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When Chapeau De Soleil won his maiden hurdle
he looked a graded horse. He got back on track last time after his jumping fell apart early at Naas between those two runs. He actually wasn’t beaten too far that day considering how badly everything went wrong. 16/1 is fair with 6 places off a mark of 132 in the 17:25. If Waterford Whispers settles better than he did at Cheltenham he will be hard to beat but at 2/1 he looks plenty short, there’s good depth to the race.@apracing, not to mention the Powers Gold Cup for novices at Fairyhouse as another option.
I don’t understand how running him at Punchestown last year was an error? He ran a perfectly respectable race to finish second. Sure he was beaten but so what? It was great to see himself and Bravemansgame turn up again after the Gold Cup.
Beef Or Salmon used to run 6-8 times a season in all the top races. Kauto Star 6 times a season. If Galopin Des Champs is fit and well I see absolutely no issue with running him. If he runs below his best that is not the end of the world, horses aren’t machines. The wrapping up of horses in cotton wool is one of the things turning people off the sport.
If Galopin Des Champs reproduces his Savills win, he’ll win this. I think Fastorslow is also probably clear of the remainder.
I’ve an ante post on Gentlemansgame at 25/1 and have added him e/w at 9/1 without the top two. He has obviously had his problems but has hige scope for improvement. He hammered I Am Maximus on chasing debut last season and that couldn’t have worked out much better. He then split Easy Game and Envoi Allen on his seasonal reappearance before beating Bravemansgame in the Charlie Hall. That is a serious level to have reached in just three starts. Another leap is required here but there is plenty of upside. Ground and trip should not be an issue. He will need a career best obviously but Mouse has a history of producing horses for Cheltenham that leave their form behind so he will do for me.
I think Grey Dawning should be outright favourite here. I’d fancy him to reverse the form with Ginny’s Destiny and he really looked a horse on the improve last time, for all that Apple Away didn’t exactly frank the form on Tuesday. Iroko is a horse I like but I doubt he’s had an ideal prep given he was supposedly out for the season at one point. Even on his best novice hurdle form he probably has a bit to find. Facile Vega could easily win if he puts in an improved jumping display but that department is a worry for him. The Irish Arkle form was held up reasonably well on Tuesday but the pair from that race were no match for Gaelic Warrior at the same time. For all that he is likely to stay, until he actually dors it there must remain a question mark there too. There are no doubts for Grey Dawning on that front.
Backed Cuthbert Dibble last week so happy to see the money for him this morning. Ground is in his favour and I thought he was very good value for his win last time, where he was sent for home needlessly early and was much the best horse.
Backed Home By The Lee 18/1 this morning. Teahupoo the most likely winner but he’s short enough for me now. Home By The Lee was bery unlucky last year with the mistake at the hurdle in front of the stands costing him 5-6 lengths. Blinkers applied now also which will hopefully eek out a bit of improvement.
Weveallbeencaught for me 10/1 ew, is dangerously well handicapped on the pick of his form.
Delighted with that, poor jumps three out and at the last and still one going away.
Think Slade Steel at 9/2 with 4 places is a great each way bet here. Ground not a worry and his form is a lot more solid than the Mullins top two for me. I think Tullyhill in particular is criminally short.
I’d give Firefox and Jeriko Du Reponet a chance but it would be hard to back the latter given stable form while I think Slade Steel has had a better prep than the former and is likely a better horse in any case.
Finding it hard to fancy anything here. Gaelic Warrior is likely the best horse but his form left handed is not far clear of the rest, and he has to bounce back from where he was completely out on his feet at Leopardstown behind Fact To File. Wouldn’t surprise at all if he won but it takes a fair leap of faith to back him.
If forced, Hunters Yarn is probably the one I’d chance near the head of the market as he brings a different formline to the Irish Arkle. He’d be win only given I’d say he’ll likely finish ahead of both Il Etait Temps and Found A Fifty or behind them both. I think Il Etait Temps will confirm the form with that one. I wouldn’t like Quilixios at all.
The one I will be have a small bet on is Authorised Speed at 100/1. He was a leading bumper horse two seasons ago, running well in horrible conditions in the bumper here. He was a good novice hurdle although blew out in the Tolworth, and likely found the ground too quick at Aintree. He was in the process of hacking up on chasing debut at Ascot before a poor effort at Plumpton. He is undoubtedly an in and out sort but he will like the ground and if on a going day he has the ability to get involved in what looks quite an ordinary renewal.
I have a terrible record in most of the handicaps (Grand Annual, Coral Cup, County Hurde particularly) but strangely enough have backed four of the last six winners of this, and that didn’t include Band Of Outlaws who was favourite.
In this year’s search for the winner I am temped by Fergal O’Brien’s Teorie at 50/1. Has anyone any thoughts on him? He may not be thrown in but won in good style last time and 50/1 looks quite big for a horse coming here in form.
Went through this race yesterday, looking for something to take on the top of the market with. I kept scrolling down the list until I landed on Janidil at 50/1.
He needs to leave a bad run at Kempton behind him but he has thrown in bad runs in the past and bounced back so I feel like the price more than compensates for this. The pick of his form over the past 2-3 years would put him right in the mix and I thought 10/1 to place in this company is just too big, albeit for small stakes given his patchy profile.
From a win perspective Capodanno probably rates the most interesting but I’ll wait until next week and see what way the ground is.
Backed Sandor Clegane each way at 20/1 today. There may possibly only be six or seven runners here, and he is one of the ones certain to run barring injury. It’s a cliche but he has always looked and a chaser and his whole season has undoubtedly been building to this.
He has Cheltenham form in the book, albeit on the new course, when third to Stay Way Fay in the Albert Bartlett, beaten just over a length having come from an unpromising position.
While he has yet to win over fences I would be surprised if he doesn’t put in a career best over the larger obstacles next week. I don’t think he was suited to making the running last time at Naas and even then I would rate the victor Embassy Gardens very highly.
The vibes are incredibly strong about Fact To File, and if there is a future Gold Cup winner in the field it is probably him, and if someone fancied him I couldn’t put them off, but he is unproven at the trip and light on experience so I’ll take my chance.
After him you have Stay Away Fay and Montys Star. The former looks very solid while the latter could be anything but bombed out last year. After that there looks nothing much in the race, so am hopeful Big Sandor can hit the frame at least.
