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The Gravedigger.

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  • #21140
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22555

    I couldn’t think of any title to name this system so named it after Billion’s new job as both are a bit of hard work.

    Not sure if it’s any good, probably not but it cant do no harm following it for a bit and posting selections and results.

    These are the rules I’ve constructed.

    Running again up to 7 days of last race.
    Ignore a winner LTO.
    Check last race opening price and sp (sporting life show this).
    The horse with the biggest % difference from op to sp becomes the selection if bigger than 5%.

    The madness in the method I guess is the horse has been backed maybe due a win and the quick return is they fancy it could run well/better?

    Saturday selection

    Handy Andy – 4.20 Newbury
    last race opened 7/1, sp 9/2 +5.7%

    Member since March 2008
    #394580
    billion
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4379

    Even when I can’t answer back you still will not leave me alone.

    MATRON

    , c’mon sort this geezer out please and let us have a little humanity please.

    :D :D

    Billy's Outback Shack

    #394584
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22555

    :lol:

    The only thing worse than being talked about is not being talked about. Delighted you survived your first week at work. What you gonna spend your first wage packet on……?

    Member since March 2008
    #394699
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22555

    Saturday selection

    Handy Andy – 4.20 Newbury
    last race opened 7/1, sp 9/2 +5.7%

    14/1 overnight
    opened 7/1
    touched 15/2
    sp 6/1

    result

    1st

    …………. :mrgreen:

    Sunday – No qualifiers

    Member since March 2008
    #394800
    winnersforu
    Member
    • Total Posts 62

    Hi Nathan

    Excellent start to your new method.

    Will watch with interest.

    All the best

    Winnersforu

    #394813
    elcarteroelcartero
    Participant
    • Total Posts 848

    Incidentally, I find that BF2 seems to net a fair share of winners but I haven’t checked out whether it’s worth applying any filters.

    Saturday selection

    Handy Andy – 4.20 Newbury
    last race opened 7/1, sp 9/2 +5.7%

    14/1 overnight
    opened 7/1
    touched 15/2
    sp 6/1

    result

    1st

    …………. :mrgreen:

    Sunday – No qualifiers

    Powered by Peppermint Linux

    #394836
    billion
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4379

    :lol:

    The only thing worse than being talked about is not being talked about. Delighted you survived your first week at work. What you gonna spend your first wage packet on……?

    Sadly

    Nathan

    , when you have financed a project you don’t get paid.

    But if I followed these tips of yours I could retire to Norfolk.

    How come you only scored 12 points in the comp. this week?

    :lol: :roll: :wink: :lol:

    Billy's Outback Shack

    #394845
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22555

    Thanks for the kind words Winnersforu and elcartero.

    Billion with my form 12 points is good, should of stuck in Handy Andy ah, d’oh………… :oops:

    Member since March 2008
    #395143
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Nathan

    Is this a Stop At A Winner thread? :D

    Seriously, I’ve just been looking at how your system has/would have fared from last Sunday onwards and have noticed that….

    There were three possibles on Sunday but none fitted your odds criteria so no bets and six possibles on Monday from which My Name Is Sam (3.9% diff) would have been a selection.

    Yesterday there were again six possibles with Roxane Bruere (1.8% diff) the selection.

    Earlier this morning there were 22 possibles for today which at the time of writing has been reduced by non-runners to 18. Even so that’s more than enough to be checking up on!

    #395182
    winnersforu
    Member
    • Total Posts 62

    Good Afternoon Discretedata

    Nathan does say in his rules that the difference should be
    bigger than 5%.

    Copied below

    These are the rules I’ve constructed.

    Running again up to 7 days of last race.
    Ignore a winner LTO.
    Check last race opening price and sp (sporting life show this).
    The horse with the biggest % difference from op to sp becomes the selection if bigger than 5%.

    All the best

    Winnersforu

    #395213
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22555

    Yes, to confirm I am only posting selections with a bigger than 5% percent difference from opening price to sp lto.

    Member since March 2008
    #395252
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22555

    Hi guys. We’ve got at least one selection for tomorrow, I say one as it could be Two only I haven’t worked out how to calculate the percentage on odds on shots yet….. :oops:

    The first is

    Sabys Gem – 2.50 Southwell
    opened 15/2, sp 9/2 +6.4%

    The other Stand Guard – 2.20 Southwell opened 4/9 and the sp was 4/11 the difference I haven’t got a bl00dy clue…… :lol:

    Member since March 2008
    #395307
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22555

    I worked Stand Guard out at about 4.1% difference so forgot that one.

    Member since March 2008
    #395452
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22555

    Sabys Gem – 2.50 Southwell
    opened 15/2, sp 9/2 +6.4%……

    Non Runner.

    Member since March 2008
    #395476
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Nathan

    Re. the 5% – sorry, must be suffering from that attention deficit thingy.

    As regards calculating the % diff for odds on…..

    A

    4/11 = 1.36 decimal odds

    B

    4/9 = 1.44 decimal odds

    (100/1.36) – (100/1.44) = 4.08%

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