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Can somebody tell me how colour squadron is 16/1?
Ok, im not saying he will definitely win the race but he represents value at those odds when compared to Montbazon at 11/1. This horse beat montbazon in a maiden without much fuss; granted it was montbazons first hurdles run. He then hung badly left in January and would have won at Sandown if he didnt. He has subsequently fallen 2 from home when travelling strongest of all in a hot race with montbazon and vulcanite.
His jumping seems good in general and hopefully the fall will not dent his confidence. I think he is a massive ew player at those odds.
One other issue the horse may have is to hang left, this may be contributing to the value price but Dickie can hopefully get him coming around the bend with a few horses on his left which should be enough to stop him shifting left after the last when the rail stops.
2pt ew is recommended.Firstly to the Drinmore chase, where a first glance at the entries tells me Michael O Leary might need to borrow a few hats from his air-hosts to ensure he has enough for this race! something tells me there will be more than the regular maroon and second string (white) cap needed on Sunday!
With 8 of the 16 entries carrying his colours and by my judgement 5 who would have serious chances if going forward, I would be rushing into Paddy Power in the morning to see can I get 1/4on, on the winner being a Gigginstown inmate!!
Getting back to more serious possible punts for the weekend, and it is hard to look past Thousand Stars for the Hattons Grace… if declared! This horse has to be one of the most likeable hurdlers around as he has progressed rapidly over the past few seasons from being a run of the mill handicapper to a Grade 1 rated horse.
No disrespect to Katie Walsh (who is a fine jockey in her own right) but my feeling was that Thousand stars may have won the Aintree hurdle if Ruby or PT were on board!
Given the horses tremendous performance in the Morgiana two weeks ago and the extra 4F being of benefit, any odds smelling close to even money should be snapped up!
Its obvious enough many entries are unlikely to run, such as Hurricane Fly and Zaidpour but of those who are likely to run, there will be a top field (Expect Oscars well, The Real Article, Volar la Vedette to run) and although Oscars well will be suited to a step up to 2m4f (a beautiful traveller), my money would be on the consistent mare of Colm Murphy’s as forecast material.
Any thoughts please?
