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Alexander selections

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  • #1665682
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Thurles 2:50
    Cornahilt soldier
    Win
    Meshersmitt
    Each way

    Big chance at the weights for a horse sixth to a group horse on debut on heavy going.
    Second the last twice.
    The German raider gets a handy pull and may suprise on debut.

    #1665705
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Nice dead heat winner, a horse that had never raced.
    The power of Alexander!!
    Salisbury 4:30
    Katey Kontent
    Win
    Sir Clive cox has won this affair for the last two runnings and has got Rossa Ryan on board here. Has run in a higher grade this year draw a big negative.

    Desert doctor
    Each way
    Massive class dropper and the draw data horse based on last two winners.
    Tom Marquand does well on his Salisbury forays usually,,,,
    Recent winner at Fos las but a 90s rated winner before that.
    Two nice winners today and a maximum win bet posted last night for the model kingdom to come.

    #1665732
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Chelmsford 2030
    Flying standard
    Each way
    Just one of three runners here with the winning distance. Jockey riding well tonight.
    Least distance to go in stall 2
    Expert bear
    Win
    The draw data runner and steps up the first time.

    #1665737
    Avatar photoBigG
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    • Total Posts 14511

    Very nice dht at 28/1 with Meshersmitt Sam, and darned unlucky with
    Katey Kontent, 7/1, who ran most of the race with no cover and was just
    duped in the last few yards. Alexander is alive and kicking :good:

    #1665751
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    One for Alexander Big G.
    Meshersmitt nearly won, well of course he did win. I don’t care what they say, Bookmakers should pay out full price both winners!!
    I didn’t go back and check on the non runners for the model kingdom’s race and I didn’t recheck it. Otherwise I’d have cashed out. Possible trifecta or at least the forecast.
    Thank goddess for the Rugby tonight and the two early winners that is why I don’t like to call a race too early because the picture changes so much.

    That is why the “ professionals” can nab the value all they want. A good price is worthless if it isn’t going to win because of other ‘factors’ occurring throughout the lead up to the race.
    When is the last time these experts said don’t worry about backing your horse at 9 am in the morning. Wait until you know who is actually running and how that is going to affect the running and outcome of the race.?

    #1667079
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Kempton 1620
    Phoenix star
    Each way
    Reverts back to 6f and last winning run here was off a higher mark of 61.
    Beat ‘ missing horse blackcurrant’ over the minimum trip latest.

    #1667081
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Pimlico Racing Happy Retirement Zoffany Bay Handicap

    Navan 1705 hours

    (47-65) (DIV II) of €10,500.00 3-y-o plus 1m. 6f. 25 Declared
    Using draw data gives a five year spread of races to back fill data from and most of those years have cut up soft so the draw data selection here, if in the mood may go well.

    an amazing 22 runners are set to go to post in this second division of two races dedicated to retiring runner Zoffany Bay. It could be significant that connections have gone for the lucky last rather than the opening contest and the horse has had a lively career one of the highlights being a switch to France culminating in winning a hurdle out there for David Cottin in Auteil two years ago. He looks high in the weights and others have a lot more appeal but there wouldn’t be a dry eye 👁 in the house if he can get home and he should be backed on a mark which has been won off in the distant past. Off an even better mark and not far away at the weights is the well backed runner …. Harvest Bow

    hasn’t won for a while but looks on a very good mark with yard going for a ten pounds claimer to tilt the scales solidly in the right direction.

    Queen of seduction was the lucky recipient of the jockeys ten pounds yesterday.

    Tenth Amendment has a dramatically swinging handicap mark for a handicapper unable to reach a consistent assessment of the horses ability. Now that he’s crashed below the winning mark barrier, perhaps draw data can make his mind up here.

    ZOFFANY BAY

    Win

    TENTH AMENDMENT

    HARVEST BOW

    Both each way

    #1667082
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Naas 1705

    ENQUIRE WITHIN

    win

    is the free energy horse here and the only course and distance winner in the race. Has held form well in two runs elsewhere since. Siobhan Rutledge claims weight here

    #1667088
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Kempton 1830
    Darragh Keenan rides

    One for the frog

    each way

    dead heated in a class five with rayhat that runner now operates off a mark of 75.

    latest one for the frog touched off a nck to light up the stars and runs in this class six off top weight.

