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Reply To: RP Forecasts

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#131425
Avatar photorory
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I know sods law will determine they get this one wrong but in the upoming football match between Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur S.Index. go 10.75-11.25 on the corner market whilst Cantor go 10.8 -11.
So they both think there will be around 11 corners in that match.

However on betfair at present 9 or less corners is the market favourite at 2.4.
13 or more corners are currently 2.5 whilst 10-12 corners are 2.7 (a 17/10 poke before commission) the outsider of the 3 markets.

So two of the biggest spread firms have the betfair outsider as the favourite and I know what one I would back.

Sorry, Seagull but that’s simply an incorrect reading of the market by you. The Betfair market also favours the mid point of the corners line to be around 11, but they make it a bigger price because all the "rags" are lumped in with the overs and unders. Nine or less has nine possible outs while the "middle" only has three ~ hence the slightly bigger price. If you break the % probability for each aspect and then reframe the individual markets then you will see that they are in agreement.