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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

maninpub

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Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 46 total)
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  • in reply to: Small field h/caps #1300447
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    Yesterday, Today Please pleased me by coming 2nd @ 1.64 :)
    After checking through this thread (but discounting the ‘fiasco’ race on May 5th) it seems win percentage is 41.7 and for places it is 91.7. I think it’s a keeper.
    Two for today.

    Ling 3.20 Edward Lewis
    MR 4.15 Whitsundays

    in reply to: Small field h/caps #1300347
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    ADL was unplaced
    B won @ 2.8/1.8
    NW won @ 3.21/1.86

    One for today…
    Worc 3.20 Today Please :good:

    in reply to: Small field h/caps #1300132
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    On the 7th, KS came 2nd and the place paid 3.18. Generous I thought :)
    There are three of these this evening. Let’s see how they go.

    Ex 6.45 Abricot De L’Oasis
    Leic 7.00 Burguillos
    Leic 7.30 Naval Warfare
    :good:

    in reply to: Small field h/caps #1299871
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    One for today.
    Ham 2.35 Kensington Star :good:

    in reply to: Enjoying a pint or two whilst watching these #1299625
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    In that Naas race RE was 3rd 7/1. No idea what the BSP place was.
    TTG was 4th 8/1

    Two for today.

    Good 2.40
    Suzi’s connoisseur—win + larger place
    Roll On Rory—smaller win only

    Thirsk 3.40
    Cote D’Azure—smaller win only
    Mutakarez—win + larger place

    in reply to: Small field h/caps #1299616
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    Hello MrE. Pleased to see that you’re not out to grass just yet. :)
    There are two selections today.
    Muss 3.30 Go George Go—-2nd @ 2/1 BSP unknown, was out most of the day.
    Font 5.55 Brotherly Company—-did not finish. Was a fiasco for me. could have sworn 5 were declared early morn. was 2.5 to win on BF then. A place bet on an 8/11 shot??? No way!
    :good:

    Nothing today.

    in reply to: Hello Girls…. #1299517
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    I agree in part..but is IS a good LS staking plan too. It will only work well if your bank does not decrease too dramatically. Should it do so, then your system/selection method is simply not good enough. It’s what’s known as ‘a bin job’ :)

    in reply to: Hello Girls…. #1299493
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    My own experience tells me that win/lose sequences are random. So just leave to it the law of averages. It seems to be primarily a place system. You have a fair number of selections each week too. So..my suggestion is this.
    Divide your bank by 20. That should be your stake for two weeks. Every 2nd Sunday after racing evaluate your bank and divide by 20. That’s your stake for the next two weeks.
    Hope this helps. :good:

    in reply to: Small field h/caps #1299428
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    Hello MrE. Pleased to see that you’re not out to grass just yet. :)
    There are two selections today.
    Muss 3.30 Go George Go
    Font 5.55 Brotherly Company
    :good:

    in reply to: Hello Girls…. #1299427
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    Top & Tails for Wednesday

    RAVENHOE (4 days) 3.25 Pontefract just scrapes in at my minimum price of 4/5 for a top 3 finish WON 11/4
    also at 4 days is COMPAS SCOOBIE Yarmouth 8.20 but I am resolved to swerve claiming riders especially when it is 7lb. …LOST
    BLUE POINT (207 days) 3.45 Ascot being the early favourite at 11/8 is interesting. WON 13/8

    Hi billion. That was a good day! :)

    in reply to: Small field h/caps #1299402
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    A couple of 2nd places today paying 2.03 & 1.62. NA was out of the frame.
    I’ll be making a slight modification to the selection criteria. This will result in less selections I’m sure. It will be a sounder system though.

    in reply to: Small field h/caps #1299345
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    Going for three today.
    Tow 4.20 Kayla
    Sedge 6.00 Nine Alters
    Sedge 7.00 Vodka Wells
    :good:

    in reply to: Small field h/caps #1299302
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    Well! I gave fair warning about the two wary ones. They finished 4th & 3rd.
    The sound system selection Won @ 2.77/1.7
    I’ll keep sticking them up but no more wary ones. :)

    in reply to: Small field h/caps #1299247
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    Hello billion. I guessed it might pique your interest. :yes:
    In the 3.00 CG won @ 7/2 but I was out at the time. Don’t know the BSP win/place price.
    Masterson dead heated 1st in the 7.30. 2.68/1.6.
    In the Chelm 7.40 Ickymasho was 2nd for 2.22.

    There are three races for me today but I’m a bit wary of two of them.
    The first of those wary ones is Count Montecristo in the Wolv 3.35. It picked itself without any input from me. Caution advised.
    In the Pont 4.00 Melodic Motion is the system selection. OK by me.
    Yar 6.50. Another one that picked itself is Wings Of Esteem. Again, caution advised.

    You should see by now the common denominator in these races. There can be no selection without it.
    Have a good day! :)

    in reply to: Enjoying a pint or two whilst watching these #1299074
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    Not much to shout about after Saturday’s lot.
    P3.10 ADV was a n/r.
    S5.20 SM was 2nd and paid 3.35.
    Doing one race @ Naas today.
    5.35
    Reckless Endeavour> win + larger place
    Tony The Gent> smaller win only

    in reply to: Enjoying a pint or two whilst watching these #1298807
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    Forgot to mention that there was a return yesterday. REF 4th in the 4.55 paid 2.92 the place.
    Today I’m having a tilt at 3 decent h/caps.

    Punch 3.10
    Arbre De Vie – win + bigger place
    Courtdown Oscar – smaller win only

    San 5.20
    Stowaway Magic – win + bigger place
    Tree Of Liberty – smaller win only

    Punch 5.35
    Geordie Des Champs – smaller win only
    Protek Des Flos – win + bigger place

    Good Luck if you’re having a go today!
    :good:

    in reply to: Punchestown Champion Hurdle 2017 #1298678
    maninpub
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    My Tent Or Yours is very consistent. I expect a great effort here. Small win & loaded place.

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 46 total)