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With form sometimes being unreliable as the going alters generally from soft to good at this time of the year is it a good idea to put more faith in successful trainers? These would be my idea in some order of merit for the three Channel 4 races today:
Newbury
2.15 Kerada, Asturienne, Smuglin
2.50 Line Freedom, Whoops A Daisy, Violin Days, Kells Bell, Empress Orchid, Shop Dj.
3.25 Scots DragoonFormath
, you cunning old devil you.
How many would have selected the 1.2.3 in the 2.50
Did you know (I bet you did) the Tricast paid £1,039, now wouldn’t that have been nice.
Billy's Outback Shack
Bill,
No cunning involved just beginner’s luck
.Most of the top trainers are having a day off today but these may be worth consideration at Wincanton:
2.55 Trooper Clarence (no value at all)
3.25 Estates Recovery or Choumakeur
4.25 Magic Marmalade, Life Of A LusoNow,
Formath
, you cunning old devil, you are not going to drag me into this scenario I have plenty on my plate at present as you well know.
However, most of the top jockeys at a given track, such as Wincanton are the main stable jockey to the more successful trainer, in paticular Hobbs/Johnson such as: –
Estates Recovery and Magic Marmalade which you have selected.
I was going to ask your opinion about the jockey picking up extra or spare rides at the course being good/better or worse value than those where he is the stable jockey.
I am unable to high-light this with Richard Johnson today as it looks to be the case that they are his only two rides but your thoughts are always of interest.
Will you be Dutching the 3.25 & 4.25 pairings?
Billy's Outback Shack
Monday at Towcester easing into the week with our trainers
2.30 Drink Up
3.30 Araldur
4.00 Filippo Lippi
4.30 Lidar
5.30 Tony Dinnozzo, Trojan Sun, No SustituteTaunton today which could be a NIcholls benefit day and fine for his connections but no value for us pilgrims
2.20 Bold Addition, Dolores Ortiz, Lucy’s Perfect
2.50 Qozak
3.20 Teshali, Woodlark Island, Monopole
3.50 Earth Planet, Petite Margot
4.20 Shackelsbrough
4.50 Quetzal
5.20 Bahra, Sor Brook, Calcot Rose2 x itsy bitsy winners
Formath
plus a nice 3/1 and 4 x places.
I doubt if you would have got your money back
Better luck tomorrow.
Billy's Outback Shack
Hereford today and probably my least favourite jumping track as the class of racing never seems to rise above mediocre (not only that my mother-in-law came from there, Gawd belss her
). Mind you Henderson/McCoy are turning up so we may be OK today:2.10 Dubai Crest, Raya Star
2.40 ? (Storm Command)
3.10 Balthazar, Acrai Rua
3.40 Sizing Ireland, Thigathong, Royal Riviera
4.10 Body Gold, E Street Boy, Any Given Moment
4.40 Papradon, Buailteoir
5.10 Little Fritz, Real Milan, AllertonNever mind all the little fish
Formath
you caught a big ‘un plus a whale!
15/2 and the whopper at 14/1
I think it deserves a round of applause
Billy's Outback Shack
Bill,
So much praise people are starting to believe you are my agent Ludlow for trainers today where Evan Williams has a good track record, we shall see:
2.35 ?
3.05 Fahrisee, Thumbs Up, Courella
3.35 Mad Moose, Journeyman, Briefcase, Peaceful Means
4.05 Russian Epic, Akarshan, Leamington Lad , The Snail
4.35 Taroum
5.05 ?
5.35 Sizing India, Final Cast, KalantariWe really don’t want to discuss an agents percentage here do we
Formath
? However the invoice may well be in the post
Three winners again today Sir, well done – a tidler, a not so small one and although not quite a whale but a very nice 8/1, well done.
Billy's Outback Shack
Stratford today a below mid-class card on going forecast the firm side of good where we are coming to the fag end of the jumps season with bigger fields many out to pay for winter feed.
2.10 Omokoroa, Argaum
2.40 Bathwick Quest, Amuse Me
3.10 Yourgolftravel Com
3.40 Rivaliste, Dream Esteem
4.10 Kalulushi
4.40 Rustarix
5.10 Karinga dancer, Goonyella, Cold KnightMy last post on this thread today as I am certain anyone interested can see how it operates.
Uttoxeter a below mid-class card on going forecast GF.2.25 ?
3.00 Robin De Creuse, Wise Move, Dancing Dude, Four Strong Winds
3.30 Causeway King, Five Out Of Five, Dan Breen
4.05 Very Stylish, Father Probus, Soleil D’Avril
4.40 Bobble Hat Bob, China Gold, County Zen
5.10 Surf Like A Lady, Emily’s Flyer, Genstone Trail
5.45 Our JimGood day to you
Formath
Looking at the Racing Post trainer stats for Kelo today I wonder which you would consider the trainer to follow: –
N Richards top of the chart 29/170 17%
3 runners: –
2.30 BENMADIGAN
4.00 REALT MOR
6.00 GLINGERMILLT Walford 2/8 25%
2 runners: –
4.00 TAMANACO
6.00 FRENCH SEVENTYFIVERD Coupland 2/3 67%
1 runner
4.30 STARK RAVENQuakity or quantity, this is the dilemma, I think I would err towards Richards but your opinion is always valued.
Billy's Outback Shack
Bill,
I was picking courses with good to firm going for trainers in case the changing ground conditions had upset the form. I didn’t see your post until after time as I stopped doing this thread so my comments are not really relevant . However, the way I select trainers it would have been McCain and Richards. McCain’s runner Chamirey ran a stinker 
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). Mind you Henderson/McCoy are turning up so we may be OK today:
people are starting to believe you are my agent 
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