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https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/11/cheltenham/2025-11-14/905535
https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/national-hunt/shloer-chase/winner
Not a race I have a bet in too often, and I’m having two this time
If I’ve bet Libberty Hunter for Champion Chase, then I have to really take 16’s here
Brookie is a horse who I just love, and though I’m running the risk of missing better terms on the day if he goes, I’ve started chipping away, as I think the 40’s is generous
Libberty Hunter 16’s
Brookie EW 40’sJonbon as long as he refain from the usual clanger should be winning this , surprised he’s not shorter
Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026
Jonbon was 1/2 on Tuesday – that’s the sort of drift that usually tells a story from his stable.
I think he’s in the wrong race, given he’s proven his stamina for a longer trip twice now at Aintree. And his sire had the double of Gold Cup and Grand National earlier this year. So I’d have preferred to see him running in the 2M 5F race at Ascot next Saturday, then on to Kempton on Boxing Day.
But instead we have the usual Henderson policy of sticking in the same rut, season after season. Age beats every two mile chaser eventually and stepping up in trip is the logical response. And with Jonbon, you have the added incentive to go the Ascot/Kempton route, as he plainly enjoys a right handed track.
Prob is JP already has a Ryanair and Gold Cup horse , he can still mop up a number of these early/mid season grade 1/2s , however once the Irish arrive then he’s toast , he’s akin to that he The New One in that respect
Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026
I’m also of the opinion that Jonbon should be running over further. However, it’s likely to be pretty soft ground tomorrow. That will slow the tempo which usually causes him to belt a few and at 11/10, he’s worth backing.
My first bet of the jumps, jonbon 9/10 times would comfortably beat this lot at 11/10 is really fascinating imo, he’s way overpriced and i expect him to shorten a good bit, back closer to 4/6, 1/2 should be his price though, if it was any other track id be all over this
However, ill be betting matata at anything from 12/1 up, no need for e/w, happy to skip the places on this, this is his best chance at this grade that he’ll get all season stables in great form and had a prep, id have brookie over LDS, LH would be my bet if he’d have had a prep, but the lack of and stable form is in the toilet currently, seems an obvious bet to me win or lose,
A watching race for me. Jonbon has had a wind op. He’s generally been a winning machine so one wonders why the wind op. Is he not as good as he was? Dunno. And if he were to get beat then knowing who beats him looks just as tricky.
I know it’s a long shot but I’ve done Haddex des Obeaux at 36.75 ew (bog). Not a million miles behind Jonbon when last seen and has a 6lb pull and seems to like the heavy ground it may get today.
This is most likely the easiest race of his (Jonbon) career. Libberty Hunter seems to be a late developing sort, but has no Group win to his name. Edwardstone was so bad last year, I thought they would retire him. Matata never performs well outside handicap company. This could leave the door open for L’Eau Du Sud.
The 7/2 looks tempting, I might have a bit of that.
Haddex Des Obeaux is quite interesting at 33/1 EW, but hasn’t raced for almost a year. I wonder why.L’Eau Du Sud for me
One final time for Edwardstone I hope. Ran quite well in this race last year and 6 pounds better off in the weights now. These conditions should suit him. Jonbon is a liabilty around Cheltenham.
Edwardstone 20/1
I’m on Jonbon as well and have put him in a double with July Flower tomorrow too. L’eau du Sud is a very neat jumper but I don’t know if he has the 10lb improvement required to get to Jonbon’s level and stop him doing the hat trick.
I think the “Jonbon hates Cheltenham” case is overstated. One of his defeats there was against peak C Hill in a fast ground Supreme and one was against peak El Fab in the Arkle.“I think the “Jonbon hates Cheltenham” case is overstated.”
I agree, El Fabiolo was a class horse. I’d like to think he would’ve won the 2024 Champion Chase if he had turned up, winning that and the anti-Cheltenham conversation doesn’t exist. As for today I’ve already said what i think.
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