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That’s good news, Gerald.
I’m already a huge fan of Starluck and don’t think he has anything to fear from the thirteen declared against him in the Adonis. The one real unknown is Terry Mills’s Tyrrells Wood (First Avenue will improve, but probably isn’t top class, and I don’t subscribe to the hype surrounding Excape), but fast ground would look to be a necessity for him.
I just think Alan Fleming has him exactly where he wants him at this point in time and doesn’t want to subject him to a needlessly stressful race (should the ground turn soft, for instance).
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The money is still coming for Hold Em – into 8/1 in places now – but it’s reassuring to see that Nacarat is also being backed. The front three in the market look the ones to be on (combination tricast, perhaps) with Fleet Street the only other runner to see any significant support.
Just popped into my local indpenedent bookies, and one bloke has just had 1.5k e/w on Hold Em, half at 10’s, half at 9’s.
The bloke who runs the shop took the bet, and I spoke to him after the punter had left, and he said that last time that particular chap had that mount on was Old Benny in last year’s NH Chase.
He’s a tad worried to say the least.
Sorry Equitrack, that might have been Newbury, and not Sunbury-on-Thames – when I turned my PC on this afternoon the weather tab was for Newbury.
The going is described as Good already, which I’m a bit surprised about.
Happy to take on the Fav.
My 2 are Nozic – Young, improving, beat some good horses in the Roland Meryck, can race prominantly and jump well at a strong pace, trip no problem. Good ground and right handed question marks but negated by the price 33/1 e/w
Fleet Street – Has a touch of class as evidenced by the horses he beat or ran close to in last years Jewson. Travels and jumps well, essential for Kempton, conditions should be perfect. 14/1 a good price, I reckon he’ll shorten before the race.
No worries DJ.
Afaik the latest batch of cash isn’t the tipping lines – maybe the Rhys Flint fanclub.
I like Hold Em at the price (around 13/1). Jumped badly at Cheltenham but still managed 3rd. If he jumps better will be in the mix.
Laskari has a good record at Kempton and goes well on a sound surface. 23/1 looks too big to me.
Endless Power stays a stiff 2m5f on heavy so should stay 3m on good around Kempton. Proven on good ground. May be better than his Aintree win suggests, went off at what looked a suicidal pace and was clear until late on. There are at least three other front runners in tomorrows race but at 39/1 is worth a bet.
Have had half a bet on Possol at around 14/1 looks a little over priced. Won his penultimate start before appeared not to stay at Cheltenham (had beaten the winner Mon Mome previously). This lesser test may suit.
Have saved on Big Fella Thanks (4.2/1), idles badly and could be significantly better than what he’s shown so far (difficult to know how good he is). However, has also seemed temperamental at times, so I’d rather have others as the main bets.
Mark
Value Is EverythingIt’s hard to oppose the favourite here.
He looks a class above these I think when we look back in the future he might look like handicap certainty at todays weights. 9/2 looks a huge price with Sporting Bet
Jonjo O’neill’s Fier Normand may prove a danger if there is to be one. He pretty unexposed never having completed at this distance and it may just be what he needs.He has 3 engagemnts at Cheltenam. Two over 3 miles but none of the prizes are a s big as this one today.
He was running on better than anything over 2m5f when finishing 2nd to Stan and is about 11lbs better in today. He’s 13/1 with Sporting bet which also looks a good price
Can’t see this being only a prep race for Cheltenham and I can’t see him not being in the first 4 if he stays. He only needs to finsih 4th or better to cover my bets so here’s hoping.
I’m finding this a hard race to work out. I do like Endless Power and think his run at Aintree when a little too much use was made of him could be better than it looked and the hadicapper has given him a fair chance. Wouldn’t have thought Jim Goldie sends too many jumpers down to Kempton and while thats not enough to warrant backing him, he must be taken seriously. His hurdle run at Ayr was also a lot to like and he has every chance of getting 3m round here.
Silverburn is a horse I’ve called all kind of names to and have looked to take on in the past. But while his grade 1 win was in reality only worth a decent grade 3, and he has yet to prove he stays 3m, he does look a little bit low in the weights and he has never run well at Cheltenham, so his 6th in the Paddy Power (would have been much closer without the error 2 out) is a great run on the face of it. So he is one I wouldn’t rule out either.
Stan, not just because he’s got my name, but that win on New Year’s Day was very eye catching and showed he’s still improving even at his age. Venetia’s horses are still going well and though he’s never won at the trip has placed once from his 2 tries.Like most on here I find this a race a hard one to work out. My three against the field are: Big Fella Thanks, Lacdoudal and Hold Em. I agree with others that BFT could be a lot better than he has yet shown. He is value for far more than his winning margin last time out as he idled in front. Lacdoudal ran much better last time than on his debut and has the form in the book to run a big race. Hold Em is another who could show improvement in this race. He does need to impove his jumping but I would expect connections to have worked on that. BFT is a worthy favourite and looks nailed on to be in the first four at least but I would like him to win.
Mike.Think Battlecrys last run on heavy behind the sawyer was very good considering he wouldnt have liked those conditions, his chasing record at 3 miles on good ground is pretty impressive, and on the form of his last run on good ground on a flat track at 3miles he could be well in at the weights. Fancy him most of all. My 3 against the field would be
Hold Em 11-1
Conna Castle 16-1 and
Battlecry @ 25-1Covered for safety with Possol 12-1 and Oedipe 22-1
I`ll tell you what guys,my Iron Man would have given them all something to think about,but despite being first reserve was ballotted out. He was absolutely spot on. Ce`st la vie.
…c’est la vie indeed….mange tout rodders!!..mange tout!! 
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