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Viewing 17 posts - 137 through 153 (of 998 total)
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  • #1576879
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Stand Staunch
    Win.
    1250.
    Wetheby
    Gets a handy weight pull from
    Kayfast Warrior here who looked tired and wandered when winning here last time. Kayfast Warrior will come on for the run but the penalty may well prove too much in this mud.
    Good hurdling experience from Ireland
    Brought down on debut in the summer before
    9 lengths second to Willie Mullin’s Feigh before a staying on fourth last time behind Inca Prince.
    Stand Staunch
    Win
    And take added insurance win w/o kayfast Warrior.
    There is an excellent summary and preview of the race in the juvenile hurdles thread on the main forum.

    #1576904
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Money left in the satchel with too much taken on bare form.
    Weights won the day.
    Bonus selection comes in the 3.30 bumper at the same meeting where
    CEOLWULF
    win
    Impressed with style of running in a Newcastle bumper last time out.
    Took the widest route and seen to good effect finishing strongly in the home straight to take second.
    Looked in control throughout and possibly good enough to win going away if able to handle the conditions. Lots of good runners here and this one unlikely to go off as favourite.
    _____________________________________________
    Ran up to form of last outing, losing little in defeat third to two better horses.

    #1577066
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Adamantly chosen
    1.03 cork
    Constitution Hill
    2.25
    Sandown
    Look to be the two best runners of the day and although did not win on bow Ac showed a great attitude in a driving finish last time. This maiden hurdle looks winnable and the testing ground is the only concern.
    Constitution Hill is the talking horse of the weekend and it is a concern that the RP have him on their front page.

    Win singles win double
    ___________________________________________
    Adamantly chosen found only one too good but Constitution Hill has that wow factor and is up there with the best horses seen this year.

    #1577367
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Taunton
    1pm

    Tango Tara
    Win @ 6/4
    Without
    Jpr one.
    Jpr one has obvious claims here but Paul Nicholls introduces an exciting runner to the ranks who ultimately has a future over larger obstacles.
    Unbeaten winner of a point to point in autumn 2020 won in good style and has a 400 days off to overcome.
    But reports of impressive work abound ran upsides of GENTLEMENS GAME in a schooling bumper at the Curragh (before that one went for 250k and won on debut under Racheal Blackmore in Ireland.) Many lengths clear of the rest in the schooling run
    This 120 k purchase looks to have a big future and Nicholls has had plenty of time to work on this horse to get him to the track fir and ready.
    Will surely need the run but this runner likely has a big future.

    #1577372
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Jpr one is different Gravy as anticipated but Tango Tara justified my support in the market for a win without the favourite. Nice to be back in the “winners” enclosure after a poor Saturday. This one was full of confidence despite such a long lay off and the jockey spent plenty of time checking on JPR ones proximity to get the timing of his ride correct. He was never going to win here and the need to ride within certain constraints was evident. Unlikely to go off at that price again in similar company, but no suprise to see TT step up in grade.

    #1577471
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Doncaster
    1.40. OUR POWER
    WIN
    There was a lot to like about the way
    Our Power battled all the way to the line against Jacamar last time. Nevertheless Jacamar had a lot in hand that day and a Danny Mullins masterclass saw him home next time at Kempton on boxing day.
    That franking of the form will have given the two Sam’s, Thomas and Twiston Davies plenty to work with and expect them to get home again today.
    Fell 1st
    ——————————————–
    Disappointing when they go down at the first but that is the glorious uncertainty of racing. Main thing is the jockey and horse come back safely.

    #1577613
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Travel Datuk
    Ew 18/1 or better
    Lightning storm
    Win
    6/5 or better
    Happy Valley 11.45 am
    Wednesday
    Lightning storm
    Won without being pushed by Zac Puriton in December.
    This is Zac’s comeback meeting after being involved in a racecourse pile up and lengthy stay in hospital.
    The enigmatic Travel Datuk is a cult horse in Hong Kong.
    Won last year for the first time in 45 runs.
    Previously a winner in Ireland 2015 under Shane Foley for Jessica Harrington.
    This horse had been very consistent placing many times in Hong Kong over the years without winning and has built up a massive following around the world. He has just dropped back to last March’s winning mark and has the stall 1 draw. An unlikely winner today but a chance to return to place form which made this horse so popular.
    He gets the 11th attempt in my around the world 🌍 in 80 ways challenge and will hopefully make the fourth step if he places.
    Figures5000706-46962682554286974833-23285258-7223488233-2215490078
    As you can see from Travel Datuk’s Hong Kong record, he runs up to place form regularly.
    If he has come back this year in the same mood and retains ability he will earn some more place money.
    Stall one is not ideal as he likes to run on late so may well get behind early on and would have to switch to the centre or wider.
    Lightning strike has a very strong chance here so a good win bet IMO which allows an each way dabble on the cult horse.

    #1577640
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Ran well did lightning storm and stuck to the rail like glue. But wasn’t travelling strongly enough and led in the home straight but was passed by a wave of three horses out wide off a slow pace.
    INSOMNIA
    win
    1235 lingfield
    Is the bonus selection….
    Ran very well on reappearance at Southwell under a tender ride to take third.
    Ran ninth in the Chesham behind Chindit as the only unrated runner and beat two home a 93 and an 88.
    Starts handicapping off 77 so potentially well treated stepping up in trip faces 3 course and distance winners and if handling this extra distance we have a potential group horse in a handicap here.
    Prior to these three runs Insomnia had won here on debut over 7 furlongs last March after a poor start so should now be ready to step up in trip 10 months on.
    The saver bet here is one of the course and distance winners
    PRINCE ROCK
    Win without insomnia 7/1
    PR is up 3lbs in the ratings with a 4lb penalty for winning here last time out and has every chance here. All hinges on wether Insomnia is meant to stamp class on this race or is being aimed at another target but 77 is very lenient an assessment.

