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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Turkoman

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Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 264 total)
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  • in reply to: Champion Fillies and Mares 2022 #1618525
    Turkoman
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    Stay Alert

    in reply to: Champion Sprint 2022 #1618524
    Turkoman
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    Art Power

    in reply to: Stateside tonight #1617863
    Turkoman
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    So many BC qualifiers and preps this weekend, hard to keep track…

    My main interest is Moira who’s contesting the E.P. Taylor Stakes (G1) at Woodbine.

    Also of interest is the Coolmore Turf Mile S. (G1) at Keeneland. Christophe Soumillon is named to ride Australia, I thought he was to start serving his suspension following the Arc weekend? How many lives does this cat have?

    For anyone interested, here’s a link to some info about a few of the key runners:

    https://www.horseracingnation.com/news/Horses_to_Watch_14_contest_giant_week_of_Breeders_Cup_preps_123

    Here’s a link to forms of some of these key races:

    https://www.horseracingnation.com/content/free_past_performances_pps

    Good luck, have fun!

    in reply to: Associated Newspapers being sued #1617663
    Turkoman
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    Tu quoque, meaning in Latin ‘you too’, is a fallacy of relevance which targets the hypocrisy of the arguer rather than the truth of the advanced argument…

    Anyone having basic reasoning and critical thinking skills would understand the above subject fallacy…

    in reply to: Associated Newspapers being sued #1617659
    Turkoman
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    “Says the man who frequently tars all of “the left” with the same brush.”

    A classic “tu quoque”…

    A great way to validate Wilts’s argument…

    in reply to: On The Trusses 2022-2024 #1617518
    Turkoman
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    NatCen’s (National Centre Social Research) latest “British Social Attitudes” survey (link below) deals with issues discussed here.

    You may consider having a glance to get an alternative perspective to what’s covered by mainstream media..

    “Each year NatCen’s British Social Attitudes survey asks over 3,000 people what it’s like to live in Britain and what they think about how Britain is run.

    Since 1983 we’ve been measuring and tracking changes in people’s social, political and moral attitudes.

    The survey is a critical gauge of public opinion, and is used by the Government, journalists, opinion formers and academics.”

    https://www.bsa.natcen.ac.uk/latest-report/british-social-attitudes-39/introduction.aspx

    in reply to: Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Dirt 2022 #1617353
    Turkoman
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    She’s your find, your selection so good luck all the way to the BC…

    I always tip my hat to punters who have this ability, “keen eye” if you will, to spot a talented colt/filly early on. Seems you did this with Little Big Bear and now Justique., so best of luck!

    I firmly believe that AOB would have taken LBB to Keeneland for the BC Juvenile Turf, but not to be, unfortunately…

    in reply to: Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Dirt 2022 #1617335
    Turkoman
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    Justique is currently listed as “probable” for the 8 1/2F Chandelier Stakes (G2) at Santa Anita this coming Saturday. The Chandelier is a major prep for this BC race. Also listed as “probable” are three top finishers in the Debutante Stakes (G1) run over 7F at Del Mar last month…

    in reply to: On The Trusses 2022-2024 #1616965
    Turkoman
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    “…the damage to mortgage rates has already been done. Come up with a way to reverse that then I might be impressed.”

    The U.S. Federal Reserve has been exporting inflation to world economies for some time now, and they’re not expecting to let up anytime soon…

    in reply to: On The Trusses 2022-2024 #1616964
    Turkoman
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    Why this positive development is not reflected in the financial markets?

    – GBP/USD: 1.1195, only (+0.31%)
    – FTSE100: -34.78 points (-0.5%)

    in reply to: Why Frankel will rule the world #1616953
    Turkoman
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    I recall reading an article on RTV’s website a couple of years ago where John Magnier was interviewed and was asked about Coolmore’s expenditures on American Pharoah and Justify amounting to tens of millions of dollars. His answer was that “racing empires were built by the American Classic stallion” and that Coolmore will continue to spend large sums because they’re looking for the “next Northern Dancer”.

    I think the man knows a thing or two about building racing empires, but perhaps that’s a topic for a separate conversation.

    However, on his second point what immediately struck me the most is not what he said but what he didn’t say; he didn’t say that they’re looking for the “next” Sadler’s Wells, or the “next” Galileo, or even the “next” Frankel. But, instead it’s the next Northern Dancer!

    If one looks at Northern Dancer’s success as a stallion, it’s totally mind-boggling and outright staggering! His sire line divides into seven different branches (note link below). If another sire would only have just one of these branches, he’d be considered a “super-sire.”

    (He was also a very good race horse having won two of the three legs of the American Triple Crown. He won the Kentucky Derby in record time and is still the third fastest behind Monarchos and Secretariat)

    Note: the data appears to be up to date, as you will note that Frankel’s stats already include Alpinista’s yesterday’s Arc win…

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_Dancer_sire_line

    Moreover, in the 12th May, 2019 issue of Thoroughbred Racing Commentary feature article the author makes a startling opening argument:

    “At the highest levels of international turf racing there’s Northern Dancer – and then there’s everybody else. Tail-male descendants of the legendary sire continue to dominate to the extent that soon only a few other sire lines may effectively exist…”

    He backs his argument with data of G1 turf wins by sire line in Europe (UK, Ireland, France, and Germany) and North America (U.S, Canada) between 2009-2018.

    The figures show Northern Dancer-line horses winning 579 races (73%) in Europe, 220 races (56%) in North America and 799 (67%) in the two Continents combined. Mr Prospector, with 16 percent, is the only other sire line on an upward trajectory. Hence: Norther Dancer and Mr. Prospector had won 83% collectively. Just staggering! Next is the Hail to Reason-line with only 5%.

    My question is, how long will it take to dilute this number?

    If Frankel continues on his trajectory Northern Dancer’s numbers will only increase, not decrease!

    However, it may take another 20-30 years before we can make any definitive conclusions about Frankel’s superiority as a stallion.

    in reply to: Arc 2022 #1616819
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    Congrats to all winners!. She’s some mare, well deserved victory…any chance she goes next to BC Cup?

    in reply to: Prix De L’Abbaye 2022 #1616740
    Turkoman
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    Flotus.

    Does show ability not only over good/firm but also over heavy…

    in reply to: Prix de la Foret 2022 #1616739
    Turkoman
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    Fang.

    Won last time out over C&D following a break of over 2 months…

    in reply to: Belmont at the Big A #1616735
    Turkoman
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    In yesterday’s race at Churchill Downs, Country Grammar had taken over the lead and looked poised to win with less than a furlong to go but, unfortunately, the saddle slipped and his jockey had to lean hard to his left against the eventual winner just to maintain his balance. He lost by inches, however if he had won I’m sure his number would have been lowered by the judges…

    in reply to: Cancel Culture? #1616582
    Turkoman
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    What should be done about VISA, and their financing of PornHub?

    I saw the Bill Ackmam interview where he said that he’s prepared to go all the way to ensure that there’s no settlement out of court. He will back any amount that VISA offers. He’s after VISA’s conviction…

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/02/bill-ackman-blasts-visa-saying-it-has-the-power-to-pressure-pornhub-to-remove-child-pornography.html

    in reply to: Belmont at the Big A #1616581
    Turkoman
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    Ok, that makes perfect sense!

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 264 total)