The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

We are all in the gutter, but some of us are looking at the stars.

Home Forums Betting Chat – Bets & Tips We are all in the gutter, but some of us are looking at the stars.

Viewing 17 posts - 1,548 through 1,564 (of 2,507 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #1596813
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    Hereditary rule.
    Each way.
    Massive drifter here and if the drift is wrong a great price.
    Ayr 3.50

    #1596817
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    NORFOLK NATIONAL
    Fakenham
    4.15

    GOODNIGHT CHARLIE
    Each way
    Multiple long distance winner including here in January and at Cheltenham.

    GAME LINE
    Win
    Won this last year.
    Both running down the weights and course and trip CV could be useful here.

    #1596820
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    NOBLE BIRTH
    Win
    Ballinrobe
    4.50
    Been keeping good company and can win here with Jody mcgarvery on board for Gordon Elliott.

    #1596821
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    Sedgefield
    5.15

    CHECK MY PULSE
    COOL COUNTRY
    Reverse forecast

    CHECK MY PULSE
    Place

    #1596824
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    6.20
    Sedgefield

    Lake shore drive
    Win
    Zen Master
    Win

    #1596826
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    ARRYCAN
    Win
    7pm
    Ballinrobe
    Reverts to hurdles on a mark 29 lbs below the mark he beat grand national winner lord Lariat off in a chase at Fairyhouse.
    Potentially two stone plus well in then….
    Fell in his last chase and prior to that was a beaten favourite over hurdles in third. Fallers are more often than not overlooked by wary punters next time out so real value here.

    #1596828
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    Lost Oscar
    Each way
    7.30
    Ballinrobe

    #1596829
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    8.10
    Wetheby

    TACITUS
    Ew
    BOLD TERRITORIES
    Win
    ROYAL PROSPECT
    Ew
    BT Conner Beasley riding out of his skin.

    Winners
    HEREDITARY RULE 8/1
    WATASHOCK
    Placed
    GOODNIGHT CHARLIE 4th @ 12/1 from 18/1
    Arrycan noble birth right on the premises and likely future winners

    #1596868
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    Not a selection but a good old fashioned watching brief…

    11.45 first race.
    ALL IS GOOD
    Dirt sprint 6 furlongs
    An Australian bred racehorse
    Runs at Sha Tin this morning for the first time.
    Ridden by Zac Purton.
    Drawn high which appears to be potentially very advantageous at this track.
    Has been running very well, placed second in three barrier trials.
    Not a big price but will be interesting to see how he goes first time out against experienced runners.
    _____________________________________________
    My main interest here is to see how the horse fares here with a few to future races.
    the Irish website has a whole section which is dedicated to hong kong.
    Racing weight is crucial and the weight this one runs off compared to the next weight next time out is a great way to assess fitness.

    #1596872
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    Spontaneous ran out the winner in the 11.45
    Was third previous run early last month to sakewin. I put Sakewin up to win again at the weekend and he duly obliged.
    All Good made a sound debut running sixth.
    The runner up came out of stall 10.

    1245
    Sha Tin
    LOYAL AMBITION
    Each way
    Another high draw.
    Best performance from this maiden a third place on turf last run.
    May be able to transfer that run to this surface under one of the colony’s best jockeys.
    J moriera

    Chester 1.30
    By all accounts it is very wet up north and last year’s result gave a win to Navello from stall 1 with horses in 2 and 3 following home.
    There were not many runners but the draw bias was clear.

    ZEPHINA
    Has the box stall but has to turn over 1.50 lengths from previous meeting with star of lady M who is drawn in 2.
    ZEPHINA
    Each way.
    Newton Abbot
    1.15
    HANG IN THERE
    To win by 5.5 lengths+
    6/5
    Unbackable in the win market.
    Difficult to look beyond this runner on chase debut. Last run was in a grade 3 class 1 hurdle and gets a potential rating which puts him clear of his rivals. Nothing to get too excited about with the stakes here but at least going for the winning margin takes him to odds against. ( Small stake)

    #1596876
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    I have to put my hands up and say I have just checked wild Max’s chase debut in December.
    He was prominent for a long way before pulling up.
    He had to give over a stone in weight in that race and a finish would have gained him a much higher rating. So he was the under rated of the two.

    #1596891
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    Kelso 3.20
    Rapid Raider
    Place.
    Yet to see the best of this horse.
    This longer trip should suit.
    Gets weight from the field.
    Beat Enjoy D’alene by over 5 lengths in a point to point in 2019.
    That one rated 147 over fences.

    #1596897
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    Money Catcher (stall 9)
    5333 has finished close behind romantic warrior and California spangle in last three runs so has achieved career bests. Includes third in the Derby.
    If handling dirt for first time may win.
    The Rock is in stall 1 here. Consistent runner.
    3.50
    Sha Tin
    THE ROCK
    MONEY CATCHER
    Both win

    #1596898
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    4.15
    CHESTER

    ASEAN LEGEND
    Is rated 82 and has shown up well in his three races all placed 2nd.
    He can go one better here.
    Win/ place

    #1596976
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    2.05

    Koi koi
    Win
    Value theory
    Ew

    #1596981
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    Worcester
    223
    ONCHAN
    Win

    excuses last time after good win at market Rasen.

    #1596990
    Avatar photosporting sam
    Participant
    • Total Posts 16597

    Hunter chase
    Huntingdon
    5.35
    Le breuil is the class horse here and ran well in the chase at Aintree finishing fourth.
    While not having won for a few years could go well here.
    Preference is for the old timer green Winter who has won a four miler recently and is at least in form.
    GREEN WINTER
    Win

    Reverse forecast with LE BREUIL

Viewing 17 posts - 1,548 through 1,564 (of 2,507 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.