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[b:33nnatp3]2012 BREEDERS’ CUP – SANTA ANITA: NOVEMBER 2 & 3[/b:33nnatp3][/color:33nnatp3]
MY TOP CONTENDERS FOR 2012 BREEDERS’ CUP – FIRST LOOK AT ALL CHAMPIONSHIP RACES:
BC CLASSIC
– FORT LARNED & POOL PLAY
BC LADIES’ CLASSIC
– AWESOME FEATHER
BC TURF
– POINT OF ENTRY
BC FILLY & MARE TURF
– IZZI TOP & NAHRAIN
BC MILE
– WISE DAN
BC DIRT MILE
– JERSEY TOWN & MORNING LANE
BC SPRINT
– CAPITAL ACCOUNT
BC TURF SPRINT
– BRIDGETOWN & STRONG SUIT
BC FILLY & MARE SPRINT
– GROUPIE DOLL
BC JUVENILE
– FORTIFY
BC JUVENILE TURF
– ARTIGIANO & JOHA
BC JUVENILE FILLIES
– BEHOLDER
BC JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
– SKY LANTERN & FUNFAIR
BC JUVENILE SPRINT
– KAUAI KATIE
BC MARATHON
– CALIDOSCOPIO
CHECK BACK DURING BREEDERS’ CUP WEEK FOR FINAL SELECTIONS AND HAPPY HANDICAPPING !!!
Krist
Greetings from sunny southern California…
where we are beginning to put the final touches
on what promises to be the best Breeders’ Cup ever!My wife and I will be at Santa Anita both BC days,
taking photos and enjoying the excellent weekend action.
As always, folks here are welcome to visit UpInClass Racing Forum (USA).
Come see what the Americans are saying about Breeders’ Cup 2012.Good Luck to ALL who read this message!
Dell Yount
http://upinclass.blogspot.com/PICKS UPDATED (10.25)
BC CLASSIC
– FORT LARNED & POOL PLAY
BC LADIES’ CLASSIC
– AWESOME FEATHER
BC TURF
– SHARETA
BC FILLY & MARE TURF
– THE FUGUE & RIDASIYNA
BC MILE
– EXCELEBRATION & OBVIOUSLY
BC DIRT MILE
– JERSEY TOWN
BC SPRINT
– CAPITAL ACCOUNT & EMCEE
BC TURF SPRINT
– CORPORATE JUNGLE
BC FILLY & MARE SPRINT
– GROUPIE DOLL
BC JUVENILE
– SHANGHAI BOBBY
BC JUVENILE TURF
– I’M BOUNDTOSCORE & JOHA
BC JUVENILE FILLIES
– KAUAI KATIE
BC JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
– SKY LANTERN
BC JUVENILE SPRINT
– BEHOLDER
BC MARATHON
– FAME AND GLORY
Odds and comments by Mike Watchmaker @ DRF…
http://www.drf.com/news/breeders-cup-20 … tries-oddshttp://i115.photobucket.com/albums/n291/UpInClass/Breeders%20Cup/BreedersCupSantaAnitaLogo.jpg
Meandre
Moonlight Cloud
Fame & Glory
Sky Lantern
…for me. And maybe one or two others.Good to hear from you again, Badactor. Look forward to your excellent photo’s. Do you guys touch the statue of Seabiscuit for luck as we do here with Arkle at Cheltenham? If so, say hello to the statue from me….my dream is to do it myself one day. Have a great time. Anyone got a radio link, by the way?
Grimes where did you pick up Meandre from – he’s not running in Breeders’ Cup.
Declarations for both Friday and Saturday’s races are at 10am local time tomorrow (Monday).
FINAL PICKS WITH POST POSITIONS
CONTENDERS AND UPSETTERS:
