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Anyone seen Willie Mullins ‘Five to Follow’ interview with Sporting Life? Not once but twice Willie mentions the Ryanair for Chacun Pour Soi. Thought it was a mistake at first but to mention this race a second time…maybe should be looking at him for this rather than Champion Chase or are the old Willie Mullins wildcard comments starting early?
Not come across that Takeyourtime. In the Sporting life pieces i’ve seen its the Champion Chase for CPS.
He’s unlikely to go surely, but with him starting off on Friday over two and a half, I had a few quid on Annamix.
Annamix 110’s
Frodon 33’sHuge Imperial Aura stan. He’ll be running here Mark don’t you worry about that. It’ll be Ryanair this year, Gold Cup next a la Imperial Commander.
Allaho’s a massive danger and would actually be the only horse I fear here hand on heart. Be interesting to see come March if Paul has the minerals to jump off Min, who I couldn’t have at this stage at least.
Real Steel @ 20/1 EW
DDS @ 22/1 EWFor me these two bets are infinitely better than Imperial Aura @ 6/1.
Real Steel looked like he needed the run to me. Were he to re-oppose Imperial Aura I am confident he could get a lot closer and perhaps win, do the price differential isn’t right there.
DDS and IA are both 7 going on 8. The formers achievements eclipse that of the latter, so at over 4 times the price, he represents the value.
I’d back IA were he a double figure price, I just think he’s too short based on what he’s actually achieved.
Real Steel is probably better going the other way round. DDS Cheltenham target unknown and been disappointing of late.
Mike – didn’t Real Steel’s Gold Cup run torpedo reservations about him going left handed? He travelled sweetly into the Gold Cup before not fully seeing out the trip (turning in he looked to be travelling the best). That was a really good run wasn’t it? (the three horses chasing him home were all rated 170+). I really like his chances for this, he has festival experience and is a decent EW price @ 20/1 IMO.
Re DDS, obviously disappointed at the Festival, but DDS has been poor a few times on seasonal reappearance (lost 26L to Lalor on seasonal debut and 17L to Lil Rockerfeller on debut), so I worry about his run LTO less – even more so after not having been right at the festival. This is important context when weighing up his health and wellbeing off his seasonal reappearance run, and I just think he’s a horse that just needs his first run. 22/1 is a big price for this IMO. At his last 3 festivals he’s gone off 2/5F, 3/1F & 5/2F. He’s a five time grade 1 winner, 2/3 at the festival, has Cheltenham form figures that read 111152114PU and will only be 8 years old next year (for some reason I think of him as older)
I can see why some will oppose as he doesn’t have a clearly defined target and a certain amount has to be taken on faith, so I completely understand why some wont bother, but this is an ante post conversation talking about ante post prices. We must try and find value, and value is often found exploring angles, going into detail, analysing trends, looking past poor seasonal reappearances etc.
It’s hard to knock your statement Mike because DDS has been ‘disappointing of late’. Whilst technically accurate, you’ve provided no context, detail or reasoning which fails IMO to add any meaningful value to an ante post discussion. Hopefully, my post has.
PS. I want people to tear down horses I fancy, oppose them with reason, make me think about things I have necessarily thought of – you obviously didn’t do that, but take your shot! You may help me change my mind and I’m not too stubborn to do so!!
That’s nonsense really, I’d already stated my reasoning. His target is unknown and he needs to come back to form. Just because I am using fewer words than you are on this occasion that doesn’t mean I am not giving my reasons. I know all his back form but he’s not for me at the moment and I have said why.
And I am not giving reasons with the intention of changing anybody’s mind I am just giving my opinion.
More words might require more time, but that generally (not always) means more detail, which means more informed decision making, which equals a more informative ante-post discussion. You call it nonsense, I call it quantifying statements with context. Anyway, let’s just agree to disagree and move on. There are better races to argue over than the Ryanair, surely.
Your responses unfortunately are sometimes ruined by snide comments. It isn’t the first time you have done it in response to my views either. I would advise that you step back and read what you are going to publish before you publish it. Not everyone will share your views all the time but it is proper to respond in the right way.
Anyway, moving swiftly on….
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