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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Ultima 2019

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 58 total)
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  • #1400593
    Coneycard
    Participant
    • Total Posts 49

    Lake View Lad, Noble Endeavour and Beware The Bear for me here, all EW. I guess the claims of Coo Star Sivola are obvious but I prefer finding something at what for me is an EW price with the generous place terms on offer during the festival.

    #1400615
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6895

    I have followed a few of you guys in with BEWARE THE BEAR at 20/1 looks a reformed character since the wind up and could actually be well in here!!
    And the other two I am on are GENERAL PRINCIPLE at 20/1 and O O SEVEN at 25/1 but 007 is only to small stakes

    :good: :good:

    #1400646
    Racingorchid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 205

    Vintage Clouds ew 25/1 (6 plcs ) , Mister Whitaker 10/1

    #1400745
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34578

    Singlefarmpayment for me
    always runs well at Cheltenham including this race the last two years
    Fehily keeps the ride and got him as close as anyone LTO for a long time

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #1400746
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6337

    From my blog

    Singlefarmpayment is one I’ve followed for a few seasons now, and backed three or four times. He has talent enough to win this (5th in it last year, and short-headed out of it the year before). His prep has been different this season where he’s had just two runs prior as opposed to four last season. I think that could be the key to him finally winning this. He puts an awful lot into his races and can be just the tiniest bit soft in a finish (Timeform call him ‘none too resolute’ and I think that’s harsh. He fights as best he can but is just missing that killer touch). It could be that he needs much more time between races to put everything into a finish. Tomorrow will be very informative.

    The other one I like is yet again a talented horse with problems (a huge part of the enjoyment for betting fans can be the quest for the key to individual horses). Beware The Bear has always been good but never predictable, regularly dropping right out of contention before running on very late to win or take some part in the finish.

    His 2 runs this season have been with headgear. Cheekpieces seemed to have little effect in the Hennessy when he played his old trick of fading through the field before taking hold of the bit late and running on into fourth. But the best performance of his life came last time out, blinkered for the first time and front-running for the first time. The frustrating aspect of that is that it’s impossible to tell which of the changes to his normal race routine produced the improvement. Both factors can greatly improve some horses – if I had to bet on which it was, I’d opt for the front-running. We’ll learn much more tomorrow.

    Finally, another tricky customer in Minella Rocco. He was good enough to finish second in a Gold Cup (2017) yet has not won in 6 runs since. Given the rain forecast for tomorrow, there must be a strong chance this race will be run on soft ground, a surface on which he has been withdrawn before, his trainer citing its unsuitability (he’s just 2 from 9 on soft). But such has been his renewed zest this season (after wind surgery) I cannot leave him out of the reckoning.

    Assuming all else is equal (a horse is racing in his set class who is fit) there is probably nothing more advantageous than knowing the animal is enjoying himself, and last time out especially, Minella Rocco showed just that in the way he travelled before fading from two out (a hurdle race in which he wasn’t given at all a hard time). His previous run had been over fences and again I noted him after a circuit as travelling best in the field. He steadily lost ground through lack of fitness from five out, but again I have no doubt the appetite has returned. Were it good ground tomorrow he would be my selection.

    But, as it stands, I will back all three, win only, rather than having one each way bet.

    Current prices available are:

    10/1 Minella Rocco

    16/1 Beware The Bear

    16/1 Singlefarmpayment

    If you have to have one only, I suggest Singlefarmpayment.

    Good luck

    #1400747
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    I had a few quid on singlefarmpayment in the 5 to be placed market on the exchange earlier

    Around 11/4 seemed fair enough

    #1400756
    Avatar photoDBRDBR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1347

    I ended up with:
    Coo Star Sivola 10/1 EW
    General Principle 20/1 EW

    I think Coo Star Sivola should have won more easily last year and was lucky to hold on. With a better ride this year the 3 pounds rise shouldn’t be a problem. Back on soft ground should bring him back to form. General Principle won the Irish National of only a slightly lower mark than his current mark. When it really turns out to be a bog he will stay all day.

    #1400764
    Avatar photoMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3076

    Singlecoursepayment running at his beloved Cheltenham yet again.

    Very trappy renewal but General Principle and last year’s winner will probably carry my cash

    #1400786
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9086

    American not declared so used the returned stake to join those of you onVintage Clouds. Jumped very soundly in a lovely rhythm on seasonal debut round Haydock and for a long way in the Welsh National. Has had some wind surgery and a nice break since then. Has developed nicely over the past couple of years and at 9yo shoukd be in staying chaser prime.

    Up for Review 20-1 EW
    Vintage Clouds 25-1 EW

    my final 2.

    #1400835
    buckers
    Participant
    • Total Posts 759

    Beware The Bear + Vintage Clouds are my 2 in this, but I also think Coo Star Sivola will run very well

    #1401332
    Avatar photoKevMc
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1326

    Could kick me up the arse but i can’t have Coo Star Sivola at all at the price.
    Higher than last year when beating Shantou Flyer, Last years renewal was poor and this years is a belter.

    #1401393
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9521

    Added Up For Review ew to my Give Me a Copper 14s ew pick.

    #1401405
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14511

    Took Magic Of Light earlier at 33s, but have just added
    Beware The Bear at 11/1. Wide open race this one.

    #1401406
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    This is a race I’ve done extremely well in in the past – including last year’s winner.

    Coo Star Sivola, Holywell (I think), Bensaalem, Fork Lightning, Frenchman’s Creek, Unguided Missile, Maamur, Antonin etc etc.

    So my tip in today;s race is… :mail:

    It’s too bloody difficult, keep your money in your pocket!

    Value Is Everything
    #1401412
    Avatar photoEx RubyLight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5766

    Took Magic Of Light earlier at 33s, but have just added
    Beware The Bear at 11/1. Wide open race this one.

    Well done, BigG, well done winners!!!

    #1401415
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16032

    Well done guys, and Buckers with the 1, 2

    #1401416
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9086

    Wd Joe and everyone else on him…great stuff

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 58 total)
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