DAY 1
JUVENILE SPRINTPICK: 2 CEILING KITTY*
MARATHON
PICK: 2 FAME AND GLORY WATCH OUT FOR: 13 SENSE OF PURPOSE
JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
PICK: 3 SKY LANTERN WATCH OUT FOR: 12 THE GOLD CHEONGSAM
JUVENILE FILLIES
PICK: 8 KAUAI KATIE
FILLIES AND MARES TURF
PICK: 10 RIDASIYNA WATCH OUT FOR: 2 ZAGORA*
LADIES CLASSIC
PICK: 5 AWESOME FEATHER*
DAY 2
JUVENILE TURF
PICK: 5 FANTASTIC MOON WATCH OUT FOR: 14 LINES OF BATTLE
FILLIES AND MARES SPRINT
PICK: 9 GROUPIE DOLL WATCH OUT FOR: 3 DUST AND DIAMONDS
DIRT MILE
PICK: 3 JERSEY TOWN WATCH OUT FOR: 2 DELEGATION
TURF SPRINT
PICK: 5 NEXT QUESTION WATCH OUT FOR: 10 CORPORATE JUNGLE
JUVENILE
PICK: 4 SHANGHAI BOBBY WATCH OUT FOR: 8 FORTIFY*
TURF
PICK: 5 SHARETA
SPRINT
PICK: 7 THE LUMBER GUY* WATCH OUT FOR: 8 CAPITAL ACCOUNT
MILE
PICK: 3 OBVIOUSLYCLASSIC
PICK: 11 MUCHO MACHO MAN* WATCH OUT FOR: 1 POOL PLAY*
*)value bets
**) in Classic I don’t like favors and I am looking for bombs!!!
Good luck *)
Turf Mile – Excelebration
That’ll do me !
Might be greedy and double him up with Game on Dude, both look to have outstanding chances.
Grimes where did you pick up Meandre from – he’s not running in Breeders’ Cup.
Declarations for both Friday and Saturday’s races are at 10am local time tomorrow (Monday).
From the Oddschecker site, Adrian. What a disappoinment. I don’t believe we’ve seen the best of her yet – like a good few of these BC runners, I dare say.
The prices the bookies are offering seem very skinny. Is it likely that waiting for the US tote pool would be preferable? I can’t believe they’ve been contracting.
Clearly you don’t become an American racing expert in a few hours so caution should be the order of the day.
I think Ridasiyna represents the best chance for the Europeans but I was visually impressed by the wins of Lady Of Shamrock. Is she 16/1 on the assumption the European fillies on turf are historically superior or were those victories a case of style over substance? An American view on her chances would be appreciated.
Handicapping note: Note: Now that Oak Tree is out of Santa Anita the track changed the names of most of the fall stakes races. A guide for the perplexed: http://espn.go.com/horse-racing/story/_ … all-stakes
Clearly you don’t become an American racing expert in a few hours so caution should be the order of the day.
I think Ridasiyna represents the best chance for the Europeans but I was visually impressed by the wins of Lady Of Shamrock. Is she 16/1 on the assumption the European fillies on turf are historically superior or were those victories a case of style over substance? An American view on her chances would be appreciated.
Ridasyna is 4/1 on the morning line because she’s an Aga Khan horse. Lady of Shamrock is 12/1 on the morning line because the Californian F&M turf contingent that she’s been beating isn’t as strong as those back east, and neither of them are as good as the Europeans. However, the quirks of Santa Anita’s downhill superhighway turf course work in her favor. I expect Zagora to end up as the parimutuel favorite, unless the turf is worse than firm.
A few thoughts:
-Fame and Glory is going to be horribly overbet in the Marathon, so I’d take a closer look at the Americans this time. I must mention my local boy Not Abroad, who’s as hard-knocking as they come, will always find a way to get on the board, and has shown staying ability.
-California Flag is still the king of the Santa Anita turf sprints. Like Kauto Star at Kempton, bet against him here at your own risk.
-Point of Entry, from the legendary Phipps stable, is a shoe-in for Champion Turf Horse. He’s keeping the Dynaformer legacy alive and I look forward to watching him duke it out with St. Nicholas Abbey.
-Excelebration will lose to Wise Dan and make you all hate Joseph O’Brien all over again.
-Game On Dude has very appropriate initials.If the real Excelebration turns up then he will make Wise Dan look like one can Dan. I think the Americans have a chance in the juv turf, which quite a few expect the Europeans to win. A couple of decent looking American horses have a decent draw, such as Noble Tune(nice mover) and Balance the Books for example. In the turf i’d expect either St Nic or Shareta to prevail, as they were looked after last time. Point of Entry can enter where he wants, but he won’t be winning this race i’m afraid. My single was The Fugue at 11/4, and the only horses in that race that concern me are the ones i don’t know. I think she will win as long as things go ok in running.
What do you guys make of the first race – the dirt sprint for juveniles?
I have been pawing through it for the past hour and am starting to favour Ceiling Kitty over Merit Man. Being by Red Clubs with plenty of US blood in her pedigree, she should handle the dirt well. It is so hard to compare the pair of them, though.
Looking at last year’s race, the European contender didn’t have such strong form in the book as Ceiling Kitty, who is a Grade 1 winner. Secret Circle had a very similar profile to Merit Man, yet only clung on by a length from Shumoos. By that slightly convoluted logic, maybe Ceiling Kitty should get the verdict.
I have read reports that she "took a long time to get used to the place" when visiting the Santa Anita track, though. Can you shed any more light on that, Miss Woodford?
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