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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

RSA 2020

Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 170 total)
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  • #1470618
    peter .hpeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1252

    After spending the summer watching Bright Forecast’s odds tumble from 50’s down to 25’s I’ve decided to commit to him before he drops further. I’m convinced he’s going to be a very good chaser and suspect this race will be targeted. Though I’m not sure about the logic of backing an RSA runner 5 months in advance before he’s even jumped a single fence? :wacko:

    #1470625
    MarkTTMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2707

    @Couteau

    Such an approach with novice chasers has served me very well in the past e. g with top class hurdlers by Al Namix invariably failing to attain similar heights over fences
    Freaks will get through and a sires best NH crops will often start to flourish when he reaches 8 or 9 years old, so young sires are obviously more difficult to assess

    The RSA is also a race where good value can be found throughout the winter, unlike most recent Arkles have been won by a horse smashed up in the betting fairly early on in the campaign

    #1470632
    jackh1092jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2571

    @MarkTT

    Doesn’t that make the assessment on Minella Indo much harder? Early sire?

    Don’t actually fancy him, just not sure your theory on him not being bred for the job is rock solid.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1470636
    MarkTTMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2707

    Beat Hollow is 22 and sired MI when he was 16.

    It’s a poor return over fences for a veteran sire

    #1470638
    jackh1092jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2571

    A veteren flat sire or NH sire, Mark. :wacko:

    Given Minella Indo is from his 2013 crop…..being the first NH crop actually supplied by Beat Hollow + Ballylinch i would say that’s a judgement made on little evidence.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1470653
    MarkTTMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2707

    Don’t do the crazy eyes.

    Few ( in comparison) Grade 1 winners over fences will have been sired by a horse 16 or older
    His age is far more important than the length of time he’s been covering NH mares.
    The distaff side isn’t that impressive

    #1470777
    jackh1092jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2571

    Sorry Mark wasn’t meaning to call you crazy i use that face as a confused emoji generally- not the “wacko” it’s coded as.

    OK- I suppose we’ll have to agree to disagree on that one. Not that i really fancy the horse.

    Peter.h, Bright Forecast is one i am really looking forward to. What a run at Cheltenham, and when you consider the amount of runs he’s had in his career to the likes of Champ, surely he could have more improvement.

    I like Battleoverdoyen but i do have a concern about his run at Cheltenham. Potentially could be labelled a one-off but he really ran no sort of race.

    Carefully Selected i’ve seen mentioned a lot for the NH Chase, i’d have thought his first target would be here and he’d be in with a great shout.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1472467
    Ray1891
    Participant
    • Total Posts 122

    Hi all, I’m a new member.

    Personally I’m looking at DALLAS DES PICTONS myself, I liked the Cheltenham run, useless at aintree but that was probably due to the run prior. The debut over fences at Gowran, although he had nothing much to beat its promising to me he got around safely and in heavy going. At 30-40/1 I’m having some nibbles at that, thoughts?

    #1472959
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1838

    Battleoverdoyen 25-1

    #1472962
    He Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 384

    Won’t get to see him run as I’m away walking but let me know how battle runs today …I really think he could be special , I’ve got him in a fair few doubles for the festival at 33-1

    #1472965
    jackh1092jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2571

    I’ve taken a bit of 33s on BOD too, Hills have boosted him nicely too…trading opportunity if nothing else. Not certain he’s one for Cheltenham but on the other hand, one run there isn’t enough evidence.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1472974
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1764

    Taken a small amount of 33s

    Hoping he looks a decent jumper as he has bucket loads of talent

    #1472986
    Ray1891
    Participant
    • Total Posts 122

    He just made all and done what he needed to do, very interesting GALVIN a little dissapointing

    #1472987
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17574

    Very impressive from Battleoverdoyen.

    #1472998
    He Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 384

    I cheated and checked the result during the afternoon , early days but I really like this horse , if you watched him over hurdles last year he looked akward , def built for a fence , he’s got a real engine ..the last time I was this excited was when I was holding slips for might bite in the king George at 33-1 ….. Saying the Cheltenham is a long way off

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