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The dreaded Wed 1pm clawback

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  • #9859
    Avatar photoricky lake
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 3003

    so then how many of you happy Betfarians , are enjoying paying your premium charge each Wed lunchtime , and is it really only the 0.01 per cent thats involved

    Lets have an update please

    Ricky

    #201698
    hoofhearted
    Member
    • Total Posts 248

    I have no doubt but that many more than 0.01% are affected.
    However, I have also been surprised by how few have made the exodus over to the Purple alternative — judging by the unchanged levels of liquidity over there.
    It would seem that a critical mass of Premium Charge victims are prepared to suffer donating one day’s profit per week for the dubious privilege of using the Betfair platform.
    (Then again, if In-Running is your game — there really is no alternative to BetUnfair.). :cry:

    #203642
    Glenn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2003

    Even less responses to this thread than the Jimbo tribute thread. :shock:

    Am I alone here in getting repeatedly clobbered with this tax on those who can hold the form book the right way up?

    #203647
    Avatar photoCav
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4833

    If you work on a high turnover low ROI model, you’ll never have to worry about it :wink:

    #203648
    davidbrady
    Member
    • Total Posts 3901

    I operate a low turnover negative ROI model and I’ve never been charged!

    #203693
    Aragorn
    Member
    • Total Posts 2208

    Even less responses to this thread than the Jimbo tribute thread. :shock:

    Am I alone here in getting repeatedly clobbered with this tax on those who can hold the form book the right way up?

    Glenn, you’re always ploughing a loan furrow but keep it up..

    I don’t bet anywhere near enough or often enough for this to make any difference to me though..

    #203802
    Avatar photoDrone
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6319

    …the silence is deafening :?

    Now that Betdaq’s 2% introductory offer for pissed-off Betfairies has passed and I’m lumbered with 4.25% is there anyone out there who can give a scenario – from actual experience, not a theoretical number crunch – in which I would definitely pay the Premium Charge on a ROI of circa 8%, betting win-only (no trading) in less than the PC cut-in of 250 markets annually, despite Betfair’s assurances I won’t, and wouldn’t have in the 60 weeks prior to the PC’s introduction in the autumn?

    Not that it matters much as I’m happy with Betdaq and due to my absence Betfair commish has climbed back to 5%…but it would be nice to know

    #203858
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    Drone .. due to the complex nature of the formula based on the 60 weeks year. It is almost impossible to work out if you will definietely NOT pay it, if you are making any sort of long term profit.

    I have taken a different approach and had a break from betting since the tax was imposed. You can’t have a bet if you don’t know what the odds are, unless you expect to lose.

    Sharp minds don’t pay the premium tax.

    #203865
    Avatar photogamble
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5724

    I see that the two roadshow venues
    this month have been postponed
    for one venue in February
    through possible lack of interest.

    The blue evening is not a free for all
    they want to know
    who if any are actually turning up.
    Gamblers are by nature a reclusive bunch
    its in the genes and
    the early ones needed
    a look of innocence and
    a pair goat heels to survive.

    Glenn it might be the time
    to dust down that old troll costume
    go on down Hammy
    and throw a few taxing questions
    at your old chums
    including…

    Why is the beast devouring
    its own children
    starting with the first born
    and selecting the most talented ?

    ( ol’ chum.. the old chum bit is
    a blast from the past that
    has never been confirmed
    by your goodself and was castigated
    as false rumour by them)

    Keep up the good fight
    however I only think things can be changed
    from inside, so an inside job…
    infiltrating the board would be optimum …

    #203866
    Avatar photoDrone
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6319

    Thanks Dave

    "You can’t have a bet if you don’t know what the odds are" is a point well made: a week’s punting uncertain what the net profit will be, hence what the true prices taken were, until the impost – or not – of a mysterious surcharge the following wednesday.

