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Swinley Handicap Chase 2024

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  • #1680970
    Avatar photoDBRDBR
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    • Total Posts 973

    17 runners on the five day stage. My interest goes to Victtorino. He won twice over course and distance earlier this season and I think he had still something in hand. Last time over a shorter distance at Cheltenham he wasn’t really travelling, but back at Ascot he should go fine.

    Victtorino 8/1

    #1680978
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 14896

    Shan Blue looks a fair price at this 12’s, and last run shows he’s coming back to himself. Main worry is his entry at Kempton a week on Saturday. I’ll reluctantly swerve him Antepost.

    Torn and Frayed looked average last time, but if his price holds, he’ll be backup, though possibly one I should maybe be giving up on

    Usually like an Antepost in this, but just feels a bit risky. I’ll bet the pair of them if they go

    Edit Missed the big prices, but that was always gonna happen

    Shan Blue 7’s
    Torn and Frayed 18’s

    #1680998
    Avatar photopeter .h
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    • Total Posts 1649

    I’m still convinced Victtorino is the real deal. Track and trip holds no fears, and I’m likely to have a go before Thursday. I think he’ll start favourite.

    Cap Du Nord is clearly being prepared for a pot, and this could well be it.

    They’ll be my two.

    #1681144
    Silver Spoon
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    • Total Posts 415

    Larry is my call here at 14-1, and I’m just hoping that he’s not done his winning for the season

    #1681200
    Avatar photoQuelle Farce
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    • Total Posts 619

    There are three of these in the Grand National at this early stage.

    Does Nicholls want Threeunderthrufive to win with a mark of 152 already – that would get him up to 156 or so, which would give him even less chance at Aintree. Same comment for the Ultima.

    Iron Bridge. Is at 140, down two for being beaten in the Chepstow Welsh Nash slop. Another that needs a few mre pounds to justify the GN entry. But is this running at Haydock instead?

    Revels Hill. Third in this off 137 last season, ran good race in Whitbread last April. Currently rated 137 so needs a decent hike up the weights to get in – and only a win would get him that. But this is a first run of season.

    #1681344
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
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    • Total Posts 5331

    Skelton looks to bring Shah blue back to boil going by the last run however it’s Ballygriffin cottage that catches my eye , he has horrible recent form but was a useful novice , I’m hoping at a huge price e.w he can show more in this

    #1681392
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 30935

    “Does Nicholls want Threeunderthrufive to win with a mark of 152 already – that would get him up to 156 or so, which would give him even less chance at Aintree. Same comment for the Ultima”.

    ——————–

    Fair point QF, but imo Nicholls is – perhaps more than any other – a “bird in the hand” trainer… And if he does win it’ll just mean the horse is improving so has a better chance of defying the handicapper at Aintree. However, although he ran really well at Cheltenham last time, there’s a possibility there will be even better to come back on a right-handed track today. That said, in his last two efforts has looked to be going best and not found as much as might have done.

    Shan Blue has looked more temperamental since unlucky at Wetherby.
    Victtorino still has improvement and is better than he showed last time. Ascot may suit him better but the stable form worries me.
    Revels Hill would have a good chance if fit and market support would suggest he is. 2nd on reappearance last year. Not run since chasing home Kitty’s Light in the “whitbread”. If RL wins I hope KL isn’t put up in the handicap for the National.

    I’ve backed Revels Hill for the win outright and Threeunderthufive each way, with a bit place only too.

    Value Is Everything
    #1681397
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 6904

    Victtorino insurebet 3 places

    #1681413
    Avatar photoKris
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    • Total Posts 1267

    I was at Haydock last season and I marked down Ballygriffincottage as a very promising type for these races but that has not been the case at all. He’s a very hard one to be too enthusiastic about, but I’ve bet him at 50-1 ew. He is my main bet in this race

    I’ve also bet Rapper to win at 22-1 as I think that he’s a more feasible one to run better than his big odds suggest that he will.

    #1681422
    Avatar photoRefuse To Bend
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    • Total Posts 1260

    Hoping Revels Hill is fit and ready to go.

    "Mum and dad cursed the day you were born"

    #1681466
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 6904

    Jumping went to pot.

    #1681467
    Avatar photoRefuse To Bend
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    Well done Ginger.

    "Mum and dad cursed the day you were born"

    #1681468
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    Yyyess.
    Still better than he showed there.
    Idled badly final strides.

    Value Is Everything
    #1681469
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 6904

    wd Ginger

    #1681470
    Avatar photoKris
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    • Total Posts 1267

    Well done ginger

    #1681471
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 30935

    Thanks RTB. :good:

    Value Is Everything
    #1681472
    Avatar photoDBRDBR
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    • Total Posts 973

    Wd Ginger!

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