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The EW Manipulation System

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Viewing 17 posts - 69 through 85 (of 106 total)
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  • #61809
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    Spot on with the overrounds Dave Jay; its no surprise they have gone up. The question is what were the overorunds working at in the morning and 10 minutes before the off? I’ll have a look at this to see if the bookmakers have taken full advantage by modifying their early prices, or whether its just the SPs that have changed. I would note however that Smoothly Does It was 11/2 on the off but returned at 5/1.

    #61810
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    No Bet Today<br>

    #61811
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    12:20Wi A Peaceful Man<br>1:05W Karinga Dream (excellent place odds)<br>2:40DR Justified<br>1:20W Bertoliver

    1pt ew L15

    #61812
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    1pt e/w patent

    2:05L Anton Chehov<br>3:10H Firstflor<br>3:00L Lisathedaddy

    #61813
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    Won 9/2<br>4th (a huge gamble on it but no surprise it was 4th:()<br>Place 15/2

    Returns 24.7pts<br>Profit 10.7pts<br>Overall Profit 69.4pts

    #61814
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    Just to point out that I haven’t forgotten about this thread but there were no bets today and I was too busy yesterday to check.

    #61815
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    Too busy too have a bet .. what’s happened you shacked up with Kate Moss .. ?<br>:biggrin:

    #61816
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    :biggrin:

    Alas not, coursework:angry:

    #61817
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    2:40B Crocodile Bay – I’d be delighted with the forecast 50/1<br>3:05F Gaza Strip<br>1:20W Night Prospector<br>2:50W Onenightinlisbon

    1pt ew L15

    #61818
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    ^ 11/4 and 16/1 places for a loss of 18pts

    1:55C Orpen Wide<br>3:05C Ivoire De Beaulieu<br>4:20W Hereford Boy 10/1<br>5:20W Soul Blazer 11/2

    will only get double odds taking those two prices but I don’t trust the betting market at Wolverhampton.

    #61819
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    1:30c don’t push it<br>2:30u kontinent<br>3:50k luck will come<br>5:20k jomus<br>res 3:10c nobody tells me

    #61820
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    10/3 place<br>5/1 place<br>duffer<br>10/1 place

    Return 40pts<br>Profit 10pts

    however its just a starting point to try to claw back the 27.8pts I lost yesterday

    #61821
    Avatar photocormack15
    Keymaster
    • Total Posts 9232

    Do you keep a running total FSL and, if so, what is it?

    #61822
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    Corm its a profit of roughly 33pts (+-1) to this point.

    Some of the selections often seem strange but I try to go for horses that have the advantage of a run as they are more likely to run to form or improve, and would much rather pick a horse with form figures of 222223 than 116158

    1pt ew L15

    1:30N Brogella<br>2:00N Sea To Sky (better price of the 2ew thievers)<br>3:40C Les Baux Belle<br>4:00N Yankie Destroyer (I’d probably take the 10/1 or 12/1 floating about – I will)

    #61823
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    A loss of 27.6pts leaves an overall profit of just 6pts. :(

    With that in mind I’ll go for some more lucratively priced horses today and will take a different approach.

    4:05L Will If I Want (8/1)<br>1:20Ling Hope Your Safe (20/1) – the reasoning for this is if the newcomer needs a run or isnb’t very good then this is suddenly a very good place chance at 5/1<br>1:00S Molto Duro (25/1) – best chance its had to collect some place money<br>2:30W Exit Strategy (9/1) – has a squeak on form<br>3:40Leic Devils River (40/1)

    1pt ew doubles (total 20pts)<br>1pt ew fourfolds (total 10pts)<br>1pt singles (total 5pts)

    total stake today 35pts<br>

    #61824
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    A typical 4th to start things off:angry:

    #61825
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    If you abandon the Lucky 15, you lose the bonus of triple odds for 1 winner, a significant concession in my opinion.

Viewing 17 posts - 69 through 85 (of 106 total)
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