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Supreme novices 2012

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Viewing 17 posts - 239 through 255 (of 373 total)
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  • #393810
    Avatar photoShack1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 509

    Andrew Tinkler speaking at Warwick preview indicated that Simonsig should head for the Supreme (he rides him in work). Reckons the Neptune distance is all wrong for him.

    So we take more notice of the person who rides him at home rather than the person who actually rides him in his races? How much more pitiful can these pleas get?

    Just passing on the comment as it is at least from the Stable.
    Ignore it if you dont agree rather than making your smart-ass comments.

    #393817
    Avatar photoZarkava
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    • Total Posts 4691

    It’s alright, you get used to them from Stilvi after a while.

    #393844
    Avatar photoJJMSports
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2034

    Darlan now 8s across the board, piled into. Its 7s from 14s with us at Coral within a week.

    #393883
    Avatar photoPants
    Participant
    • Total Posts 647

    Darlan found very little of the bridle at Cheltenham when holding off High Storm by a nose, who was subsequently pulled up a long way from home after being found out by a decent gallop by Colour Squadron at Sandown.

    Darlan was indeed travelling well in The Betfair but looks a bit of a ‘bridle horse’ to me and won’t win The Supreme imo.

    The more I look at it the more I think Galileo’s Choice is the one to be on. The way he battled back to within 1 3/4 of SLC in The Royal Bond also hammering Midnight Game 19 1/2 lengths in the process on wholely unsuitable ground was mightily impressive.

    #393885
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    I am trying to think is there a future champion hurdler in there and my head points to Galileos choice. Champion hurdlers tend to go close when running in the supreme. He might be my final commitment.
    8s is still a fair price.

    #394427
    Avatar photoZarkava
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    • Total Posts 4691

    Trifolium 25 on Betfair with £180 to back. Surely out.

    #394432
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Darlan didn’t appear to get the hill in his only Cheltenham visit(despite winning), Simonsig is doubtful, Steps To Freedom has been away a long time, and the form with Prospect Wells doesn’t look great.

    Galileo’s Choice still looks a serious price and has looked really classy in every run. If he wasn’t Weld trained he’d be a lot shorter.

    It could be time the hoodoo ended and the quality tore through.

    #394436
    Avatar photoZarkava
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    • Total Posts 4691

    That’s what people said about Unaccompanied. And Rite of Passage. And the millions of other horses no-one’s ever heard of because they all got beaten.

    This race is far more open than people think.

    #394437
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    That’s what people said about Unaccompanied. And Rite of Passage. And the millions of other horses no-one’s ever heard of because they all got beaten.

    This race is far more open than people think.

    Yes it was, but there will be a good un eventually. Well, maybe at least :D

    #394711
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Simonsig’s in the Neptune.

    #394911
    robbiewp
    Member
    • Total Posts 18

    For a supreme novice a lot of these horses are a a bit over exposed for my liking, the horse im considering is Trifolium who looks to be progressing all the time under the rador and looks to be a proper two miler with a decent turn of foot, given a bit of juice in the ground he has good claims.

    #394918
    Avatar photoMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3080

    Agree about exposure, but if you look at recent placings, there is always one that has run only only twice or three times and never been out the first two

    The 45 days stat is a key

    #394926
    miniman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16

    Has someone put up Montbazon over the last day or so? His price seems to have crashed on betfair from ~15s into 10s

    #394929
    Avatar photorich1985
    Member
    • Total Posts 1217

    King must’ve issued a positive bulletin about him….yard is really firing at the moment, that probably has affected a few of the markets.

    #394932
    Avatar photoMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3080

    Has someone put up Montbazon over the last day or so? His price seems to have crashed on betfair from ~15s into 10s

    It was me on here

    Mountains of cash due to a simple post.

    #394941
    Avatar photorich1985
    Member
    • Total Posts 1217

    Well, just over a week to go til the curtain raiser! Weather looks mixed over the coming days, but going should be good to soft or thereabouts I would think, which shouldn’t inconvenience the principals.

    My two original selections have taken opposite moves in the Market, Cash And Go drifting like a barge after its poor run LTO, whereas MONTBAZON has come in after a facile victory last month. While I maintain that both will run well, at the moment I prefer Darlan and Midnight Game. Darlan would’ve probably gone very close at Newbury if it hadn’t have fallen, and if learning from that has the engine and speed to be bang there at the business end. Galileo’s Choice is another I’d be interested in, has been brought along well this season and posted a good time LTO, and will strip fit after that run (trends tell us those who ran in the last 45 days tend to do well). Only negatives are Weld’s dreadful festival record and that he’s an ex flat horse, which I don’t think do that well in this race.

    Should be a cracker, and I can’t wait :P

    #394957
    joeydclarke
    Member
    • Total Posts 2

    Can somebody tell me how colour squadron is 16/1?
    Ok, im not saying he will definitely win the race but he represents value at those odds when compared to Montbazon at 11/1. This horse beat montbazon in a maiden without much fuss; granted it was montbazons first hurdles run. He then hung badly left in January and would have won at Sandown if he didnt. He has subsequently fallen 2 from home when travelling strongest of all in a hot race with montbazon and vulcanite.
    His jumping seems good in general and hopefully the fall will not dent his confidence. I think he is a massive ew player at those odds.
    One other issue the horse may have is to hang left, this may be contributing to the value price but Dickie can hopefully get him coming around the bend with a few horses on his left which should be enough to stop him shifting left after the last when the rail stops.
    2pt ew is recommended.

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