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Not sure that was much of a maiden Himself. I am always wary of these wide margin winners of soft ground maidens anyway.
On a cheerier note Haggle will surely provide a boost for Luca Cumani in the maiden at Newmarket. Third on her 2yo debut behind Ballydoyle and Nemoralia, both fillies have advertised the form of that race since in impressive fashion and I feel normal progress makes her a shoo-in bet at 5/4 tomorrow. It’s the time of year for funny results but odds against looks a gift here.
Don’t Haggle, just take the 5/4 and shaft the bookie
In spite of that , Steve , I think Nathra will turn out to be rather useful .
Oh , thanks for tip . I quickly availed myself of the 5/4 available yesterday evening .
What’s the pointing of haggling .
Gambling Only Pays When You're Winning
Aiden O’Brien’s Best In The World runs in the opener at Gowran Park tomorrow. The stable have multiple entries but this one looks the first string on bookings.
By Galileo out of Red Evie she starts her career at a mile, suggesting she is probably an Oaks type long term.
This race was won by Together Forever last year and she was just starting her upward curve at that point, going on to win a group 1. She ran in the Musidora this year, giving Star Of Seville a fright but didn’t go on from there.
Whereas Together Forever was having her fourth start in the maiden at Gowran last year, Best In The World is making her debut and loads of Aiden’s have needed their first race, making backing her tomorrow a potentially dangerous option at probable short odds. Coolmore has failed to land the odds twice now and it’s surely sensible just to watch with the future in mind. I have been waiting for her since April and I hope she can make a winning start and show promise for next season.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Did Hannon have anything to say about Tabarrak?
According to Sky Sports website Richard Hannon said the following Nathan:-
He said: “He’s got better all through the year. He was a bit weak early on and I wouldn’t say the ground was to his liking.
“He’ll be a nice horse next year. Well see how he comes out of this, but there’s no massive rush to run him again.”
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Best In The World ran a very satisfactory race on her debut. She ended up running on well to be beaten half a length by the favourite who had run twice already.
It was an odd run in a way, because she broke quite well and was right with the leaders but as others came forward to dispute the lead Seamie Heffernan just let her drift back, rather than try to hold the good position she had. It meant that Best In The World went back into 5th place, a few lengths off the lead, in a matter of strides. Maybe he wanted to get cover but I think that the move in dropping back had the effect of the filly downing tools slightly and he has to roust her for a few strides to get the momentum re-established.
By the two furlong marker Best In The World was sitting 4th and had a bit to do with the favourite who had first run. She made headway between the two and the one and came into second place with a definite chance of winning it but she was very tenderly handled in the closing stages and this was clearly all about educating and nothing to do with any urgency to win the race.
ATR’s Matt Chapman said he felt sure she was going to win and that he couldn’t understand the lack of animation from Seamie in the saddle, even suggesting that the jockey might have thought there was still another furlong to travel. Sadly, it’s just the chance you take backing these lightly raced blue-bloods and guessing how much welly they will get from the jockey on their first start.
She doesn’t look a Guineas horse to me so I would imagine she will be back in the string to plot a route to Epsom along with a handful from the same stable bred on similar lines. She is 33/1 for the Oaks and I reckon she’s a better bet for the race than Mark Johnston’s Lumiere at the same odds, unless, of course, the race is now over seven furlongs
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Did Hannon have anything to say about Tabarrak?
According to Sky Sports website Richard Hannon said the following Nathan:-
He said: “He’s got better all through the year. He was a bit weak early on and I wouldn’t say the ground was to his liking.
“He’ll be a nice horse next year. Well see how he comes out of this, but there’s no massive rush to run him again.”Thanks Steve.
Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
The Rockfel Stakes and The Cheveley Park take place this week and the early betting is tricky to call because Mark Johnston’s Lumiere is entered in both races.
She sits at 3/1 favourite for the Rockfel, which is on Friday over 7f and is a 9/2 third choice for the Cheveley Park over 6f on Saturday.
You would think the 6f race is the more natural target but the tougher race of the two, with Besharah and Illuminate also in the mix for that one.
The tipsters on the Sporting Life website are all over Lumiere for the Cheveley Park and seem to think she is a shoo-in there. If she were my horse I would probably take the Rockfel option and check out her stamina over the 7f in a slightly easier looking race. Aidan O’Brien’s How High The Moon is the second favourite there and you would need to think that Lumiere would have the legs of her, as the Ballydoyle filly is dropping back from a mile for this contest.
If she does head for the Cheveley Park instead she will need to hope the rains keep away, because we have seen how well Besharah copes in those conditions. Illuminate and Besharah are pretty tight in the betting on best prices but generally the Haggas filly is favoured across the boards with Lumiere clearly third best, despite the Sporting Life pundits confidence.
