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I don’t think we’re helped much by tales of firm ground and magical turf drying equipment. If it was firm, then why did McCabe say he was scraping the muck off his shoes ?
One of the things that draws me to the Breeders Cup is me being a sucka for the big occasion. However i think at least half of the meetings races would have been better at Kempton or Wolves. Take away the story of Kentucky weather and folklore(the ground wasn’t firm arghhh), the stories about old dying woman rescuing horses from evil serfs and thieving wizards, who have foretold them that if they don’t win a BC race sponsored by some over priced vodka drink or metal watch, then all their family will die on the flight home. We’re then left with a track i’m not a fan of, and too many races with less than exciting finishes, and over priced horses winning so called world championship races. I will always like the Breeders Cup because of the occasion and presentation. I even enjoyed yesterday to an extent considering i won hee haw. I just prefer Santa Anita holding the event, and i hope their dirt races and hosting provide better finishes and less fables.
One more actually. I’ve backed Misty for me @ 8/1 for a tenner in the Filly & Mare turf. I was impressed with her runs in the Irish 1000 and the Pretty Polly. I feel that she has enough pace to be suited to this track. I’m not actually that concerned about her being drawn out in 12. If she breaks in behind she can let the other horses do their thing up front. One they swing round the corner and make their moves, she can get a position just to the outside of the pack and make a closing move. Hopefully the break has done her a world of good. She will need to be smart against Stacelita, Nahrain and Announce.
My third and last bet(unless i win something) for the BC is for 30 quid on
Farraaj
at 7/1 for the juvenile turf. He’s drawn nicely in 4, so hopefully he has less trouble in running than i did trying to spell his name correctly. His form from his last run at Newmarket works out pretty damn well, with Zip Top and Crusade franking that particular form line. He is tough and has pace, and has had only 4 starts, 2 of which were in the space of 8 days. This is another trainer who really wants a win in the Breeders Cup, and that makes the decision easier for me. I suppose Caspar Ne… wait until i get the correct spelling in a search…’Caspar Netscher’ backers also can have confidence in knowing those guys really want to win over there as well. I’m looking forward to these races.
Cheers Gordon. It’s been a bloody eventful week on the punting front. Weird Al done well. Then there’s the other side of the coin. Born to Sea wasn’t 100%, Strong Suit was drawn 11 and Red Cadeux was beaten by an inch of a midges baw hair
. I stayed up to watch it because apart from having a punt, it’s one of my favourite races. It can be such a cruel game at times. If Richard Hughes gets up to monkey business in the mile, i can see me having to save up for a new tv and living room window. I’ll need to get another winner shortly.My next selections are the two horses we’re familiar with for the BC Marathon. Not exactly ground breaking stuff, but i put 40 quid on Brigantin @ 8/1, and 20 quid on Meeznah at 9/1. My thinking is that they can both stay the trip, and hopefully on dirt given their pedigree. Both horses have good form, and i think both trainers want this race. Lanagan has said he’s always wanted to win a race at the BC meeting, and team Valor like Brigantin as he’s a home bred. I really hope they go close, as they campaign against good stayers. I watched last years Marathon, and there were one or two decent performances, but nothing from the Americans makes me think that the third placed horses in that race should be 4/1.
G’day mates, any sharks in the water ?….Melbourne cup time again, and i’ve made three tenner selections. This is one of my favourite races, so here’s hoping i can stay up for it. I’ve picked Red Cadeux @ 40/1, Fox Hunt @ 34/1, and the most unlikeliest winner from my three is 25/1 for Modun, who might not get the trip.
Red Cadeux – A length behind Duncan and Jukebox Jury at the Curragh, off level weights with juice in the ground. This strikes me as a horse whos form comes in bursts, so as he is in at 8st 6 pounds, and is in good form since making the journey to Australia, i thought the price was reasonable enough. I’d like some rain and a fast pace for this one.
Fox Hunt – We can kid ourselves on all we want, but anyone who has backed him within the last 48 hours has listened to Mark Johnson. He thinks it’s the ideal race for Fox Hunt. He posseses a good turn of foot, and a jockey who is at the top of the game right now. I’m interested to see how he will run at a lower weight of 8st 6 pounds, as he is usually lumped with the higher weights in group handicaps. Can go and stay on either likely going.
Modun – A horse that if i didn’t back i’d kick myself if he somehow won. I suppose we all have these kind of bets from time to time. On the plus side is his burst of pace, his natural progression and his growing into a stronger frame recently. He’s a big boy alright, but 2 miles against more experienced campaigners at the trip might be a big ask. He will take a couple of prizes in Dubai i’d think.
I’ve backed Born to Sea for the 2000 guineas at 9/1 for 30 quid. He couldn’t have been any more impressive as a future prospect. He was obviously green as it was his debut, but he sat behind the front horses and showed plenty when given a couple of soft whips to finish off the job with ease. I also feel comfortable backing a good John Oxx horses given how he handled STS, as i know we won’t have to guess to much about his horses targets, or wonder if he has a better horse in the yard. I’m one of an awful lot of people who watch racing that think this horse could turn out to be very nice. I don’t even think 9/1 will be available by lunchtime tomorrow, and after the race i think he will be around 5/2 – 3/1 for Newmarket. If he doesn’t i will look like a right plum !
Todays Charlie Hall is an interesting race as it has many quality horses with question marks against them for numerous reasons, my selection included. I’ve selected Weird Al at 12/1 for a tenner. He has course form and will appreciate the ground, which i suspect may be a bit softer than the ‘good’ that’s advertised. Diamond Harry will run a very good race FTO if he is himself, and i suspect Time For Rupert will be very useful in the top races this season. I just think that for a smaller stakes punter like myself, 12/1 is a good price for a nice traveller who jumps very well, with a new good trainer. I obviously have no clue about the fitness levels of any of the competitors, and therefore these early races can make a right mug out of people.
I like to have a wee punt on the ‘both teams to score’ market on the fitbaw(football). My 4 selections accumulative odds are 19/2, again for a tenner.
Man City vs Wolves
Norwich vs Blackburn
W Ham vs Leicster
Birmingham vs BrightonI had a look at tomorrows Dewhurst, and the horse i have backed for a 11 quid stake is ‘Most Improved’ at 10/1. He’s a big 2 y/o who has course experience, having run both his races there, breaking his maiden in the process. It’s certainly a big step up in class, but i think he can run a big race.
Does anyone know if Elzaam is heading for this sprint. 33s looks pretty big if he is an intended runner ?
. I stayed up to watch it because apart from having a punt, it’s one of my favourite races. It can be such a cruel game at times. If Richard Hughes gets up to monkey business in the mile, i can see me having to save up for a new tv and living room window. I’ll need to get another winner shortly.