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Capponi
Elnawin
Age of Aquarius
Motrice
Kalahaag
Gene Autry
MatsunosukeCharles Darwin to conquer the World
Thanks for that link Pete. It looks very useful.
Those stats look more encouraging.
I’ve got a list of 15 horses for tomorrow but have a gut feeling to go down the favourite route so apologise for changing my mind again but I’m looking for following now instead – 1st LTO or bf running within 7 days of last race and forecast fav from Atr website.
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
3.25 Goodwood –
Age Of Aquarius
6/4 (bog)
I’m hoping this one breaks my run of defeats otherwise I’m going to have to dust off my scrims and get my lazy backside up my ladder. The horse deserves a big win after a royal ding dong at Ascot in the Gold Cup and wasn’t far behind the impressive King George winner Harbinger earlier on in the season.
£4.00 win.
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
I wonder, I wonder. Is it misguided loyalty, sado-masochism, or a cricket-related adrenalin rush. You’re once, twice….three times a……………a winner!!!!
KI like that, Cheers Ken.
Yesterdays loser takes the scores to – P/L –
-£6.75
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
Sticking with bog I’m going to recorded the records to a 1pt stake on the following.
1. Overall P/L of both bf and winners LTO returning within 7 days.
2. bf return within 7 days
3. Winners LTO return within 7 days
4. bf or winners LTO returning within 7 days that are forecast fav from ATR website.(these selections will have a
***
next to them.)
4.00 Goodwood – Bowdler’s Magic(6)1LTO – 8/1
6.00 Galway – Gracchus(6)1LTO – 7/1
8.50 Leicester – Sir Bruno(5)bf – 6/1Charles Darwin to conquer the World
Mission Control
King Torus
Canford Cliffs
Berling
Yashila
Dance East
CoastingCharles Darwin to conquer the World
Nathan, I thought you were going to do it a couple of furlongs out. Sad about Film score though.
Film Score was very sad.
It was a shame Fencing Master couldn’t hold onto a place. The pace looked quick and he might of been better coming from deeper although the winner wasn’t too far behind Fencing Master on the way around. I was in a really good mood tonight after Somerset’s cricket team made it into Final’s day of 20/20(I’m on them winning it at 9’s) and to celebrate I’ve nailed my colours to the mast and have backed…………..wait for it……………………………………….
St Leger –
Fencing Master
50/1
50p each/way 1/4 odds, 3 places.
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
No Cameron White today for Somerset but the good news is that if they can get past Northants then Pollard should return for finals day.
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
Thanks Ken. The best thing about betting in small stakes is I could lose 100 in a row and all I have to do is go out and clean the neighbours windows and if I’m lucky I might get a cup of tea and a biscuit or even a piece of cake.
The mugs have been reading again, Fencing Master now 12’s best price.
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
I’m pocketing the 9p profit
Just the paper trail from now on but including winners LTO.
2.45 Goodwood – Fencing Master(bf)(6) 14/1 this morning
Three Ships was a winning LTO but I’m in a hurry and cant find the paper with race details on so will start scoring P/L again from scratch tomorrow.
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
2.40 French race –
Xtension
9/2
Lost
P/L –
-£5.75
2.45 Goodwood –
Fencing Master
14/1 (bog)
Having looked back at the Ascot race perhaps I was wrong in thinking a mile was this horse’s best trip as after a slow start and being pushed along a fair way from home he finished strongly enough and done his best work at the finish. This is another step up in trip but he holds an entry for the St Leger so I’m confident he will see out the trip. His run 6 days ago wasn’t great but I’m prepared to give him another chance on better ground.
50p each/way 1/4 odds, 3 places.
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
Yamal
Fencing Master
Main Aim
Zebedee
Start Right
Big Issue
Emerging ArtistCharles Darwin to conquer the World
(bog)
2.15 Yarmouth – Thoughtsofstardom 10/1
2.15 Yarmouth – Black Baccara 9/4
3.00 Wolverhampton – Crocodile Bay 12/1
4.30 Wolverhampton – Athaakeel 5/1
7.35 Galway – Cinnin Oir (Reserve
) SP
N/R
T P/L – +£0.09
The stats from bagnallc and the 8 losers in a row have got me thinking to look for a different approach. I agree with Billion in that a winner returning quickly could figure in the selection process.
I was thinking along the lines of
#Winner or bf running again within 7 days
#Forecast fav from ATRwebsite (easier for me than news paper)Any thoughts?
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
Hi,
Not sure if helps but i ran your idea (losing fav last race turned out within 7 days) through the database.
Here are the stats since 2003
Bets 3718
Wins 727
WinStrike 19.55%
P/L at SP -459.12
Places 976
PlaceStrike 26.25%Thanks for those bagnallc. They don’t look very encouraging do they.
(bog)
2.15 Yarmouth – Thoughtsofstardom 10/1
2.15 Yarmouth – Black Baccara 9/4
3.00 Wolverhampton – Crocodile Bay 12/1
4.30 Wolverhampton – Athaakeel 5/1
7.35 Galway – Cinnin Oir (Reserve
) SP
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
2.25 Carlisle – Kashimin SP
2.40 Pontefract – Explorator 4/1 (bog)N/R
T P/L – +£0.49
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
I promise I will never doubt Somerset again!
I try not to praise them up too much because when I do they seem to put in a bad game but this is the best Somerset side I’ve seen in a very long time. Kartik be there again next season and the way the wicket is changing at Taunton with not preparing a batting paradise for championship games I think one more quality bowler and they could land the title. Need to win it soon as Trescothick could prove hard to replace.Nice bet there with the Unicorns
thought Worcester had hit enough because Durston no longer plays for the Unicorns and he was their main man before the break in the comp.Charles Darwin to conquer the World
thought Worcester had hit enough because Durston no longer plays for the Unicorns and he was their main man before the break in the comp.