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Yes here speaks a relative newbie. i joined to find out about racing and what comes with it. Maybe I was looking for insider info etc. I started to trawl thru some of the earlier posts, all the bickering between Fist etc, but got bogged down with it. I wanted more of the here and now, which I find in the Big Race discussions and the Systems and Daily play sections. I ask for info, things I’m not sure about and generally get a reply, I may even ask the most mundane questions, but some people will go out of their way to reply.
So I am quite happy. Not sure about the speed thing, we have a mind blowing 2Mb speed over here in Cyprus, ( stop laughing you 24Mb speed freaks)and the site loads ok. Things evolve, forums evolve.
Things were always better in the old days……………..weren’t they?
Never mind discrete it was still worth following. Do you think it is a system which fits certain times of year, certain races. In Feb when it was firing we then had Cheltenham when the better horses weren’t contesting the lower grades and now we are into the back end of the AW season we now have horses with no form coming in and doing things.
Maybe when the season is up and running(turf) see what it’s like give it a try out for a week in Julyish.
I’m sure you are working on a new system already!
Thanks for the last couple of months, been an interesting ride!
Oasis
I had tried to form some kind of system involving the first 3 in the market. However, the one thing I found was something at first show, top 3 in the market weren’t necessarily the first 3 at race finish.
I take it that’s what your stats based on Cav.
For Cav
Going off thread slightly, where do you get all these stats from. Have you your own database? or is there a site you subscribe to or is all this information in the public domain( if you have the time to surf).
The reason I was wondering was I wanted to know at the different AW tracks what percentage of top weights win in claimers.
Sorry to have hijacked your thread oasisdreamer
Thanks for input. That’s a nice straightforward spreadsheet discrete, thank you. It is the variable profit which is of use. I probably didn’t make myself clear %MAN. The second horse would probably be a 8/1 shot or above, and maybe make a little profit on that rather than just cover my bet. Thanks for taking the time anyway.
Thanks AP, never seen that site. Will have a good peruse later, first look seems what I’m looking for.
4th Day
1330 Zarkandar 100 win
1405 Ski Sunday 100 win
1440 join together 100 win
1520 Long run 100 win
1600 Baby run 400 win ( banker)
1640 Barizan 50e/w
1715 Pepe Simo 50 e/w
3rd day
1330 Loosen My Load 100 win
1405 Knockara Beau 50 e/w
1440 tartak 100 e/w
1520 Big Bucks 300 win ( banker)
1600 I’m a Legend 50 e/w
1640 Galaxy rock 100 e/w
Day 2
1330 Sona Sastre 100 win
1405 First Liutenant 100 win
1440 Aiteen Thirttythree 200 win
1520 Big Zeb 100 win
1600 Orzare 50 e/w
1640 Kumbeshwar 100 win
1715 Ericht 300 win ( banker)
Day 1 Selections
1330 Raithlin / Recession Proof(res) 50 e/w
1405 Ghizao / Captain Chris (res) 50 e/w
1440 Blazing Bailey / Caroles legacy (res) 50 e/w
1520 Menorah / Peddlers Cross (res) 300 win (banker)
1600 garde Champetre / Sizing Australia (res)100 win
1640 Qeuvega / L’Accordioniste (res) 200 win
1715 On Borrowed Wings / Tullamore Dew (res) 50 e/w
They say you shouldn’t gamble on a Sunday. with your picks discrete they are not a gamble!!!
Keep it up m8, what is your strike rate now? May the winners keep coming
Your selections seem to be a lot of favourites. This is not a critisicm, but where your selections are not the favourite how many have won. What percentage are favourites and non favourites.(Your selections). The reason I mention this is if the times that your selection is not the favourite then is the percentages in our favour therefore to lay the favourite. I hope this makes sense!
I would like to echo my sentiments. keep up the good work. Just to let you know we are out there following this thread.
Happy new year all. Hope its just the timimg not the picks TAPK but reve de Sivola is 1400 Chelt.
Although this thread has been fun and eventful, not to mention financially beneficial I do agree with mr Wilson. I think the signs were there last week when a sign of desperation to back an odds on fav in a 3 horse race(Oversteer)(lost)also he should of read our very own genius Edward to know that Ice Cool Lady was a lay.
I’m not purporting to be an expert, but bow out gracefully Fist and let someone else take on the king. Not me yet, I’ve only just come back into racing, finding my feet again.
Well done TAPK long live the king
Well done Cav, Two certainties. When looking at that race I would probably have glossed over him, but he did get a tick in the box with the draw, which I have been studying with regards to the AW.
Thanks again, may they keep coming.
You must think I’m a right numptie, but found the tutorial and thanks for answering my queries.
I don’t know what I was doing wrong but when I went to betfair I couldn’t even find the race, went to other sites to make sure the time date horse etc was right, i notice FIST never puts times and courses for his selections. And being new to laying thought i had got it wrong, was I looking at the wrong page. Any ?
As th ehorse was pu, does that count as a win?
