Cesarewitch 2018

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This topic contains 52 replies, has 21 voices, and was last updated by jackh1092 jackh1092 2 months ago.

Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 53 total)
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  • #1376903

    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 564

    I seem to be siding with Mullins.

    Already on Stratum at 8s have added Limini 12s. 50lb below hurdle mark looks big.

    #1376928
    jackh1092
    jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1062

    Low Sun for me is a good price + bet.

    12/1

    For me he potentially is the strongest of the Mullins contenders. Limini i am not certain will want this trip + Stratum, while he won nicely at Newbury is short enough. Low sun also holds a few pieces of very good handicap form over hurdles which make me think in receipt of weight, i’d side with him.

    Southern France if he was to turn up, would be a massive danger, if he’s streetwise enough. Uradel was also a very big drifter LTO and will probably be added to my bets.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1376940
    Triptych
    Triptych
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7384

    Stars Over The Sea – 20/1
    Just blew the whole field away in the Trial a couple of weeks back.
    Carrying 1lb less than that day when he gave a jaw dropping performance….
    he could be back for an encore. :good:

    Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...
    #1376968
    joliff
    joliff
    Participant
    • Total Posts 343

    Big negative for Stars being drawn out in the car park. I like Just in Time, who has a progressive profile and collateral form with the likes of Vis a Vis reads well. He won a really good edition of the Mallard last time and is only 4lb higher. Trainer has won this before so knows what it takes.

    #1376975
    Triptych
    Triptych
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7384

    @joliff
    Not too worried about the draw in this one joliff and hoping Crowley will launch Stars out quickly and make the running lengths ahead of the field so he can then choose his position.
    Hopeful of a good run and I can’t see past him at moment..Good luck with your bets :rose: Jac

    Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...
    #1376976
    joliff
    joliff
    Participant
    • Total Posts 343

    I backed SOTS last time and he hacked up. True draw over 2m+ not that important but the stats that 9 out of the last 16 winners came from stall 12 or lower. Onus is on the jockey as you say to get a good position, trainer couldn’t be in better form.

    #1376978
    BigG
    BigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4730

    I think that Coeur de Lion will have been aimed at this all year and is in with a solid
    chance at 33/1. He ran a cracker when runner-up to Who Dares Wins in the trial
    for this last year and in another 2m+ decent handicap, the JLT Handicap at Newbury, he gave a
    good account of himself in 3rd behind Stratum. He meets that one favourably with a 7lb pull.
    He took in the Cesarewitch Trial again this year, and after a bit of a lay off he ran a credible
    5th. I reckon that should put him right for this, he wouldn’t have made it in here last year as
    his mark was too low, but he’s gone up 13lb since then and gets in on a very nice 8-11. He’ll do
    nicely for me :good:

    PS I’m a bit concerned about his draw in 34, that has to be a minus, although other than last time
    he has been held up. He’ll need luck in running, but I’d already picked him out before the draw and
    I’d be kicking myself if I turned my back on him and he gets a peach of a ride. Still hopeful,
    but maybe not just as confident as before :unsure:

    #1377071
    Venture to Cognac
    Venture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 14097

    Happy with what I’ve got so far, but it’s a race where I’d like another, and after a long look at Golden Spear and Cliffs of Dover, I’ve added another.

    Its’afreebee will just relish this big field (or maybe not), but he’s got some shred of ability, and he’s taken to life on the flat ok. He stood out at the entry stage, so added him at 66’s Win, and also to 7 Places each way at 50’s.

    #1377074
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24662

    Southern France should start half his current price of 8/1. Everything about the horse shouts stamina. Can’t see the three year old being out of the first five.

    value is everything
    #1377076
    raymo61
    raymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3612

    To my three I have added LAW GIRL at 20/1 six places. Twice the price of Limini and four pound better off!!

    #1377077

    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 564

    Whilst I respect Southern France 9 of the last 10 winners had already won over 2 miles so just depends whether you ignore the inexperience or not.

    #1377080
    robnorth
    robnorth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4143

    Normally this sort of contest would scare the wotsit out me, but I can’t see beyond JUST IN TIME here. He’s 5 from 8 on turf, run well enough with cut so rain not a problem, trainer knows what’s required for this contest and drawn in stall 2 which means no extra running to be done early on. Maybe a small question mark about the trip, not yet won past 1m 6f, but all else falls into place. Best priced 16/1.

    #1377084
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24662

    Southern France should start half his current price of 8/1. Everything about the horse shouts stamina. Can’t see the three year old being out of the first five.

    8/1 disappearing fast.
    Get on!

    value is everything
    #1377125

    Nausered
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 601

    I’m with you Ginge, I’ve been backing him since final decs at 8’s. If they can get in, I love a classy 3yo in a race like this. The 3yo allowance of 10lb, over 2m2f is such a massive advantage. He’s a G1 performer, who looks like a very classy stayer in the making. Draw could have been kinder, but I still think he’ll win this. 8-1 was a gift.

    #1377126
    Bobby Bluebell
    Bobby Bluebell
    Participant
    • Total Posts 197

    I’m with you too Ginge, I can’t see him out of the first one!

    I’ve had a big bet for me on him – win only

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