The Middle Park is a one horse race with Shalaa 4/6 favourite. He can’t be a bet for me at those odds and I feel Ajaya at 9/1 each-way is the sensible alternative after Ribchester gave him a nice compliment. The field may whittle down for this and I will be disappointed if Ajaya can’t be in the three at 9/1 e/w 1-2-3 terms.
Gutaifan is in there for Hannon but has had a fairly tough season, as has another entry Buratino. Ajaya may be an each-way shoo-in if he takes his place.
My bets would be Lumiere Rockfel at 3/1, Besharah Cheveley Park 5/2 and Ajaya Middle Park each-way 9/1. They may not all run but it’s worth a risk I think.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Steve did you see 2yo races at Kempton. EAST INDIES bolted up while Stoute had a double the newcomer that won was very impressive to.
Steve did you see 2yo races at Kempton. EAST INDIES bolted up while Stoute had a double the newcomer that won was very impressive to.
I didn’t catch the races Darren. I am not a big fan of Kempton but Jack Hobbs started his career there and maybe something else will emerge there in the future.
East Indies hosed in according to the race report but the 10f trip is a long way for two year old horses and in years gone by I always took the Zetland form over the same distance with a pinch of salt, as I felt it was a distance for real stayers in the making. The thing with East Indies is that he had already run on turf and was only 4th that day.
Press Gang finished second to East Indies here and had previously run behind him on the favourite’s debut. The third horse Albe Back was having his fourth start here and came into the race with a rating of 77, having been beaten at odds-on previously.
Overall, it doesn’t look like much of a race and East Indies had come into it rated 70. While he is going the right way, he has some way to go yet.
To be honest with you Darren, I have pretty much given up on Michael Stoute regarding 2yo horses to follow for the classics. Consort and Convey came into last winter as dark horses for Newmarket in May but they had issues and were delayed in making their start to the season. Once we did see them it was apparent that they weren’t quite top class.
I don’t feel there is any value with Stoute as a stable to follow, with punters retaining blind faith over actual results as far as he is concerned. Every stable is entitled to a few quiet years along the way but it just seems that Stoute tends to line up with very little these days and even when there is a promising one, such as Crystal Zvezda, the horse goes out and runs like a drain on the big day.
For me it is unlikely that we haven’t seen the Guineas winners already. The Derby and Oaks are a different matter.
I have picked a few early at huge odds as speculation but for now my only serious pick and my most confident selection is Air Force Blue at 10/1 for the 2000 Guineas. For now he is 3/1 favourite in my book but that could obviously change after the Dewhurst.
Just a note to anyone thinking of backing How High The Moon for the Rockfel on Friday. Aidan has said that she runs in the Weld Park stakes on Sunday at the Curragh, where she may be joined by Coolmore.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I don’t know if anyone has flagged up Nathra as one to follow , but the John Gosden filly
fairly hosed up at Newbury there in very likeable fashion . Definitely one for my old notebook ,
crammed as it is .Agree with you H, Nathra is one for the notebook. Impressed enough when I saw her at Salisbury to make the filly one of my rare short priced bets at Newbury. Cost £270,000 and decent type on looks. Probably at least group class, but I’d add a proviso. Pretty soft for both races and has an action that may not be as suited by ground with firm in the title.
Value Is EverythingToday sees one of Aidan O’Brien’s more expensive colts make his debut.
The 4.00 at Naas has the £1.3 Million son of War Front, Schubert, line up alongside some of his stable companions over 7f. Joseph gets the leg up, so we can assume he is the most fancied of them.
Schubert has been put into the 2000 Guineas betting at 25/1 but he seems weak for today’s race at 11/2, a fairly major drift out from earlier. Blue De Vega is favourite after a reasonable start to his career when third but it’s not an insurmountable level and he’s skinny enough for me.
Schubert is a late foal (17th May) and will surely be a horse for next year but he’s by War Front and may have a bit of go about him early. I think I would risk him each-way at 11/2 to make the first three today.
Hopefully Schubert will be composed and Joseph will get a good tune out of him, even if he is unfinished as a colt at this stage. Deepest Symphony to backers if he’s off key today.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Today sees one of Aidan O’Brien’s more expensive colts make his debut.
The 4.00 at Naas has the £1.3 Million son of War Front, Schubert, line up alongside some of his stable companions over 7f. Joseph gets the leg up, so we can assume he is the most fancied of them.
Schubert has been put into the 2000 Guineas betting at 25/1 but he seems weak for today’s race at 11/2, a fairly major drift out from earlier. Blue De Vega is favourite after a reasonable start to his career when third but it’s not an insurmountable level and he’s skinny enough for me.
Schubert is a late foal (17th May) and will surely be a horse for next year but he’s by War Front and may have a bit of go about him early. I think I would risk him each-way at 11/2 to make the first three today.
