? Leave it? A big bet? Or a saver to recover prior stakes?
Cheers!
Max
Had a look at the 2.00 at Southwell and fortunately for you I don’t like Bahamian Bay today. I think if Amber Moon acts on the surface it will take the beating however I wouldn’t want to chance it at the price. If forced to have an interest I would risk a small EW on Martingrange Lass whose sole run over 7F is probably its best effort to date.
Best of luck with BB though.
Cheers for that, Aaron. I’m at work, but I’ve blagged a meeting this afto to enable me to get to the races after three o clock.
I’ve had a mug bet on BB (because I cannot face this evening if it wins and I wasn’t on it, a much worse feeling in racing than backing a loser), but as you say, it’s not a particularly good selection.
Are you a Dubai fan? I tried to get some interest last year, but no dice.
Are you a Dubai fan? I tried to get some interest last year, but no dice.
I can’t say that I am to be truthful, although I did have a couple of interests last year revolving around Kerrin McEvoy which made me a few bob I think. As mentioned previously I’m having a go at other sports a little more at the moment as I had a bit of success on the football and I’ve had a go on the golf this week in Abu Dhabi & Hawaii so the carnival will more than likely pass me by.
I wasn’t Aaron unfortunately, as when I analysed the race the horse was around 8/1. I’m not much of a place bettor either.
How can a horse with this kind of banded form go off at 14/1? Oh well…
Good luck with the golf.
1220 Mix N Match alt Tenement
255 I Confess alt Miss Mujanna, tricast Cornus
330 General Feeling alt UpstairsNice double, Aaron. 7/2 and 11/4.
Is there a more reliable method than backing first and second favourites on the AW in January?
Tough card at Leafy tomoz.
Thanks Max
What was wonderful Wolverhampton last season is now woeful Wolverhampton but I’m soldiering on
200 Imperial Skylight alt Tillers Satisfied
230 Prince Noel
300 Moyoko alt Ridgeway Star
400 Carnivore alt Kensington
500 New Star alt Ahlawy
530 Bailieborough alt Ardent PrinceVery nice punted horse in the last Aaron. You seem to be warming up nicely in time for the Big One. I’ve had a look at Southwell, but it looks very tricky. More tomorrow.
I’ve had a small amount on Soba Jones in the first at Southwell in the hope that the low draw will enable him to get a good position. Jordi Roper is the danger and may well also be up there. Can’t see too many of the hold up horses getting into this.
I wouldn’t put you off Soba Jones and he is now my alternative as City Of Conquest doesn’t go. I shall be rowing in with Head To Head EW.
Mambo Sun in the 2.00 with Rub Of The Relic as alternative is all I could find extra at Southwell today.
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