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R17:45 Temper Trap
I have tried a couple of tweaks to the system to take into account weight change and Jockey form, will see how this goes over the next week.
R19:15 Point Of Woods can only really be described as unreliable, however if in the mood, very capable of running into a place in this company, hard to seeing him edge out the favourite, so going with 3 places @8.2 1 pt
No lay bets today.
Edited running total, forgot the liability on the lay bet
20 pts back on Salah to have +1 shots on target, -3 on the 3 accas.
2 trebles today
Enhanced acca on skybet Leicester, Utd, and City to win @ 7/2
Leicester, UTD, Watford to win @ 10
A2:45 I can see why the favourite is the favourite, but too short in this field. I am going to go with Red Verdon, drawn well, and possibly one of the most consistent stayers in the field. My calculator has him at 5.5 so I will take the 30 on offer, and 3.8 for 4 places. 1pt on each.
Not had time to look at anything else
-2 / -5.18
So here is my starter bet, 8 game win accumulator, looking for a decent cash out value on Saturday so I need Huddersfield to get me off to a good start!
1pt @ 550/1
2pt double on Arsenal and Huddersfield away wins tonight
So here is my 5pt free bet builder on PP
Fulham v Liverpool
Diaz anytime goalscorer
Trent AA anytime assist
potential return 23.56pts
Fair point mate
B14:20 I am going to side with top weight Recon Mission here, I wouldn’t say that he has a massively better chance than Sir Oliver, but I think its between these 2, and @ 11.0 I prefer the value on Recon Mission. I am also going to lay the favourite, simply as the price is way to short for a horse that has never experienced Brighton before.
1pt win @ 11
1pt lay @ 2.8
I have looked at the 16:25 at Brighton as well, again I like the top weight, but the price is exactly where my predictor has it, so no real value to be had, I will leave this one alone.
-2.73 / -3.18
Will keep going with it as it is at the moment, but it may need some tweaks for the flat, I’ve never been much of a player on flat racing.
I fancy Arsenal to win this by a couple mate, I am tempted by a 0 – 2 result with Jesus to score.
Palace have a few new signings, see how they settle, might take them a while to get going?
I’ve had 10pts on Salah to have at least 1 shot on target at ev’s
I have also used SkyBets free bet builder on West Ham v City I’ve gone with.
Draw Full Time Result
Under 2.5 Goals
Obviously I fancy a 1-1 draw.
Will have a look at the PP free bet builder tomorrow.
So yesterday was a bit of a rushed start, having another go today, also going to combine my value lay bets into this same topic instead of having 2.
B15:20 I think this could be quite open, there are a few without too much form to go on, especially around here, but I think Bug Boy should be shorter than the 14.5 on offer, so I am going to have 1pt win and 1pt for 3 places at 3.55 I also think that the Favourite (Caramalised) is well worth opposing having only won once before on the flat, and that was at Bath, and all of his best Jumps form has been on flat course. Definite 1pt Lay @ 4.3
D17:40 Another quite open race, but Copper And Five is, I think, well over priced and available at 17 on Betfair, with a 3 place price of 4.8, which is what I think its win price should actually be, so I am playing 1pt on both of these markets. Down in class and now off of a fair mark, he should enjoy a a good straight gallop to the line.
More to come from Doncaster later. Actually nope, didn’t fancy anything else.
Nice start at Brighton +3.55 on that race.
Copper And Five never got going
+1.55 for today -0.45 so far.
A few mor outright market bets
I like Nathans prediction on Reading being relegated, so I am having 5 points on that:-
Reading to be relegated – 5pts @ 2.7
Leicester have no European games to worry about, and are one of the teams least affected by the World Cup, especially up-front, so a top 6 place seems very achievable – 10pts @ 5.5
Liverpool to Lift Premier League and Champions League – 5 pts @ 17.0
I think that’s it for outrights for me now.
Thoughts, comments, and general banter are encouraged
Glad I cashed out on Speith after round 3!
Not exactly long odds but I am going for DeChambeau and Ancer as main bets for this weekend.
Also going to go for Fitzpatrick and Kaymer at longer prices.
Good luck guys 👍