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Supreme Novices hurdle 2024

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Viewing 17 posts - 120 through 136 (of 165 total)
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  • #1683849
    Avatar photoCork All Star
    Participant
    • Total Posts 11789

    Mystical Power is the clear favourite on the Exchange now. Ballyburn is odds on for the Gallachers. It looks like a done deal.

    #1683855
    TheTinMan87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1411

    It should make the Supreme a better race to be fair albeit at the expense of the Gallachers which will become very small field, probably 4 or 5 my guess. Its looking a very winnable race the Supreme. Tullyhill will push Mystical Power close for favouritism imo, very similar piece of form, Paul will obviously be on Tullyhill as its not JP.

    #1684420
    Avatar photoChivers1987
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2428

    I thought Willie sounded quite sweet on ASIAN MASTER last I heard. Owned by the Costello’s so big day for the jockey. That was a decent race he won easily last time and first race of the festival, amateur jockey to win, I can picture it. Means f-all, we can picture all outcomes. Mistergif could be any-ting.

    ASIAN MASTER 28/1
    MISTERGIF 14/1
    saver on MYSTICAL POWER 7/2 as I’d like for Mark to win this too.

    #1684425
    Avatar photovikingflagship
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2953

    Mystical Power
    Jeriko du reponet

    VF x

    #1684464
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    I’ve already backed Mystical Power (and Slade Steel). Former looked the one to start favourite because imo Tullyhill needs soft or heavy ground and Slade Steel probably needs soft to bring his stamina into play at the trip. On good-soft Mystical Power imo would’ve had the best chance by a fair margin. Now (on soft) I make MP and SS joint favs with Tullyhill only just behind.

    Value Is Everything
    #1684467
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9546

    I’m not too concerned about soft ground for MP as that is what he has been racing on over hurdles and his sire produced a grade 1 hurdler who needed it soft and the dam won plenty on it.

    #1684479
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    It’s not that MP does not go on soft, just brings other horses into it, Mike. Had it been good-soft the ground would’ve been against Tullyhill and the test of speed possibly against Slade Steel. Therefore Mystical Power now has less chance than he would’ve done on good-soft.

    Value Is Everything
    #1684508
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14552

    To be honest, and maybe it’s just me, but I don’t see what all the hoo-ha
    is about Jeriko Du Reponet. I think his form is pretty solid. There seemed
    to be a fair bit of criticism about his last race which personally I don’t
    agree wih. He travelled and jumped well, and sure he did have to get stoked
    up after the 2nd last and had a bit of a fight with Lump Sum and Fiercely
    Proud but won going away in the end. Lump Sum won a Grade 2 hurdle at Kempton
    next time out, chased home by Fiercely Proud. I think that shows the form of
    the Doncaster race was pretty genuine.

    It might turn out that Mystical Power, Firefox and Slade Steel are better horses,
    that we won’t know until they square up. I think the 15/2 isn’t a bad bet, I grabbed
    some of the 10/1 when he drifted out after the Doncaster race. I didn’t understand that.
    I’m quite happy with the horse. He won a Grade 2 last time out and the 2nd won a Grad 2
    next time out, with the 3rd from the Doncaster race being runner-up. Mystical Power aside,
    he’s the only other unbeaten runner in the race. I think his chances are pretty good, I
    certainly wouldn’t swap him.

    #1684510
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9079

    Does anyone think this is a strong supreme ? , I get the feeling Tullyhill will either win or blow out

    Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026

    #1684544
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9546

    My picks…

    Mystical Power 6-1 ew
    Tullyhill 3-1 money back if loses

    #1684554
    Avatar photoDegaussed
    Participant
    • Total Posts 568

    Backed Tellherthename EW (25s) and Slade Steel (9/2).

    #1684562
    stilvi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5228

    I did originally think this rested between Mystical Power and Firefox.

    I can see them going pretty quick the front end with Tellherthename, Tullyhill, and possibly Firefox. For that reason my confidence in Firefox is on the wane, particularly as he needs to bounce back from a bad run.

    I would be surprised if either Jeriko Du Reponet or Slade Steel were good enough.

    The race could be run to suit a closer so for that reason I will stick with Mystical Power.

    It looks a competitive Supreme, time will confirm whether it’s above average.

    #1684573
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    Certainly open.

    This is my 100% book:

    MYSTICAL POWER 22% 7/2
    SLADE STEEL 21% (almost halfway between 4/1 and 7/2)
    Tullyhill 19% (almost halfway between 9/2 and 4/1)
    Jericko Du Reponent 10% 9/1
    MISterGIff 10% 9/1
    Firefox 9% 10/1
    FAVOUR AND FORTUNE 3.25% 28/1
    Asian Master 3% 33/1
    Tellherthename 2% 50/1
    Gold Dancer 0.75% 132/1
    Supersundae 0.3% 300/1
    King Hill 0.2% 500/1

    I’ve done both Mystical Power at an average of 5.83 and Slade Steel average 10.54 ante-post.
    Now done Favour And Fortune @ 45/1 with a saver on Mistergiff @ 12.5/1

    If I was betting now (without ante-post bets) it would be Slade Steel and Favour And Fortune main bets with savers on Mystical Power and Mistergiff.

    Value Is Everything
    #1684579
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    I’d worry about a hard puller like mystical power getting up the hill on the likely soft/heavy ground

    I like tullyhill and Slade steel

    Both will stay the trip strongly

    Tullyhill will love the ground but will need to improve his jumping another notch

    Suspect he will either win or be beaten out of sight depending on how he jumps

    #1684609
    TakeYourTime
    Participant
    • Total Posts 767

    Mistergif jumps and travels which can’t be said of Tullyhill or Mystical Power. Perhaps that’s a bit harsh but Mistergif would be a pretty strong fancy here and I’ve taken the bet365 25% winnings boost. I think Daryl Jacob has been riding better than ever this season too.

    #1684613
    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3633

    Asian master @25/1 e/w, cracking betting race, firefox would be my pick of the main ones bur im happy to just have a small bet on AM and watch a solid first race to the week, no lays, dont feel strongly against anything, i feel anything could win this.

    #1684621
    GM23
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1332

    Tullyhill for me but I don’t have a strong fancy for this. He’s got bundles of class but his jumping really needs to take a huge step forward tomorrow.

Viewing 17 posts - 120 through 136 (of 165 total)
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