    #1577815
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Anyone who followed the advice and backed Tango Tara the other day to win without jpr one will have enjoyed watching the race as the horse was ridden to “specific instructions” which revolved around the proximity of the subsequent winner JPR ONE. Possibly one of the best selections so far on the thread.

    COREY’S COURAGE
    Win
    4pm
    Olly Murphy is on holiday in Dubai right now.
    And his string of horses are in good hands.
    He sends out bumper winner Corey’s Courage to make his hurdles debut in the concluding novice race today.
    Corey’s Courage beat a decent field in a bumper 287 days ago.
    In doing so he beat a fame and glory pair.
    The runner up went on to win twice before picking up some black type last time out finishing second to Rainyday Woman by just three lengths in a listed hurdle.
    Further back in the bumper that day was another subsequent two time winner from the Skeltons.
    There has to be a reason for the absence but he is one of only two runners in the race to have won over the trip.
    I’m hoping the stable have selected the best race and conditions to suit the horse and A. Coleman is a good jockey booking.
    So if this one handles the transition to obstacles has a very good chance. Half the field are first time hurdlers but there is nothing of great shakes here and a win for the selection is very much on the cards.
    Gets no favours here as they all run off levels, but there is clear ability in this horse……
    ———————————————-
    COREY’S COURAGE
    Good winner. Trainer will be delighted.

    #1577939
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    SAN FRANCISCO BAY 🌎 win

    San Francisco Bay
    Win without Bearing Bob
    5.30
    Wolves
    Off for a long spell since suffering a disqualification ( debatable).
    Looked to have won fair and square having hung twice and impeded rival. Given that both horses were green the winning distance would have been further and looked better than the official head distance which swung the verdict in favour of the runner up.
    These decisions are open to interpretation and there appears very little consistency with stewards according to the stables, jockey stature and size of race. The bigger the jockey and trainer the more the lenience.
    Faces a horse ( Bearing Bob) who was gambled on last time on handicap debut who was seen off by an even bigger gambled on horse.
    Penalised for disqualified head win but given lots of time to train on and Jamie Spenser rides here.
    ———————————————-
    Couldn’t match yesterdays winner and perhaps San Francisco Bay needed the run after a lay off.

    #1578138
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Lanzarote
    Gellino bellino
    William Henry
    Both each way
    Seven places

    GELINO BELLO
    4TH @ 6/1

    #1578451
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Kodi Gold
    5pm wolves
    Shrewdly placed.
    Dropped into a stakes race for the first time with David Evans. Raced in stakes race for Christine Dunnett.
    Missed break and all winning chances lost two runs ago but still finished with a wet sail from impossible position to take second.
    Winner followed up next time.
    Put out over 7f next time wrong trip and still ran second.
    Back here off bottom weight in small field.
    Likely to bolt up unchallenged under Gina Manghan.
    First visit to Wolves having raced at all the other all weather tracks in England.
    ———————————————-
    Somehow I thought this was a 6f race but it is of course a 7 f contest so much of what I’ve written is in error.
    I still think the horse has a good chance but if presented with the facts it would be an each way bet. But I am sticking with win at the price I got earlier. He is best in here up against higher rated horses and would struggle against these in a handicap so a reduced chance, but a chance all the same.

    #1578504
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    I am a dreamer win
    This one also has strong claims and on the draw side too given the non runner who has collaborative form with that runner and was drawn alongside.
    ———————————————-
    Kodi Gold ran second for the third race on the trot.
    Absolutely imperative that this horse runs over the six furlongs very well treated and mounted challenge late up the home straight and has lost nothing in defeat here.

    #1578874
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    3.30
    Ludlow

    Another venture
    Win
    Pulled up in the Kim Muir behind mount Ida
    Returned at Cheltenham for new yard and not disgraced in third behind strictly a dancer.
    Returns here scene of course win in Dec 2020.
    Has a firm chance having proved retains ability.

    Somerset national
    To follow
    3.50
    Captain Chaos
    Quarentta
    Both each way

    #1578999
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    On The Blind Side
    Win
    Lingfield 2.25
    Top rated
    Out of touch lately but no excuse if this one doesn’t land this huge prize.

    #1579024
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    No excuse then other than backing this stables horse outside of big race meetings very difficult…..

    No such problems with Gary Moore and
    Hudson De Grugy
    Up just three pounds for course win last time is good to go and certain to run his race places claims.
    Back to place.
    3.35
    Lingfield

    #1579247
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    The impressive Jon Bon
    Runs in the mud at Haydock and will hopefully come out of the race as a major challenger to all comers come march.
    until then his price needs another horse to boost the odds.

    ASH TREE MEADOW
    Navan
    1.05
    Win double
    With JONBON
    Haydock 1.25
    Ash tree meadow has finished behind both sir Gerhard and Adamantly chosen in races and looks to hold the strongest form at Navan.

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