Home › Forums › Horse Racing › Wonder of Wonders – Poor Value ?
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Gingertipster.
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- July 17, 2011 at 10:50 #19193
I notice that she is on the drift out to around 11/8 but is this still poor value ?
Despite being given, in my opinion, a poor ride by Fallon at Epsom, was it any worse a ride than that given by Dettori to Blue Bunting ?.
I feel that the 9/2 on offer for the latter filly along with Dancing Rain, who was after all the winner at Epsom (granted given an easy lead and a great ride from Murtagh), represents far better value.
Any views ?July 17, 2011 at 11:04 #364951Everything Epsom seems more and more anachronistic every year. Right now I just don’t know what to make of the Irish Oaks but WOW does seem the obvious choice. She looks certain to me to be involved, hard to say that about any of her rivals today.
July 17, 2011 at 11:24 #364952Wonder Of Wonders may win by half the track but her price is nothing less than shocking she should be a 4/1 chance.
July 17, 2011 at 11:40 #364955Having backed Wonder Of Wonders at 25/1 for the English Oaks, you won’t be surprised I think she should have won had it not been for the funereal pace. Big brute of a filly who’s exceptionally well bred which leads us to believe further improvement is likely. Would’ve been suited by a greater test of stamina too.
Dancing Rain probably grossly flattered. Allowed a significant lead when going so slow, right place at the right time for the sprint for home. More speedily bred than most in that race. So added to her positional advantage, the speed she has was an additional advantage at Epsom.
Blue Bunting got a terrible ride. Broke well but reined back despite the pace. Tried to make ground up in the fastest part of the race. Barged Havant and then Frankie dropped his hands, missing out on third. Best to ignore that run completely. We know she’s a Group 1 animal from the 1000 Guineas victory, settles well and breeding is much more condusive to middle-distances.
After the English Oaks, I expected to be on Wonder Of Wonders today, but bookmakers have in my opinion totally over-reacted by making her odds-on. Not surprised she’s drifted. Yes, she has by far the best chance of winning, but not by that far. I’d probably want around 7/4 or more.
The two horses I believe are value are:
Blue Bunting 9/2 Though a little worried when seeing her coat on ATR this week. And Baimpire 9/1. Who isn’t much behind the big three on form.Value Is EverythingJuly 17, 2011 at 17:56 #365000
AnonymousInactive- Total Posts 17716
The two horses I believe are value are:
Blue Bunting 9/2 Though a little worried when seeing her coat on ATR this week. And Baimpire 9/1. Who isn’t much behind the big three on form.Excellent call,
Ginger
!
July 17, 2011 at 18:21 #365002Thanks Pinza.
Always good when the analysis works out.
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