    I won’t miss them :P

    #203902
    Avatar photoricky lake
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 3003

    So it seems the Blue gamble has worked , the carefully planned and ill explained premium charge will be paid and nothing will change unless the gambling commission take a closer look

    as I see it the migration to Purple has not happened , the liquidity is still not good , so successfull players particularily in running fiends will stay at blue because there is simply no other choice

    Like it or lump it it seems we are stuck with it

    :cry:

    Ricky

    #203910
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    I don’t see it as cut and dried as that Ricky.

    Blue will be back for more, once the Premium Tax has been absorbed and worked around. Within a year or so hardly anyone will be paying it, so what are they going to do next? Raise the total commision paid to 22% (25%ish in real money) or reduce the threshold to £500?

    On the subject of liquidity, what percentage of IP addresses provide what percentage of liquidity? I bet it’s less than 0.5% providing 90%+ of the liquidity.

    The liquidity will move when the mugs get thin on the ground. Or Blue decides to get rid of the big players and take their cut. In the same way they have penalised certain types of punters with the Premium Tax and kept their profits for themselves.

    Just a sign of things to come, IMO.

    #203928
    Avatar photoricky lake
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 3003

    Dave , maybe you are right I cant see it though , liquidity measurement is straight forward , presently its just not happening for Purple

    Racing has been running out of victims for a long time and yet the show rolls onwards

    The truth is Blue made a commercial decision which although hated is working and in the absence of any real opposition they can go forward in the knowledge that thay have the upper hand for now ….

    What will be the choking point for betfarians will be found out , but for now that bridge has not been reached

    It will be interesting to see what the final straw will be

    Ricky

    #204243
    Avatar photogamble
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5724

    bag in a box

    A friend of my sister
    arranged a holiday in Canada
    This was some time ago.
    She was looking forward to the trip,
    an attractive girl, an adventurous girl.
    She camped on the outskirts of the forest.
    Well the young are foolhardy
    and she was possibly aware of the risk
    possibly not.
    A bear ate her.
    This was a true story
    and she came bag in a box.

    almost bull

    I was cornered by a bull once
    in a large field
    Supernatural heels took me over or through
    a gorse bush
    that would have pinned
    an adulterer’s twin shames
    to bramble
    but I couldn’t begin
    or even contemplate
    dealing with the hot
    primeval breath of a bear
    and those horrible gummy teeth
    that shew no mercy
    to a mind honed on Homer
    all greek to a bear

    Disorderli innit

    From two thousand
    To two thousand and seven
    The B’air was in heaven,
    salmon was plentiful
    and people fed him cake
    In eight though
    came the hate
    salmon stocks died
    wet water filled mouths opened
    with nothing and dribbling excuses
    ‘n bulging b’air eyes cried
    hungry and redder than the
    bankers stocks in bankbrokeciti
    not five thousand miles shy
    of bankruptcy
    and the b’air
    feasted for the first time
    on the hands
    of the humans
    that had previously fed him.

    Its the law of the jungle,
    common practice of companies
    It isn’t fair

    #204244
    Avatar photoKen(West Derby)
    Member
    • Total Posts 1063

    Gamble: Fair question please? Is it the City smog of London or the North Sea breezes that have been most influential in opening up your mind to such feasts of imagination?

    #204245
    Avatar photogamble
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5724

    do you Ken West

    The Derby was an influence
    but Ken,
    near death experiences
    have helped me see
    through
    filthy smogs of London
    but it was several hard rains
    from scarboro drains
    that have shipped
    water to my brain
    and cleared the dog
    and me nearer to heaven
    but the bear and bull was
    full of truth
    and as for the b’air
    after seven years
    it fled the truth
    and couldn’t care

    p.s.
    In truth Ken ( West Derby)
    it was the short head 820 result
    at Great Leighs that enabled
    me to get through the turgid tittys
    of the strange devious ditties
    you read overleaf
    with an exhiliration only
    a gambler can experience :shock:

    #204356
    Glenn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2003

    The carrot or the stick……..?

    Go here and type in skybet.com and betfair.com.

    Can you guess which decided to punish long-run winners and which decided to reward long-run losers?

    http://www.alexa.com/

    If anyone knows how to post the graph here please do.

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