Hopefully Schubert will be composed and Joseph will get a good tune out of him, even if he is unfinished as a colt at this stage. Deepest Symphony to backers if he’s off key today.
The favourite absolutely bolted in here and it was a one horse race from a long way out.
The trip was woefully inadequate for Schubert, who was pushed along nearly all the way to go the pace. He kept staying on for pressure and made headway to finish 4th, just out of the frame.
We won’t see the best of Schubert until he tackles middle distances, he’s not a Guineas horse on today’s evidence and 10f is a minimum I would think.
I should have said it was the original favourite who hosed up. Blue De Vega was as low as 13/8 this morning but went off 7/2. For some reason Dermot Weld’s horse went off favourite despite being rated 72 for his debut 7th place.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
One 2yo stands out at Newmarket tomorrow 2.35
Bathos
I saw this colt when he won on the July Course at Newmarket and he was very impressive on the track and especially in the paddock, a big brute of a horse who is progressing nicely and is going to love the going tomorrow. Currently around 4/1 he is my best bet on a tricky looking day.
JacBathos at Newmarket (July Course) 28th August 2015
Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...I am not a big fan of Kempton but Jack Hobbs started his career there and maybe something else will emerge there in the future.
Jack Hobbs started his career at Wolverhampton
I am not a big fan of Kempton but Jack Hobbs started his career there and maybe something else will emerge there in the future.
Jack Hobbs started his career at Wolverhampton
Woops, wrong gaff all-weather track.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
One 2yo stands out at Newmarket tomorrow 2.35
Bathos
I saw this colt when he won on the July Course at Newmarket and he was very impressive on the track and especially in the paddock, a big brute of a horse who is progressing nicely and is going to love the going tomorrow. Currently around 4/1 he is my best bet on a tricky looking day. JacBathos at Newmarket (July Course) 28th August 2015
Just following my paddock picks from Newmarket is proving quite profitable for me this year Steve, hope you backed him, you could see Buick had so much in hand even 2 furlongs from home, very impressive and the 4/1 was a good price last night.
Looking forward to Saturday when I hope to be at Newmarket again. I’m going for Sixth Sense in the Royal Lodge and Besharah in the Cheveley Park and looking forward to just sitting back and watching Shalaa do his Frankel impression, running away from the field, down the Rowley Mile in the Middle Park.
Good luck with all your selections..JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...One 2yo stands out at Newmarket tomorrow 2.35
Bathos
I saw this colt when he won on the July Course at Newmarket and he was very impressive on the track and especially in the paddock, a big brute of a horse who is progressing nicely and is going to love the going tomorrow. Currently around 4/1 he is my best bet on a tricky looking day. JacBathos at Newmarket (July Course) 28th August 2015
Just following my paddock picks from Newmarket is proving quite profitable for me this year Steve, hope you backed him, you could see Buick had so much in hand even 2 furlongs from home, very impressive and the 4/1 was a good price last night.
Looking forward to Saturday when I hope to be at Newmarket again. I’m going for Sixth Sense in the Royal Lodge and Besharah in the Cheveley Park and looking forward to just sitting back and watching Shalaa do his Frankel impression, running away from the field, down the Rowley Mile in the Middle Park.
Good luck with all your selections..JacWell done with Bathos Jac. I wrote a reply last night but it got lost in Cyberspace.
I am not a lover of Nursery races really, I prefer the non-handicaps for two year olds. Bathos is clearly progressing well and I remember Mark Johnston having a horse called Lend A Hand who landed a nursery about 20 years ago before going on to better things and he had a similar profile to Bathos.
With Lumiere out of the Rockfel now I was looking to take Hawkmoor on at the 13/8 odds I saw last night. Hugo Palmer’s filly won the Prestige but it was a hairy affair on soft ground, where she just got up. The three fillies to run from that race all finished unplaced since. Hugo Palmer is 0/16 the past two weeks, albeit a couple went close.
I like the look of Charlie Hills’ Doubly Motivated, as she won impressively in a minor affair last time, having made a promising debut second at Newmarket. She is a nice sort who should make a good 3yo at a mile. The off putting factors are whether any give will blunt her, as she looked a filly with a light, flowing action that seemed suited to top of the ground, and the stable form is 2/34 this past fortnight.
Lumiere heads to the Cheveley Park but it’s a tougher race and I think she needs to win this to get back on track for the Guineas, I still feel that taking her to the Breeders Cup would be a mistake if she is a Guineas filly.
I picked Ajaya each-way for the Middle Park, Shalaa should win it but 9/1 for Haggas’ colt each-way 1-2-3 was big odds and the field has cut up as expected. Good luck this weekend Jac.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Jac
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