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He’s a decent animal but no way could 10/1 be considered value considering he missed the race last year and hasn’t run this.
He’s brilliant first time out though and has the right trainer to be brought back to his peak after a lay-off. Henderson’s percentage for F.T.O winners is superb.
I think it’s going to be a cracker this year
Well he’s left Binocular about 10lbs below his best on his last 3 seasonal debuts in the Fighting Fifth and the condition he let Long Run run in in the Betfair was quite frankly scandalous.
I’d wait and see what turns up at Ascot first. Could be toughter than you think.
Now! would be a good time to be taking the 10/1 about Riverside Theatre
Lol good job HGM. He clearly does’t like Cheltenham, but you keep believing in Nicky
Geez you’re a genius.
He’s ran there once in his life over a trip way too short for him, won by a horse who went on to win the QMCC, while he stepped up in trip finished 2nd to Long Run in the King George and went on to win the Grade 1 Betfair Chase when he flew home over 2m5f miles at Ascot winning by 10 lengths.
The’re is absolutely nothing to suggest he does not like Cheltenham and if anything the fact it is run over 2m5f on a really stiff track and he stays 3 miles the race is perfect for him.
Do try and think before you post old bean
Granted right now 2 miles isn’t his trip, but back then he’d just come from hacking up in a 2 mile chase over a less testing track. With regards to the King George, Kempton is clearly a place he loves and I always had him down as a cracking e/w bet for that race, and it didn’t surprise me a jot that he ran on so well for second. As for the Ascot race, the only other half decent horse in the race departed and was sadly lost, leaving him with not a lot to beat. And I don’t want to hear about Gauvain’s form this term as we all know he’s had a much better season than he’s ever shown in the past.
He won’t win the Ryanair, end of!
Granted right now 2 miles isn’t his trip, but back then he’d just come from hacking up in a 2 mile chase over a less testing track.
Against who?
Far too early to say for sure whether he doesn’t like, or indeed like, Cheltenham IMO.
My Way De Solzen, bolted up in a 2m Listed Novice Hurdle a month before the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle. Finished 15th. Won the World Hurdle, Dipper and Arkle over the next 2 seasons.
Granted right now 2 miles isn’t his trip, but back then he’d just come from hacking up in a 2 mile chase over a less testing track.
Against who?
Far too early to say for sure whether he doesn’t like, or indeed like, Cheltenham IMO.
My Way De Solzen, bolted up in a 2m Listed Novice Hurdle a month before the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle. Finished 15th. Won the World Hurdle, Dipper and Arkle over the next 2 seasons.
True enough, I’m not here saying what’s right and what’s wrong, merely stating my opinion, as indeed everyone else here is/should be.
I just believe his best achievements are going to be gained away from Cheltenham.
I’d like to put up what I think is a good e/w shot for the Ryanair.
I like Little Josh, and fancied him to run well in the Argento chase on Saturday.Going to the second last he had traveled really well, but just tired between the last two and finished 6th. The Argento is 3m2f, which is the furthest he has ever traveled, and having been off for a year, I think he ran a very good race.
The 2m5f of the Ryanair should be right up his street. He clearly likes Cheltenham, running well on Saturday and having won the Paddy Power (2m4f)the year before at Cheltenham, with no less than Long Run behind him (admittedly he was receiving 10lbs)
He was best priced 50-1 for the Ryanair before he ran on Saturday, he is now best priced 33-1 (totesport, Betfred & Boylesports) generally 25s, with Corals and Bet365 dropping him to 16s.
I think Nigel Twiston-Davies will have him spot on, and as he likes a punt, I expect the 33s to disappear well before the race. He was obviously fancied a bit in the Argento, having been cut from 40s to 25s before the day of the race, and going off at 16-1. As I said he traveled really well until 2 out.
He gets my money, I think he has a very good chance.
Good shout – on form has a lot to find, but Twister usually bangs one in and this fella could have improvement in him from last season.
I hope not as i’m firmly in the Rubi Light camp and Noble Prince must run a big race, but there’s worse EW shots out there.You could have got 50/1 after the race with BetFred and Boyles.
I think again much depends on Albertas Run. If he gets there in similar shape to last year I fear his tenacity would break Little Josh and many of the others for that matter.
Must admit, before Saturday I’d completely forgotten about Little Josh. Excellent e/w shout!
He actually wooped long run in the paddy power albeit of a low weight but that is course form. Twiston davies comes good in march and that was an encouraging run.
If Alberta’s Run runs in this and not the Gold Cup, we’ll have Little Josh, Rubi Light, Great Endeavour and Alberta’s Run all vying for the lead. They could go one hell of a clip & despite being on Rubi at 25s, I’m now considering looking for something that comes with a run as it’s very possible that the front 3 or 4 will be completely spent after 2m 2f.
Thx shack, I like to think Little Josh has a good chance. He has a lot going for him, course and distance winner (well 1/2 a furlong short of) and I hope you are right there is improvement in him, I think there is.
I agree with you that Rubi Light and Noble Prince are serious contenders, although I would be a little worried Rubi Light running at Cheltenham in March as all his wins are on heavy or soft, I don’t think he will get his ground.
Best of luck to you, it can’t come soon enough.
Wouldn’t be too concerned by the ground for Rubi Light, finished 3rd on lightning quick ground last year.
Noble Prince may well be the one to profit from a rapid early pace.
"Zarkava" wrote: If Alberta’s Run runs in this and not the Gold Cup, we’ll have Little Josh, Rubi Light, Great Endeavour and Alberta’s Run all vying for the lead. They could go one hell of a clip & despite being on Rubi at 25s, I’m now considering looking for something that comes with a run as it’s very possible that the front 3 or 4 will be completely spent after 2m 2f.
Enter Realt Dubh
Does The Giant Bolster have an entry in this? I see he is entered to run in Denman’s race at the weekend, and with an offical rating of 160 it is too high for any handicaps.
A decent showing on Saturday could tempt connections for a tilt. He was so impressive in thumping Poquelin (who has been fav for this the last 2 runnings) – and including the Jockey’s claim the weights weren’t far off level.
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