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The Ante-Post King.
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- January 11, 2010 at 16:10 #269301
Correct score 0-0 & No Goal Scorer – what I have done is place a double (two events happening) on one outcome – one part of the bet ‘directly contributes’ to the other and this is clearly a related contingence.
In the case of placing a double on it snowing in Edinburgh and London on the same day where does one ‘directly contribute’ to the other to make the bet void?
These are both related contingencies with the former simply being more ‘extreme’ than the latter in that it’s essentially the same bet worded differently. So Sean Graham’s rule to settle such bets accepted in error as two singles with stake divided is correct, if rather generous. Personally I’d void any such bet a punter tried to place and show him the door.
The latter case is more open to personal interpretation but it remains obvious to me that snow in one part of the country ‘directly contributes’ to the chance of it occuring elsewhere at the same time/on the same day, which is I believe is what the Ladbrokes punter bet stipulated
To re-iterate Are Zen’s example:
7/1 Newcastle
7/1 Gateshead
7/1 South Shields
7/1 SunderlandI’m offering 7/1, as they well know, not multiplied odds (4000/1)
Snow in Newcastle offered at 7/1. It snows there. Is it still a 7/1 chance snow will fall across the river in Gateshead? Nope more like 1/7 or whatever It is absurd to believe the chance of it happening at all four places is 4096/1 i.e the full multiple Yankee.
To use your KG & GC example – would there be a related contingence to make the bet void if I placed a double on a horse winning the Derby and the following years Cheltenham Gold Cup?
No because the chance of it happening are infinitesimal, infact non-existent as 4yos can’t run in the GC
so any ‘honourable’ bookmaker would also void this bet or refund stake if accepted in error as it ‘can’t be won’However, where the related parts of the bet are resolved at different times the bet will be settled as instructed, with the price for the second or subsequent legs being determined at each individual stage.
Example: £10 Double, Henman to win Semi-Final @ 3.50 with Henman to win the tournament outright @ 3.00, is settled as a £10 Double, Henman to win Semi-Final @ 3.50 with the price for Henman to win outright being the odds on offer after winning the Semi-Final. In the event of Henman losing either the Semi-Final or Final, the bet is lost.
This is essentially what I was rattling on about: the second part of a double cannot be accepted at the odds on offer before the first part won if deemed ‘related’ i.e it increases the chance of the second part winning.
Anyway in addition to them being related, multiple bets such as snow on Christmas Day at different locations comprise an accumulation of simultaneous bets settled at the same time so a bookmaker is unlikely to knowingly lay such a bet at any odds greater than the single in one town as it can’t be hedged i.e liabilities don’t ‘run-up’ they go from zero to pay-pay in one step
As may have become apparent by now I’m no fan of nor apologist for bookmakers but the ‘related contingency’ rules are correct and fair and, I have to say, bleedin’ obvious IMO
January 11, 2010 at 16:32 #269304There"s many a time i have had a £1 Goliath,only to realise that the maximum payout is £1 million and mine works out to be worth £30 million,so i drop it to a 10p Goliath instead! The bookmaker will still let you put it on though without telling you that you"re not getting the other £29 million!Should it win of course!
January 11, 2010 at 23:05 #269387King Kong
I would imagine the shop staff
nervously refer to you as the goliath
and as far as correcting you on your slip,
they would rather save you the 200 odd sobs
than have improper justice meted out on them
at the hands of your other nickname
the rib breaker
January 12, 2010 at 20:54 #269513King Kong
I would imagine the shop staff
nervously refer to you as the goliath
and as far as correcting you on your slip,
they would rather save you the 200 odd sobs
than have improper justice meted out on them
at the hands of your other nickname
the rib breaker
Gamble,we are both rib breakers,
Your hilarity does the damage,
through your bic pen!
January 12, 2010 at 21:13 #269521Perhaps we should start a club
January 12, 2010 at 21:37 #269533Perhaps we should start a club

You would have a proper club,
I dont need a club,
Your pen is mightier,
than my sword,
At least no one would steal,
your work,
and get away with it,
It would be improper of me,
to let them!
January 12, 2010 at 22:00 #269540The ribcagecrackers
but more preferred
The ribtakers

My pen creates
but a small shadow
beside me
as a life of action
beckons to rage
the sun full up
to throw down shafts
and swords of light
for members to carry arms
to beat the yellow
that exposes the unfortunates’
ribs as they yell.by
A. Thug
January 12, 2010 at 22:53 #269553We are in the same,
club,
when confronted,
by one,
the yellow glows,
yet the night is black,
wants to play baseball,
at 3 am,
2ft of Maglite,
breaks No rules,
still a Gamble,by
A,Gambler,January 12, 2010 at 23:25 #269558better than mine

I took mine off the top of my head
while it was still there
January 13, 2010 at 09:38 #269577My prose took me an hour Gamble,but the ink running through my quill was "Premier Cru",imagine if i"d been on the "Grand Cru"!!You are the man though!
January 13, 2010 at 11:13 #269594I’ll take that kindly king
when you are a king
never do a thing
dont even view a race
save with timely graceGreville Starkey’s Lincoln win
on Star of a Gunner was my last
ante post race. Good luck to you
and your large distant eyes
mine are slitty and watch the clockJanuary 13, 2010 at 11:51 #269601I’ll take that kindly king
when you are a king
never do a thing
dont even view a race
save with timely graceGreville Starkey’s Lincoln win
on Star of a Gunner was my last
ante post race. Good luck to you
and your large distant eyes
mine are slitty and watch the clockWhen you are a Poet,
you gotta know it,
That Cataldi was,
Starkeys Lincoln,
Reid well,
he is the Star! - AuthorPosts
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