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I will be backing Colnel Rayburn at about 33 or 40 to 1, Le Duc at about 33 or 40 to 1 and Inca Trail at about 40 or 50 to 1. No waffle (I do have some waffle to go with these selections but (i) it is not wanted and (ii) it contains the odd jocular observation about the part of the country the race is held in).<br> <br>Ãâ€â€
anyway, i started drinking early friday evening and didn’t really stop till saturday morning and woke up with a nasty hangover but still managed to get myself to kempton and around about the fifth race someone asked me how i was doing in this competition – it was then i realised i’d forgot to put any selections up. that’ll be minus five points then.
Bangor 3:45 Wild Cane Ridge<br>Redcar 3:50 Reverence<br>Newbury 4:40 Midas Way<br>Redcar 4:55 Celtic Jig<br>Bangor 5:25 Singing Wizard
Artemis, I do like your last response (and all of the other replies) and this is why this is one of my favourite and effectively, unanswerable racing questions. You’re either in one camp or the other, or sitting on the fence and you’ll never be proved right or wrong.
Thank heavens the flat season has started again…
Perhaps if I put it another way……As the effect of the draw has such little effect, bearing in mind the many unknowns and variables that can and do happen in a race along with the more important factors such as form, fitness, distance, course, going, etc……if you are having to come down to considering the draw the race might just be too close to call, so just roll a dice and save yourself a few hours with your draw charts and stopwatches……
Sometimes I just think people try to make things more complicated than they really are…..
This is one of my favourite racing questions and my answer is : ignore it mostly. When looking at a race the two biggest factors for me are the horse and its ability/form and the suitability of the distance/going/track. Next biggest factor for me would be stable form. A professional jockey is a professional jockey in my book and aside from the advantage the top handful can give and the other end of the scale (jockeys I will dodge) I don’t consider the rider too much. As for the draw I really cannot have this at all particularly on rounded tracks. Horses rarely break consistently from stalls, they get positioned god knows where in the race and blocked and baulked and with these unknowns that make differences of lengths lost and found in each race, where the horse starts from is mostly irrelevant to me and I feel that the better horse will account for it’s draw most times. Statistics of the draw make me laugh – what do people expect, an even spread of results for each trap ? I strongly suspect that people who pay a lot of attention to the effect of the draw before a race pay much less attention to the full race result the next day. My last words on this matter should be Miss Meggy – everyone in the pub told me over and over again that no horses had won from it’s draw at Beverley – which probably explained it’s price – if you’re 4 lengths better than the rest on the day you can afford to give the field a head short of 4 lengths handicap, can’t you ?
2:00 Noland<br>2:35 Mid Dancer<br>3:15 Arcalis<br>4:00 Alderburn<br>4:40 Mrs Be<br>5:20 Dreux
I’m not quite sure if you are trying to say something other than this was sad, another fine animal lost. If you are please clarify your point.  Cordial was indeed a fine looking horse and appeared to suffer about as little as a horse can when falling fatally.  Also sad to me is that this event got not a line of coverage in the press compared to the excessive amount of coverage given to Best Mate.  When people asked me about Best Mate I pointed out to them that horses do die every week and this is in my eye equally as sad.  I don’t buy into this hero worship thing and if it wasn’t for Cordials, Best Mates wouldn’t be heroes.  Yes, R.I.P. Cordial.
