Southwell – Lets pick some winners

[Leeknowles1]

Time:
Horse:
Reason:

Lee

[sberry]

Okay, challenge accepted, though I may not post reasons for fear of starting an argument or debate about the whip or value…

[sberry]

1.40 Bird Dog
2.10 Za’Lan
2.45 Ingleby Arch
3.15 Follow The Flag
3.50 Captain Bellamy
4.20 Samasana
4.55 Budva

[Dartguru]

1.40 Misere
2.10 Za’Lan – picked over the so-called first string
2.45 Ingleby Arch
3.15 Follow The Flag
3.50 Lyric Poet – interesting Southwell first-timer and up in trip
4.20 J J Leary
4.55 Mustajed

[Leeknowles1]

Cheers mate, will only put brief reasons.

1.40 – Bird dog – speedy horse who will need to stay well, danny brock a plus.

2.10 – Zalan – Bet of the race here at 16/1?!?! Well bred shouldnt be a mug.

2.45 – Trans sonic – Well with weights and race should suit with fallon up (although Vunerable)

3.15 – Nazreef withdrawn so – Follow the flag – Will get a stronger pace than last time which should suit.

3.50 – Captain Bellamy – Hughie morrison does very well here, with Jimmy on board, sure to go well.

4.20 – JJ Leary – Fallon on board for ian williams – The visor is back on which could help, but the real reason im backing this is because of ian williams superior Profit to a level stake last season. (i said i would back all his this year)

4.55 – Brunello – The form slightly stacks up in his favor at the weights and will strong fallon on board and cheekpieces added im hoping will suit.

Dont think we are too far off eachother SBERRY!

[Cav]

Looking at the early exchange markets and my own data I would expect 5 of the 7 races at Southwell to be won by the following shortlist. It narrows a 59 runner card down to 23. 14 of the 23 trade at 5.0 or better on BF at the mo.

13:40 Footstepsofspring
13:40 Gracie’s Gift
13:40 Itsthursdayalready
13:40 Silly Billy
13:40 Takajan
14:10 Dream Prospector
14:10 Linroyale Boy
14:10 Three Bards
14:45 Trans Sonic
14:45 Zomerlust
15:15 Close To The Edge
15:15 Sound Amigo
15:15 True To Form
15:50 Captain Bellamy
15:50 Lyric Poet
15:50 Salontyre
15:50 Storm Hawk
15:50 Wine ‘n Dine
16:20 J J Leary
16:20 Son Of May
16:55 Brunello
16:55 Budva
16:55 Captain Sharpe

[Tuffers]

I’ve only looked at the first because I’m looking out for anything Mark Brisbourne runs at the moment. After his horses were laid low with the virus in December he has a number of well handicapped horses and both his runners in th 1.40 will be suited by conditions.

[Author]

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