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Triumph Hurdle 2016

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Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 68 total)
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  • #1235298
    rocky91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 439

    Just put a huge bet on pilansberg ew for the triumph at 40s nrnb with bet 365 I fancy him strongly and if he dosent win, he won’t go. So money back.

    #1235414
    Avatar photostevecaution
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 8241

    Zubayr is desperately weak in the Adonis betting today. He opened 11/4 and even with the original 4/1 3rd best out of the race now, Zubayr is friendless at as much as 8/1 now, with not an inkling of a penny coming for him.

    That has to be a huge concern given his reasonably prominent Triumph Hurdle position and his powerful connections.

    Khezerabad has sort of held his position without any obvious move and he will need to be very good to win this on his debut. I just get the feeling that if he runs well he would be a lot better than 25/1 shot for the Triumph Hurdle.

    SkyBet’s 12/1 for Zubayr to win the Triumph Hurdle looks dubious if we consider he is 8/1 for today.

    I would expect to see Gibralfaro as 5/1 second favourite for the race should he win today.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1235427
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6252

    Zubayr most impressive, taking a wee bit of pulling up off that strong pace. 8s looks a fair price now for Triumph

    #1235428
    rocky91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 439

    I was wrong with pilansberg and I’ll hold my hands up. Already backed zubayr my first bet in triumph at 20/1. But I was put off when I went to the yard last month and wasn’t sure he’d be ready in time.

    #1235430
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6252

    Typical, Rocky…we all usually pick the wrong one when it’s 50/50!

    #1235432
    rocky91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 439

    Only problem is I don’t know how much I put on zubayr as sj open bets don’t go past 3 months. Just emailed them

    #1235433
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34708

    Zubayr most impressive, taking a wee bit of pulling up off that strong pace. 8s looks a fair price now for Triumph

    Impressive. However, although obviously encouraging for a first time out horse to win a good race. However, it could be the runner-up overdid things and may be the better horse. Be interesting to hear what Simon Rowlands says about how strong the pace was.

    Value Is Everything
    #1235443
    Avatar photostevecaution
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 8241

    Zubayr defied a monster drift from an opening 11/4 out to 9/1 and it seemed crazy that Wolfcatcher was the one for money coming from a Market Rasen race.

    I have always said that I felt Gibralfaro needs mud. He was outpaced for a long way in his first race and made pretty heavy weather of getting up that day. I felt this was a race best left alone today and Alan King has just said live on Channel 4 that he felt the handicapper was wrong in having Gibralfaro rated on 151. He added that they would take a look at him and decide about the Triumph Hurdle.

    I thought Khezerabad ran a promising race on his first start. I reckon his jumping can be sharpened up and if you had taken out the first two today and Khezerabad had beaten Gibralfaro on debut, many would be getting excited about his chances at Cheltenham. As it is he’s 25/1 still.

    Zubayr looked comfortably the best today and after firing early rank outsider bullets ante-post it is time to chuck a missile at the race at 8/1 Zubayr. He looks the type for the race, he has a bigger physical presence than Khezerabad and Nicholls said that the horse has only really come to himself the past three weeks, at one stage they were thinking of leaving him until next season. Physically and mentally, Nicholls expects him to improve and considering the negative vibes today, you would need to be thinking the general feeling was that the horse wasn’t near his best yet.

    This is my first proper bet of the festival and I expect a good run for my money.

    Zubayr 8/1

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1235450
    rocky91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 439

    04 Sep 2015 15:46

    JCB Triumph Hurdle

    Outright Ante Post, Zubayr, 20/1 Single £40.00 (Pot. Ret. £840.00)

    Open

    #1235827
    Avatar photoBen_Bernanke
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2367

    Very impressed with Zubayr, big price tag he fetched for so they knew the potential/talent was there. Nichols is good in this race when he has a good’n so that’s another plus. I just think he was visually impressive in victory, got a little caught out in the final 3/4 of a mile but kept going, jumped well enough and got up to the leaders and won going away. He looked like a horse with a real amount of speed and I see him as the type to do well up the hill. I’ll be backing him as I can see him improving a fair amount between his win and the Triumph.

    #1235831
    Avatar photoJAMIEDB9007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 340

    Anyone Khezerabad ran well enough to merit running in the Triumph?

    #1235832
    Avatar photoJAMIEDB9007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 340

    Anyone think he ran well enough….

    #1235834
    Avatar photoBen_Bernanke
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2367

    Given it was his first run in the UK I’d say so, think Nicky said there would be more to come from him, just depends whether Henderson can get him 100% fit in time, probably being cynical but my faith/trust in Henderson to get a horse primed has dwindled over the last year or two.

    Then again he had the first 3 home in the Triumph last year so who am I to doubt him!

    #1236113
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33917

    A lot of these have started well and then hit a brick wall.
    The horse that won the other day looked good but the way the race is likely to be run at Cheltenham I reckon Footpad could sweep past the lot.

    Charles Darwin to conquer the World

    #1236114
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33917

    Have just noticed that Skybet are NRNB
    and money back as a free bet up to £25 if you lose

    Charles Darwin to conquer the World

    #1236115
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33917

    and that is with the Supreme, Neptune and JLT as well

    Charles Darwin to conquer the World

    #1238558
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6252

    Just looking at this race now and Leoncavallo looks best value to me at 25s

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 68 total)
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