Topic: U.S Presidential Election

This topic has 143 replies, 26 voices, and was last updated 1 hour, 1 minute ago by Gingertipster.

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November 4, 2024 at 10:44 #1711776
Wilts
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“I am surprised the price for Harris has not “shortened” more.”

Alex Castellanos, one of the US ‘veteran’ pollsters believes that the polling co.s are missing one vital factor.
Namely, a large upswing in Republican registration over last few years
“31 states have voter registration by party, 30 of them in the past four years have seen movement towards Republican party”.
November 4, 2024 at 17:36 #1711787
Richard88
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I haven’t looked too much into it but I think I read that the Trump vote was underestimated in both 2016 and 2020. You’d like to think that the polling organisations have worked that out by now but they may not have.

Similar to the ‘shy Tories’ phenomenon here, people know it’s wrong but they do it anyway 😉
November 4, 2024 at 20:14 #1711831
Gingertipster
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Harris is 1/3 to get most votes to Trump’s 3/1, but having most votes does not matter.
Only a small number of states really count. It’s 5/7 Trump and 7/5 Harris to “win” the election.

I do think some are too ashamed to say they’re voting for Trump.
However, I just hope Harris can get the youth to vote in numbers they never have before.

Value Is Everything
November 4, 2024 at 21:00 #1711839
Richard88
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The Democrats have long enjoyed the popular vote advantage. Starting with Clinton in 1992, the only time they’ve lost the popular vote is 2004.

What will be will be I suppose, I’m glad this ridiculous circus is coming to an end. We might finally know at some point this week.
November 5, 2024 at 23:59 #1711956
He Didnt Like Ground
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Very early but looks like Harris is going to go close to turning this around with Trump …. It’s going to get messy here
November 6, 2024 at 00:19 #1711961
Red Rum 77
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HDLG says

Very early but looks like Harris is going to go close to turning this around with Trump

Not surprised, being following the US election for a few months, and the way TRUMP speaks about women is disrespectful. From my understanding more women are voting. IOWA Kamala already have a lead, although Donald won’t except it.

The best things in life are free.
But you can give them to the birds and bees.
November 6, 2024 at 01:06 #1711963
Gingertipster
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Trump shortening in the market right now. 4/9 Trump, 9/4 Harris.

Value Is Everything
November 6, 2024 at 01:48 #1711965
Gingertipster
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Now 1/3 and 3/1.

Looks like going Trump’s way.

Value Is Everything
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