The Oaks

[Trendsman]

Trend Race Winners

Ballysax Winner : Fame and Glory (Derby Entry)
1000gns Winner : Ghaanati
Pretty Polly Winner : Take the Hint
Cheshire Oaks Winner : Perfect Truth
Lingfield Oaks Trial : Midday
Musidora Winner : Sariska
Fillies Trial Stakes : Apple Charlotte (Not Entered)
Derrinstown Derby Trial : Fame and Glory (Derby Entry)
Irish 1000 Guineas : Again

The Runners

Sariska
Rainbow View
Midday
Beauty O’Gwaun
Again
Perfect Truth
Philipina
Cuis Ghaire
July Jasmine
Oh Goodness Me
High Heeled
Three Moons
The Miniver Rose
Latin Love
Copperbeech
Dance Pass
Totally Devoted
Wadaat
Tottie
Aaroness
Chintz
Nashmiah
Say No Now
Take The Hint
Dulcie

Who have not finished 1st or 2nd in Group or Listed events

High Heeled
Tottie
Dulcie
Copperbeech
The Miniver Rose
Wadaat
Dance Pass
Latin Love
Totally Devoted
Say No Now[/color:3tfmdyt6]

What we have left in the race after losing a third of the field[/u:3tfmdyt6]

Sariska
Midday
Rainbow View
Beauty O’Gwaun
Again
Perfect Truth
Philipina
Cuis Ghaire
July Jasmine
Oh Goodness Me
Three Moons
Aaroness
Chintz
Nashmiah
Take The Hint

So the field is down to 15 runners and now I will take away the double figure prices as only two winners in the last ten years have succeeded. Here we have to be speculative due to that some betting firms are difference in price, so I will eliminate the odds on offer across the board at present

Perfect Truth
Philipina
Cuis Ghaire
July Jasmine
Oh Goodness Me
High Heeled
Three Moons
Aaroness
Chintz
Nashmiah
Take The Hint[/color:3tfmdyt6]

This now leaves a small field

Sariska
Midday
Rainbow View
Again
Beauty O’Gwaun

The next trend is to eliminate runners that did not win on their 2 year old debut

Midday
Again[/color:3tfmdyt6]

So there we loose the highly regarded Midday and Again there and just the three runners left, 5 from the last ten renewals of this have been won by the favourite on the day,but if I be bold here and go with the market at present to eliminate the runners

Rainbow View
Beauty O’Gwaun[/color:3tfmdyt6]

Now we have to go back to the trial races and see that Sariska is the only one left at present that has won one of those events and is at present favourite for this race

Verdict

Micheal Bell seems to have a very nice filly here and looks like she has improved immensely and the transission from two to three has looked very encouraging.She won the Musidora with some authority and she looked like the oaks trip would not convenient her

SARISKA : 2pt Win[/color:3tfmdyt6]

[Zarkava]

I’m sorry but these trends are ridiculous.

The next trend is to eliminate runners that did not win on their 2 year old debut

Eh? 9 of the last 14 Oaks winners hadn’t won on their debut!

So the field is down to 15 runners and now I will take away the double figure prices as only two winners in the last ten years have succeeded.

And what happens if there’s a gamble on one of those runners and they go off at 9/1? You’re screwed. I really don’t understand odds trends, they make absolutely no sense.

[Trendsman]

Thankyou for your critism (It’s Noted)

[Trendsman]

Well for a trend that was ridiculous a fair result i feel

[trendyguy]

like what ur doing but just one small point the last 7 musidora winners that ran in the oaks read 3283385

please dont take offence as i like to think we can help each other

keep up the good work

all the best andy

[Trendsman]

like what ur doing but just one small point the last 7 musidora winners that ran in the oaks read 3283385

please dont take offence as i like to think we can help each other

keep up the good work

all the best andy

Never take offence fella, 10 years ago maybe, but older and wiser now and take every criticism on the chin, hopefully on here in the future we could put our heads together

Be Lucky

[Author]

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