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Many Clouds 33s into 25s today ahead of presumably heading to the Reynoldstown on Saturday.
I think it just about sums up this year’s dismal crop (last year’s wasn’t a heap better) that some people think Carlingford Lough is going to win this.
This is a horse who has already run 14 times over fences and won just twice.
Await stats books being thrown out the window.
I’d say you could throw his runs before the Galway Plate out the window anyway. He seems to have ‘discovered some form’ from that run on. I’m in the Ballycasey camp but I’d rate Carlingford Lough a bigger danger than most. It doesn’t look a great year as you say and I could see Ballycasey doing a Cooldine.
I’d agree with a lot of that. Think the OP is quite harsh on CL. As THM alludes to, CL was ”underperforming” when favourite in several races, and I know from connections that he was not the easiest horse to manage last season. However, there’s no doubt in my mind that his performance beating Morning Assembly was top class. He accelerated away from a really good horse, with plenty in hand. I think he came to win the race on Sunday and would gone very close to Ballycasey.
I see very little between Ballycasey, CL and Morning Assembly and I think the quality of staying novice us actually increased considerably to what was clearly a weak crop last year.
CL at 14s could be my bet of the festival but I’ll hold my powder until I know he’s going…
Many Clouds 33s into 25s today ahead of presumably heading to the Reynoldstown on Saturday.
Backed into 16s now.
Personally thrown a few quid on O’Faolins Boy and Bright New Dawn at 33s apiece. Uninspiring top ten in the market.
Smad Place can be ruled out if Thornton is in the saddle. Ref today’s debacle and he’s already come off him in an egg and spoon race this season.
Ballycasey just taken a tumle schooling at Leoptown, Ruby got back on board and they jumped another. Not great if you’ve backed him.
Ballycasey just taken a tumle schooling at Leoptown, Ruby got back on board and they jumped another. Not great if you’ve backed him.
Was very disappointed to see this as his jumping had been so good in the Moriarty. What’s encouraging is that he pinged the fences before the fall and again flew the last having been remounted. I just hope he’s not sore in the morning as he landed a bit awkwardly but it was by no means a heavy fall.
Thought it was an interesting piece by Fitzy on the fall itself, highlighting Ruby’s position as they took off.
Really like Corrin Wood and thought this was the race McCain was leaning towards but his price indicates he may go the NHC route. Anyone any thoughts on where he might go?
I’m on Corrin Wood too. Betfair is more reliable here as they are still ante post. He’s 33-1 for the nhc.
He’s only longer odd (8-1) for the rsa compared to his price (6-1) in the nhc as the nrnb is in place and the nhc is lower class.
Corrin Wood at 11/1 with PP seems excellent value. Can’t recall seeing a novice jump Warwick with such skill – suspect that when going to his right there, he was just putting himself on the correct stride there. Will handle the faster ground too.
This lemming is following the Corrin Wood crowd.
I can’t help feeling that this looks to be one of the most open races of the Festival, so hard to really pick one out. I noticed tonight that a lot of the more favoured horses were drifting slightly in the market.
Ballycasey 11/2 > 6/1
Smad Place 7/1 > 15/2
Corrin Wood 8/1 > 9/1
O’Faolains Boy 12/1 > 14/1
Sam Winner 12/1 > 14/1The reason why I go for Corrin Wood is that he’s been in the first 3 in all his races under rules and has won his 3 chases to date.
Good luck all.
Still have no idea why people are ignoring the three from the Reynoldstown. The Morning Line didn’t even bother to give the mention or the runners a mention.
Shambles of a programme. O’Faolains Boy is likely to improve on better ground, said Becky Curtis at a Cheltenham Preview at Chepstow on Saturday.
I think O’Faolian’s Boy will prove he’s no mudlark and Just A Par will run a massive race. Nicholls horses usually run very well after a wind op and i won’t begrudge a horse one bad run during December. Should love the ground.
Always had a soft spot for Le Bec – worth an e/w flutter, I reckon.
Twitter=@PGHenn
So don't run, just like the others always do
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