October 18, 2019 at 07:50 #1470618peter .hParticipant
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After spending the summer watching Bright Forecast’s odds tumble from 50’s down to 25’s I’ve decided to commit to him before he drops further. I’m convinced he’s going to be a very good chaser and suspect this race will be targeted. Though I’m not sure about the logic of backing an RSA runner 5 months in advance before he’s even jumped a single fence?October 18, 2019 at 12:59 #1470625
Such an approach with novice chasers has served me very well in the past e. g with top class hurdlers by Al Namix invariably failing to attain similar heights over fences
Freaks will get through and a sires best NH crops will often start to flourish when he reaches 8 or 9 years old, so young sires are obviously more difficult to assess
The RSA is also a race where good value can be found throughout the winter, unlike most recent Arkles have been won by a horse smashed up in the betting fairly early on in the campaignOctober 18, 2019 at 13:57 #1470632
Doesn’t that make the assessment on Minella Indo much harder? Early sire?
Don’t actually fancy him, just not sure your theory on him not being bred for the job is rock solid.
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!October 18, 2019 at 14:22 #1470636
Beat Hollow is 22 and sired MI when he was 16.
It’s a poor return over fences for a veteran sireOctober 18, 2019 at 14:26 #1470638
A veteren flat sire or NH sire, Mark.
Given Minella Indo is from his 2013 crop…..being the first NH crop actually supplied by Beat Hollow + Ballylinch i would say that’s a judgement made on little evidence.
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!October 18, 2019 at 17:50 #1470653
Don’t do the crazy eyes.
Few ( in comparison) Grade 1 winners over fences will have been sired by a horse 16 or older
His age is far more important than the length of time he’s been covering NH mares.
The distaff side isn’t that impressiveOctober 19, 2019 at 01:12 #1470777
Sorry Mark wasn’t meaning to call you crazy i use that face as a confused emoji generally- not the “wacko” it’s coded as.
OK- I suppose we’ll have to agree to disagree on that one. Not that i really fancy the horse.
Peter.h, Bright Forecast is one i am really looking forward to. What a run at Cheltenham, and when you consider the amount of runs he’s had in his career to the likes of Champ, surely he could have more improvement.
I like Battleoverdoyen but i do have a concern about his run at Cheltenham. Potentially could be labelled a one-off but he really ran no sort of race.
Carefully Selected i’ve seen mentioned a lot for the NH Chase, i’d have thought his first target would be here and he’d be in with a great shout.
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!October 24, 2019 at 23:02 #1472467Ray1891Participant
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Hi all, I’m a new member.
Personally I’m looking at DALLAS DES PICTONS myself, I liked the Cheltenham run, useless at aintree but that was probably due to the run prior. The debut over fences at Gowran, although he had nothing much to beat its promising to me he got around safely and in heavy going. At 30-40/1 I’m having some nibbles at that, thoughts?October 27, 2019 at 06:02 #1472959Mike007Participant
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Battleoverdoyen 25-1October 27, 2019 at 09:24 #1472962He Didnt Like GroundParticipant
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Won’t get to see him run as I’m away walking but let me know how battle runs today …I really think he could be special , I’ve got him in a fair few doubles for the festival at 33-1October 27, 2019 at 09:49 #1472965
I’ve taken a bit of 33s on BOD too, Hills have boosted him nicely too…trading opportunity if nothing else. Not certain he’s one for Cheltenham but on the other hand, one run there isn’t enough evidence.
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!October 27, 2019 at 12:27 #1472974FinalFurlong91Participant
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Taken a small amount of 33s
Hoping he looks a decent jumper as he has bucket loads of talentOctober 27, 2019 at 13:54 #1472986Ray1891Participant
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He just made all and done what he needed to do, very interesting GALVIN a little dissapointingOctober 27, 2019 at 14:01 #1472987Venture to CognacModerator
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Very impressive from Battleoverdoyen.October 27, 2019 at 16:56 #1472998He Didnt Like GroundParticipant
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I cheated and checked the result during the afternoon , early days but I really like this horse , if you watched him over hurdles last year he looked akward , def built for a fence , he’s got a real engine ..the last time I was this excited was when I was holding slips for might bite in the king George at 33-1 ….. Saying the Cheltenham is a long way off
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