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THUNDER SNOW @ 16/1 (20-1 U.S Tote) to win 143rd Kentucky Derby
WHY?
– he is 2 for 2 on dirt
– won at the longest distance (UAE Derby 1 3/16) – no other contender raced so far yet
– won on off-track condition – track will be sloppy/muddy Saturday
– C. Soumillon know how to win race with big fields, horse is 3 for 3 with this rider
– no other horse carried more than 124 pounds, except Thunder Snow who won with 131 pounds
– has the lowest dosage number in the field (0.89) – the lowest, the better
– only concern – pp 2, but C. Soumillon will figure this out.
Conclusion: don’t hesitate to bet TS to win KD
Good luck,
Krist
VYTA DU ROC – nap
KINGS PALACE
TAGLIETELLE
MR MOLE
TOUTANCARMONT
SEBASTIAN BEACH
DAVY DOUBTL’Ami Serge
Vibrato Valtat – nap
Mendip Express
Hurricane Fly
Annie Power
Cause of Causes
Stellar NotionI owe everybody couple words of comments to my Cheltenham picks – didn’t had time when I posted….
Firstly… those are my antepost selections (still), one I was looking consequently during the last 2 months, several those picks I had in my antepost portfolio bets with better odds, than they now worthy, (mostly singles and doubles, like Hollywell, Sybarite, Vibrato Valtat…..etc.)…
Secondly….probably some of my picks didn’t run or select different race, so my selection for those particular races can change, but my plan is to use my selections for placepot every day at Cheltenham and also bet every day 2-3 horses, which offer price (or which ones will be underestimated by public/bookies)…..mostly that will be doubles/patents…
And finally…..
BE LUCKY EVERYONE DURING THE FESTIVAL……MAY THE HORSE BE WITH YOU !!!2012 MELBOURNE CUP
RED CADEAUX is going to turn the tables this Tuesday down under…..
RED CADEAUX –
1.0 PT. EACH WAY @ 9/1
KristSATURDAY – NOVEMBER 3RD
MY LAST SELECTIONS AND PLAY FOR 2012 FLAT SEASON,…EITHER I END WITH A BANG
,…OR MY LOSS WILL BE GREATER….JUVENILE TURF: # 10 JOHA @ 15/1
TURF: # 12 TRAILBLAZER @ 6/1
TURF SPRINT: # 11 MIZDIRECTION @ 10.5/1BET: 0.3 PT. YANKEE [for total inv. 3.3 pts.]
Only one good winner: MizdirectionLOSS TO DATE: 15.3 pts.
GOOD LUCK
Krist
http://www.kristpicks.com/FINAL PICKS WITH POST POSITIONS
CONTENDERS AND UPSETTERS:
DAY 1
JUVENILE SPRINTPICK: 2 CEILING KITTY*
MARATHON
PICK: 2 FAME AND GLORY WATCH OUT FOR: 13 SENSE OF PURPOSE
JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
PICK: 3 SKY LANTERN WATCH OUT FOR: 12 THE GOLD CHEONGSAM
JUVENILE FILLIES
PICK: 8 KAUAI KATIE
FILLIES AND MARES TURF
PICK: 10 RIDASIYNA WATCH OUT FOR: 2 ZAGORA*
LADIES CLASSIC
PICK: 5 AWESOME FEATHER*
DAY 2
JUVENILE TURF
PICK: 5 FANTASTIC MOON WATCH OUT FOR: 14 LINES OF BATTLE
FILLIES AND MARES SPRINT
PICK: 9 GROUPIE DOLL WATCH OUT FOR: 3 DUST AND DIAMONDS
DIRT MILE
PICK: 3 JERSEY TOWN WATCH OUT FOR: 2 DELEGATION
TURF SPRINT
PICK: 5 NEXT QUESTION WATCH OUT FOR: 10 CORPORATE JUNGLE
JUVENILE
PICK: 4 SHANGHAI BOBBY WATCH OUT FOR: 8 FORTIFY*
TURF
PICK: 5 SHARETA
SPRINT
PICK: 7 THE LUMBER GUY* WATCH OUT FOR: 8 CAPITAL ACCOUNT
MILE
PICK: 3 OBVIOUSLYCLASSIC
PICK: 11 MUCHO MACHO MAN* WATCH OUT FOR: 1 POOL PLAY*
*)value bets
**) in Classic I don’t like favors and I am looking for bombs!!!
Good luck *)
SATURDAY – OCTOBER 27
MY SELECTIONS:
NEWBURY 2.45 – [8] NOBLE MISSION @ 4/1
DONCASTER 3.35 – [1] CODE OF HONOR @ 4/1
NEWBURY 3.45 – [2] LITTLE ROCKY @ 7/1BET: 0.5 pt. Trixie
Win & 2nd – overall LOSS
LOSS TO DATE: 12.0 pts.
