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4.00 Salisbury Sunday 17/6

Home Forums Betting Chat – Bets & Tips 4.00 Salisbury Sunday 17/6

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  • #22030
    Oasisdreamer
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    • Total Posts 305

    A nice little Listed Race pre-Ascot I’ve had a run through.
    At least the field size is manageable vs what we are up against as the week goes on!

    Eton Rifles – Should go well but won’t find it easy giving weight away to his rivals. Trainer form a big concern for me. Current Odds = 7/1 My Odds = 6.05/1

    Bathwick Bear = NR

    Definightly – Could do with softer ground. That is enough to put me off her. Current Odds = 10/3 My Odds = 7.38/1

    Libranno – Group 3 winner over 7f last year. Not shown much this season but trainer in better form now. Certainly has the class to take a part at the business end. CO = 8/1 MO = 5.09/1

    Morache Music – C+D Winner who has the potential to improve as a 4yo. Trainer form again a big worry for me. CO = 16/1 MO = 8.57/1

    Our Jonathan – Ayr Gold Cup Winner who won a small race fto this season and looks sure to go well here. CO = 6/4 MO = 5.7/1

    Chilli Green – Expect her to be outclassed up in grade. CO = 33/1 MO = 13.89/1

    Golden Delicious – Likewise re class. CO = 50/1 MO = 13.89/1

    Sos Brilliante – Likewise re class. CO = 100/1 MO = 25.8/1

    Artistic Jewel – One I like. Got ideal conditions today and I expect her to go well. Concerned by the market drift this morning though, now out to 12’s. Co = 12/1 MO = 5.7/1

    Summary – There looks to be a fair few prominent runners in the race so Our Jonathan, coming from off the pace, looks like he will have the race run to suit. However his price is too short in my opinion versus some of the competition.

    I’m going to go with Libranno (2pts @ 8/1) for the Hannon/Hughes combo with a saver on Artistic Jewel (1 pt @ 12/1).

    #408446
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    Nice winner there Oasis.
    Librano scoped badly the time before according to Richard Hughes. Amazed at how good the ground was at Salisbury. Certainly came in favour of Librano.
    Having backed Definightly as the main bet the night before (thinking it would be soft) I had an on course saver on Librano @ 15/2. Our Jonathon was a little unlucky not to win, but being a hold up horse is often a hostage to fortune.

    Nice to see someone doing 100% books. :)

    Value Is Everything
    #409026
    Oasisdreamer
    Participant
    • Total Posts 305

    Two listed races and a class 3 at Chester to focus on today.

    Time is getting tight so I’ll cut to the chase….Here are my top 3 picks in the race and below what I consider the value.

    3.05CH
    Hitchens – Rating 85 Current Odds 9/2 Value Odds 5.94/1
    Inxile – 85 10/1 5.94/1
    Van Ellis – 120 5/2 4.92/1

    4.20 NEW
    Set to Music 115 13/8 10/3
    Ambivalent 80 6/1 5.19/1
    Khione 110 7/2 7/2

    3.40CH
    Citrus Star 75 9/2 9.2/1
    King of Eden 75 12/1 9.2/1
    My Kingdom 85 11/2 8/1
    Galican 90 3/1 15/2
    Space War 75 20/1 9.2/1

    Final Selections:
    Inxile 1 pt e/w
    Khione 2 pt win
    King of Eden 0.75 pt e/w
    Space War 1 pt e/w

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