    Cephalus
    each way

    runs here off career low mark.
    Ran behind altrium on debut a recent winner in October in a higher grade race off 96.

    #1667100
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    kempton 2000
    the draw data and all the indicators point very strongly to

    Sonnerie power

    win

    french invasion

    each way

    is unbeaten here and launched career with spectacular demolition job here and hasn’t been in a lower class race since. Do also has good claims but big preference is for the Roger Varian runner

    #1667103
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16597

    It took long enough but spectacular winner to back up my statement this morning
    Kempton 2030

    Good Time Ahead

    each way

    despite poor form signs of revival latest under Oisin Murphy

    Timewave

    win

    oliver Stammers only ride of the day is a good one and time wave well treated here on these terms in what looks a winnable race for Charlie Johnstone

    #1667246
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16597

    Without going back into the wherefores again
    David Evans unleashes the ultimate Alexander horse at Redcar today it hits all of my parameters free energy draw data class dropper stable switcher.
    Redcar 5:05
    Has never raced in a class this low and most of the horses he’s raced against ( the winners) are listed going on lower group class rated in the high 80s to low 90s now.
    Drawn in stall six
    Supreme king
    Win
    Along with
    pleasure vampire 🧛‍♀️
    Each way
    Represent every thing that I look for in an Alexander scenario and win or lose look good to go here.

    #1667304
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Newcastle 1830
    Stoneacre Girl
    Each way
    is set to run a big race here on handicap debut.
    Started out in a class two, class four and five.
    First time headgear
    The draw data horse
    And the horse in receipt of free energy.
    First time in a class six and obvious chance having hidden light under a bushel thus far.

    #1667853
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16597

    October has always been a good month and a good time to try and find winners.
    I’ve posted up a lot of winning selections this month at various locations across the web and although I’m not counting they exceeed 70. Therin however lies the problem. I have very little to show for it and without the rugby union World Cup my boat would have sunk literally!!
    So from now until the end of October my target is PROFIT as it is as always the bottom line. In addition to the target of making money I’m adding the target of twenty more winners so that I am approaching the near total of 100 winners.
    For a change each round of selections will be preceeded or followed by a musical 🎵 selection today’s offering is madness One better day.
    It’s Monday enjoy it :good:

    #1667883
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16597

    Plumpton1615

    Tara iti

    each way

    diamond egg

    each way

    Gary Moore takes on uggy uggy uggy an emphatic last time out winner. Ugly is raised ten pounds but is up just five taking Bradley Harris claim into consideration. Could well win here but I’m leaving that one out given Ugg’s win have been good ground wins. Diamond egg is of good interest on handicap debut here.

    general preference is for Gary Moore’s runner as he’s won this race the last two runnings and caiolin Quinn claims five here and the bottom weight loooks a tad laid out for this race and will bring home a few bets if successful for a yard which works hard to land the odds.

    #1667885
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16597

    That was a rout one selection fell and the other unsighted.
    4:45

    GAMBIE TIEP
    Win
    Two from last three tipped up two runs ago and first of three last outings was over a similar trip. A proper Alexander this one if the penalty carrying bottom weight idealko gives all the advantages to the top weight here. Providing the free energy is positive not negative. Provided that runner doesn’t defy the penalty and win the energy the horse would have put into the winning has to go somewhere and the next horse at the weights ( on the traverse)is the top weight. Simple’s right??
    The other interesting runner here is
    En cour
    Win
    And this runner makes a good cover bet for the main selection.
    A good third when last seen in a race which GAMBIE TIEP missed due to being off colour
    0/20 and hopefully the countdown begins here.

    #1667886
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16597

    Next selections will come hopefully in the final two races at wolves and possibly the final race at Windsor 5.05. On the musical front small town boy is ringing out in the background. 🎶 Bronski beat.

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