Good luck
KristPICKS UPDATED (10.25)
BC CLASSIC
– FORT LARNED & POOL PLAY
BC LADIES’ CLASSIC
– AWESOME FEATHER
BC TURF
– SHARETA
BC FILLY & MARE TURF
– THE FUGUE & RIDASIYNA
BC MILE
– EXCELEBRATION & OBVIOUSLY
BC DIRT MILE
– JERSEY TOWN
BC SPRINT
– CAPITAL ACCOUNT & EMCEE
BC TURF SPRINT
– CORPORATE JUNGLE
BC FILLY & MARE SPRINT
– GROUPIE DOLL
BC JUVENILE
– SHANGHAI BOBBY
BC JUVENILE TURF
– I’M BOUNDTOSCORE & JOHA
BC JUVENILE FILLIES
– KAUAI KATIE
BC JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
– SKY LANTERN
BC JUVENILE SPRINT
– BEHOLDER
BC MARATHON
– FAME AND GLORY
MY ANTEPOST SELECTIONS FOR BREEDERS’ CUP [Santa Anita – November 2nd & 3rd]
BC MARATHON: FAME AND FLORY @ 4/1
BC LADIES CLASSIC: AWESOME FEATHER @ 9/2
BC TURF SPRINT: CORPORATE JUNGLE @ 21/1
BC TURF: SHARETA @ 5/1
BC MILE: OBVIOUSLY @ 17/1
BC JUVENILE: SHANGHAI BOBBY @ 2/1
BC SPRINT: CAPITAL ACCOUNT @ 10/1ALL SELECTIONS ARE 2 pts. WIN ONLY
1 WINNER from 7 SELECTIONS [SHANGHAI BOBBY] – RETURN: 6.0 PTS.
LOSS – 8.0 PTS.Good luck
Krist
http://www.kristpicks.com/SATURDAY – OCTOBER 20
THREE RUNNERS FROM CHAMPIONS DAY CARD AT ASCOT
@ 1.45: # 1 AIKEN
@ 2.55: # 1 DANCING RAIN
@ 4.45: # 4 HIGHLAND COLORIBET: 0.25 pt. E/W PATENT [Total inv. 3.5 pts.]
2 PLACES: return 2.5 ptsLOSS TO DATE: 10 pts.
Krist
Good luck
http://www.kristpicks.com/SATURDAY – 13TH OF OCTOBER
COUPLE STARTERS TODAY I AM GOING TO BACK:
NM 3.35: [9] – OLYMPIAD @ 12/1
Y 3.45: [7] – HEERAAT @ 5/1
Y 4.55: [10] – BECAUSEWECAN @ 14/1
NM 5.15: [13] – STIPULATE @ 5/1PLAY: 0.2 pt. Lucky 15 & 0.29 pt. E/W Accumulator
Total inv.: 3.58 pts.
NO JOY !!! LOST AGAINLOSS TO DATE: 9.0 pts.
good luck
KristMY SELECTIONS FOR THE WEEKEND
SATURDAY – OCTOBER 6TH:
REDCAR 2.40 – # 3 RIO GRANDE @ 12.8/1
ASCOT 3.35 – # 4 SKILFUL @ 8/1
BET: 1.0 pt. E/W DOUBLENon-runner and winner:SKILFUL !!!
WON: 10.08 pts.
SUNDAY – OCTOBER 7TH:
ARC DE TRIOMPHE – LONGCHAMP 3.25
# 1 SEA MOON 2.0 pts. WIN @ 10/1
# 16 SAONOIS 1.0 pt. E/W @ 8/1BOTH UNPLACED !!!
INVESTMENT TOTAL : 6.0 ptsLOSS TO DATE: 5.42 pts.
Good luck
Krist
,…OR MY LOSS WILL BE GREATER….
