Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Cesarewitch 2018
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October 10, 2018 at 23:48 #1376940
Stars Over The Sea – 20/1
Just blew the whole field away in the Trial a couple of weeks back.
Carrying 1lb less than that day when he gave a jaw dropping performance….
he could be back for an encore.Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...October 11, 2018 at 12:58 #1376968Big negative for Stars being drawn out in the car park. I like Just in Time, who has a progressive profile and collateral form with the likes of Vis a Vis reads well. He won a really good edition of the Mallard last time and is only 4lb higher. Trainer has won this before so knows what it takes.
October 11, 2018 at 14:43 #1376975@Joliff
Not too worried about the draw in this one joliff and hoping Crowley will launch Stars out quickly and make the running lengths ahead of the field so he can then choose his position.
Hopeful of a good run and I can’t see past him at moment..Good luck with your bets JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...October 11, 2018 at 14:47 #1376976I backed SOTS last time and he hacked up. True draw over 2m+ not that important but the stats that 9 out of the last 16 winners came from stall 12 or lower. Onus is on the jockey as you say to get a good position, trainer couldn’t be in better form.
October 11, 2018 at 15:28 #1376978I think that Coeur de Lion will have been aimed at this all year and is in with a solid
chance at 33/1. He ran a cracker when runner-up to Who Dares Wins in the trial
for this last year and in another 2m+ decent handicap, the JLT Handicap at Newbury, he gave a
good account of himself in 3rd behind Stratum. He meets that one favourably with a 7lb pull.
He took in the Cesarewitch Trial again this year, and after a bit of a lay off he ran a credible
5th. I reckon that should put him right for this, he wouldn’t have made it in here last year as
his mark was too low, but he’s gone up 13lb since then and gets in on a very nice 8-11. He’ll do
nicely for mePS I’m a bit concerned about his draw in 34, that has to be a minus, although other than last time
he has been held up. He’ll need luck in running, but I’d already picked him out before the draw and
I’d be kicking myself if I turned my back on him and he gets a peach of a ride. Still hopeful,
but maybe not just as confident as beforeOctober 12, 2018 at 13:00 #1377071Happy with what I’ve got so far, but it’s a race where I’d like another, and after a long look at Golden Spear and Cliffs of Dover, I’ve added another.
Its’afreebee will just relish this big field (or maybe not), but he’s got some shred of ability, and he’s taken to life on the flat ok. He stood out at the entry stage, so added him at 66’s Win, and also to 7 Places each way at 50’s.
October 12, 2018 at 13:22 #1377074Southern France should start half his current price of 8/1. Everything about the horse shouts stamina. Can’t see the three year old being out of the first five.
Value Is EverythingOctober 12, 2018 at 13:34 #1377076To my three I have added LAW GIRL at 20/1 six places. Twice the price of Limini and four pound better off!!
October 12, 2018 at 13:35 #1377077Whilst I respect Southern France 9 of the last 10 winners had already won over 2 miles so just depends whether you ignore the inexperience or not.
October 12, 2018 at 13:51 #1377080Normally this sort of contest would scare the wotsit out me, but I can’t see beyond JUST IN TIME here. He’s 5 from 8 on turf, run well enough with cut so rain not a problem, trainer knows what’s required for this contest and drawn in stall 2 which means no extra running to be done early on. Maybe a small question mark about the trip, not yet won past 1m 6f, but all else falls into place. Best priced 16/1.
October 12, 2018 at 14:16 #1377084Southern France should start half his current price of 8/1. Everything about the horse shouts stamina. Can’t see the three year old being out of the first five.
8/1 disappearing fast.
Get on!Value Is EverythingOctober 12, 2018 at 17:52 #1377125I’m with you Ginge, I’ve been backing him since final decs at 8’s. If they can get in, I love a classy 3yo in a race like this. The 3yo allowance of 10lb, over 2m2f is such a massive advantage. He’s a G1 performer, who looks like a very classy stayer in the making. Draw could have been kinder, but I still think he’ll win this. 8-1 was a gift.
October 12, 2018 at 18:04 #1377126I’m with you too Ginge, I can’t see him out of the first one!
I’ve had a big bet for me on him – win only
October 12, 2018 at 21:08 #1377136An inexperienced 3 yo with a lot of weight, bad draw in likely testing conditions is not for me-surely AOB is just chancing his arm because of the huge prize money?
On another point I find it pretty ridiculous Mullins can field 7 here, surely deprives other smaller trainers from having runners in such a big race?
October 12, 2018 at 21:23 #1377137I won a few quid today and have re invested some of it on my four at 7 places now!!
Have also followed Botchy and backed HERE AND NOW at 25/1 !!
Good Luck I think we may need it!!
October 12, 2018 at 22:50 #1377145I’ve added another 3yo who I think has a good staying race in him, Making Miracles @ 33-1.
Good luck all.
October 13, 2018 at 05:12 #1377162Southern France (5/1 e/w 8 places) and Limini (14/1 e/w 8 places) for me.
Good luck all
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