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Timeform ratings

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  • October 13, 2017 at 22:38 #1321417
    droffats
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    I must admit I am not a great lover of Timeform or their ratings.
    However I note from RUK the ratings for tomorrow for the 2-25 at Newmarket puts Purser 10lb ahead with a p of any other horse in the race which is a huge advantage yet Purser is 100/30 second fave.
    Yet Expert eye in the following race the group 1 race is only 2lb ahead yet is a 4/7 chance.
    If you are a Timeform follower surely Purser must be backed as surely a horse 10lb in front should win or am I missing something?

    October 14, 2017 at 00:42 #1321442
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    Yes, but don’t tell everyone droffats. ;-)

    :yes: :yes: :yes: :yes: :yes: :yes: :yes: :yes: :yes: :yes: :yes: :yes:

    Value Is Everything
    October 14, 2017 at 00:56 #1321451
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    Although there is a possibility Puser is better on an artificial surface (USA bred) and there are some other unexposed horses in the field.

    Value Is Everything
    October 14, 2017 at 12:20 #1321552
    Avatar photoadmin
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    New trip, point made by GT about surface, beaten in Solario in last attempt in group 3, four promising, well bred won-last-time with lots of promise horses in opposition (two from world’s strongest yard of two year old talent).

    He’s obviously a key player but you could expect at least a couple of those promising horses to step up markedly on their previous ratings. His price reflects that likelihood.

    October 14, 2017 at 14:41 #1321596
    Avatar photoCav
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    You could be a hundred pounds clear on any ratings you care to mention, and still not have a snowballs if you cant get the near rail on the straight course.

    For the standard of contest it hosts, its a very silly racetrack imo.

    October 14, 2017 at 16:18 #1321649
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    Cav wrote:

    You could be a hundred pounds clear on any ratings you care to mention, and still not have a snowballs if you cant get the near rail on the straight course.

    For the standard of contest it hosts, its a very silly racetrack imo.

    Spot on Cav.

    Some days favour the far side rail…
    Some days favours the stand side rail…
    …And when I say “the rail” I mean a very slim one or two horse widths across; no more than that.
    Some days favour the middle.
    …And when I say “favour” I mean massively favour…

    How does that happen? :unsure:
    Is it possible course staff water all but one part of the course for financial gain? Surely not.

    And what about the going report? Officially “Good, good-firm in places” looking at this weekend’s results punters will be put away.

    Wind might have made a difference, but surely not that much difference? At least two course records on supposedly “good, good-firm inplaces”. May be they should’ve said “Good everywhere bar goood-firm all the way up the rail? :negative:

    Needs to be an investigation in to why this is happening.

    Value Is Everything
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