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Ah well lets have a go for today.
C12:50 Very interesting race, lots that can be made cases for, but Pobbles Bay has been 1 to follow for me this year, and the wide margin victory over Bun Doran and Poker School looks like the form to beat.
C2:40 Firebird Flier, second to Mountainous last time and followed that up with victory in the Midands National.
K12:40 Master Blueyes one of mine to watch, slightly disappointing at Wetherby made several mistake, if learning from that then open to improvement.
K2:20 Taking 10lb from Sire De Grugy this should go to Special Tiara
K2:55 Taking a chance with Drumcliff on his handicap debut, could be weighted for a good run here.
L12:15 Meri Devie I always make a point of backing Mullins & Walsh new comers, has done me well in the past.
L3:00 Bonny Kate is in my watch list so will side with her here.
W2:05 Brian Hughes can hopefully get the best out of Fixed Rate in this.
Edit. Missed out Workds End and Denameescapesme
And a Treble to finish off
L12:45 Bacardys
L1:20 Douvan
K1:45 AltiorMerry Christmas everyone, -10 so far, close but no cigar has been a recurring theme but hopefully some better lick for Christmas.
F1:45 At the prices worth siding with Bertenbars course record, back to some kind of form LTO.
F2:15 The best form would appear to belong to Disputed, 3rd in a very useful Class 2 Handicap LTO, should be there at the finish.
H12:45 Markov went off way too keen last time out before being pulled up, if he can be reigned in this time, could well be around at the finish, and at a generally available 14/1 worth an each way, or place only shout.
H3:05 Kapgarde King looks the value bet, beating Prettylittlething on his penultimate start, who won her next 2 races and now rated 96 herself. Well held next time, nut could go better after a short break.
K12:55 Impossible to see past Jenkins for this, and even at 2/1 odds on, looks value at that.
K2:05 There has to be question marls over the trip and ground for Anibale Fly, Might Bight couldn’t have wone more easily last time but this is a massive step up in class. Amore Alto relished the step up t 3m last time, but I am going with Present Man who beat some very good horses last time.
K2:40 Has to be The New One for me, already beaten My Tent Or Yours last time, and not massively confident on Yanworth, after rumors of him maybe not seeming right, and maybe not turning out here last week.
K3:15 Have to side with experience and Cue Card here, Thistlecrack has of course been very impressive but they are likely to go at a much greater pace here, and will be a much sterner test of his jumping. Cure Card hasn’t always been the most sure footed himself, but has the experience over Thistlecrack. Also worth a dabble could be an each way on Silvianico Conti, if the 2 maket leaders beat the crap out of each other be could pick up the pieces.
K3:40 Lisheen Prince has been in my watch list since last year, getting better all the time.
L1:15 Landofhopeandglory sets the standard but at 16/1 Lord Justice has to be worth an eachway punt on the form, comfortably beating zigag who was previously 2nd to Landofhopeandglory. 16/1 seems a ludicrous price.
L2:20 how can you possibly oppose Min?
MR1:45 Worth a chance on No More Blackjack, good point winner, and from a good line of chasers. Done OK without setting the world alight in hurdles, chasing could be his game.
WE1:50 Blaklion may struggle from the top of the weights, and Jamie Bargary not the most reliable around here, Definitely Red would prefer more cut in the ground, and so preference for Yala Enki if he can get the 3m.
WI2:15 Onefitzall has set a decent standard, but Buywise who has been frustrating over fences could be very dangerous off a mark of 140 back over the smaller obstacles.
K2:10 Kaspian Tern Jamie Snowden believes she is well handicapped and will appreciate the step up in trip, has to be taken on faith though.
W2:00 The Daley Express slow away last time finishing like a train. If gets a good break should be right there at the end.
Just 2 today
L2:10 The form of the favourites last race doesn’t read great to me and well worth taking on. I am going with Wizards Sliabh who had Tinted Rose beaten last time and they meet again effectively on the same terms. Good booking for Tinted Rose this time though ST-D may be able to get improvement from her but I am going with Wizards Sliabh.
L3:40 Black Mischief will have come on for his run last month and can take on Hendersons runner who comes here after 8 months off.
A few selections today
T2:50 Hint Of Mint, can hopefully show enough improvement to take this nothing else really stands out in the race.
S1:30 Secret Clause, Appleby mentions him in n ATR stable tour as having a good chance around here, who am I to argue?
K2:10 Red Cossack best form by far around Kempton and step up in trip may bring improvement.
K2:40 Sandfrankskipsgo seems over priced to me, down in grade and off a reasonable mark. Worth am eachway shout.
K5:40 Baltic Prince, 4 from 5 around here and can hopefully follow up on latest C&D win.
S2:30 Philba, another mentioned in Appleby stable tour and proven around here.
S3:00 Katie Gale good record around Southwell 3 of her 5 wins here, down in grade and off a winnable mark.
Silly price on Acting Lass glad I swerved it.
Will be on Chef and Plus Jamais though.
Also liking Plus Jamais in the 2:30
The winner of his last race finished close up second in a class 3 next time. West Of The Edge seems much better suited over fences than hurdles and I think is worth taking on here. Brian Hughes riding the selection also a big positive.
Airlie Beach in the Trull House Stud Novice Hurdle & Top Notch in the Neptune £5 double
2 possible for me tomorrow.
H1:05 Acting Lass, Won by 11 lengths last time out, and the 3rd place horse has come out and won a Class 3 since, should be able to follow up here. There are a couple of obvious dangers though, Some Invitation and Finnians Oscar, both for yards in good form. I probably won’t play at anything less than 6/4, 2/1 would be nice.
H2:05 Going to take another chance on Chef D’oeuvre, unseated last time, but should be more than capable of winning over fences at this level being a good PTP horse. Will wait and see what the official going is, not much chance of rain, and on the face of it will need soft ground.
Thanks VTC
One winner on the board today so far, Shattered Love @ 5/2 very nice.
Death Duty went out from last nights shorter price, at 6/4 I might have been tempted, but I was playing golf and didn’t look until after the race.
No luck with Sharps Choice
so +£2:00 so far, happy enough with that.
2 bets for me tomorrow.
T2:10 Shattered Love, Asthuria is probably a worthy favourite, but at 5/2 Shattered love represents good value wouldn’t need to show too much improvement to trouble the favourite I think. The winner of his second last race has come out and won well again beating some decent horses.
T3:40 Sharps Choice, the from of his second place is arguably as good if not better than the favourite, the current 7/4 seems like a decent enough price.
The 12:45 at Navan is a fascinating race, but will be a watch and not play for me. Moulin A Vent has some intersting form, beating Minella Till Dawn, who won for me today, last time out. Death Duty was an easy winner LTO but I couldn’t back anything at a short price with Brian Cooper piloting. Definitely a watching race but very interested to see how Moulin A Vent fares, with 1 more runner in the race I would be tempted to have a place bet.
