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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

bladeblaster

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  • in reply to: My Fancies #1610435
    bladeblaster
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    R17:45 Temper Trap

    in reply to: Handicaps Value 2 #1610434
    bladeblaster
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    I have tried a couple of tweaks to the system to take into account weight change and Jockey form, will see how this goes over the next week.

    R19:15 Point Of Woods can only really be described as unreliable, however if in the mood, very capable of running into a place in this company, hard to seeing him edge out the favourite, so going with 3 places @8.2 1 pt

    No lay bets today.

    in reply to: Handicaps Value 2 #1610432
    bladeblaster
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    Edited running total, forgot the liability on the lay bet :wacko:

    in reply to: Blades Football Bets #1610428
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    20 pts back on Salah to have +1 shots on target, -3 on the 3 accas.

    -35

    in reply to: Blades Football Bets #1610383
    bladeblaster
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    2 trebles today

    Enhanced acca on skybet Leicester, Utd, and City to win @ 7/2

    Leicester, UTD, Watford to win @ 10

    in reply to: Handicaps Value 2 #1610158
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    A2:45 I can see why the favourite is the favourite, but too short in this field. I am going to go with Red Verdon, drawn well, and possibly one of the most consistent stayers in the field. My calculator has him at 5.5 so I will take the 30 on offer, and 3.8 for 4 places. 1pt on each.

    Not had time to look at anything else

    -2 / -5.18

    in reply to: Blades Football Bets #1610075
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    So here is my starter bet, 8 game win accumulator, looking for a decent cash out value on Saturday so I need Huddersfield to get me off to a good start!

    Huddersfiled
    Villa
    Leeds
    Newcastle
    Hull
    Stoke
    Chelsea
    Leicester

    1pt @ 550/1

    in reply to: Blades Football Bets #1610073
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    2pt double on Arsenal and Huddersfield away wins tonight

    -52

    in reply to: Blades Football Bets #1610066
    bladeblaster
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    So here is my 5pt free bet builder on PP

    Fulham v Liverpool

    +1.5 Goals
    Diaz anytime goalscorer
    Trent AA anytime assist

    potential return 23.56pts

    in reply to: The Circus is Here 8 #1610065
    bladeblaster
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    Fair point mate

    in reply to: Handicaps Value 2 #1610063
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    B14:20 I am going to side with top weight Recon Mission here, I wouldn’t say that he has a massively better chance than Sir Oliver, but I think its between these 2, and @ 11.0 I prefer the value on Recon Mission. I am also going to lay the favourite, simply as the price is way to short for a horse that has never experienced Brighton before.

    1pt win @ 11
    1pt lay @ 2.8

    I have looked at the 16:25 at Brighton as well, again I like the top weight, but the price is exactly where my predictor has it, so no real value to be had, I will leave this one alone.

    -2.73 / -3.18

    Will keep going with it as it is at the moment, but it may need some tweaks for the flat, I’ve never been much of a player on flat racing.

    in reply to: The Circus is Here 8 #1610047
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    I fancy Arsenal to win this by a couple mate, I am tempted by a 0 – 2 result with Jesus to score.

    Palace have a few new signings, see how they settle, might take them a while to get going?

    in reply to: Blades Football Bets #1609980
    bladeblaster
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    Thanks Nath.

    I’ve had 10pts on Salah to have at least 1 shot on target at ev’s

    I have also used SkyBets free bet builder on West Ham v City I’ve gone with.

    Draw Full Time Result
    Under 2.5 Goals
    BTTS

    Obviously I fancy a 1-1 draw.

    Will have a look at the PP free bet builder tomorrow.

    -50 pts

    in reply to: Handicaps Value 2 #1609969
    bladeblaster
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    So yesterday was a bit of a rushed start, having another go today, also going to combine my value lay bets into this same topic instead of having 2.

    B15:20 I think this could be quite open, there are a few without too much form to go on, especially around here, but I think Bug Boy should be shorter than the 14.5 on offer, so I am going to have 1pt win and 1pt for 3 places at 3.55 I also think that the Favourite (Caramalised) is well worth opposing having only won once before on the flat, and that was at Bath, and all of his best Jumps form has been on flat course. Definite 1pt Lay @ 4.3 :good:

    D17:40 Another quite open race, but Copper And Five is, I think, well over priced and available at 17 on Betfair, with a 3 place price of 4.8, which is what I think its win price should actually be, so I am playing 1pt on both of these markets. Down in class and now off of a fair mark, he should enjoy a a good straight gallop to the line.

    More to come from Doncaster later. Actually nope, didn’t fancy anything else.

    Nice start at Brighton :good: +3.55 on that race.

    Copper And Five never got going :wacko:

    +1.55 for today -0.45 so far.

    in reply to: Blades Football Bets #1609912
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    A few mor outright market bets

    I like Nathans prediction on Reading being relegated, so I am having 5 points on that:-

    Reading to be relegated – 5pts @ 2.7

    Leicester have no European games to worry about, and are one of the teams least affected by the World Cup, especially up-front, so a top 6 place seems very achievable – 10pts @ 5.5

    Liverpool to Lift Premier League and Champions League – 5 pts @ 17.0

    I think that’s it for outrights for me now.

    Thoughts, comments, and general banter are encouraged :good:

    -40 points

    in reply to: Fantasy Premier League 2022/23 #1609870
    bladeblaster
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    Im in :good:

    in reply to: Darren’s Sports bets thread 2021 #1543107
    bladeblaster
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    Glad I cashed out on Speith after round 3!

    Not exactly long odds but I am going for DeChambeau and Ancer as main bets for this weekend.

    Also going to go for Fitzpatrick and Kaymer at longer prices.

    Good luck guys 👍

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 1,061 total)