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Hi All,
This is going to sound really amateur but I really struggle how so many can watch races and say with absolute conviction what they believe they saw during a race. I have lost count of the times people say “X horse needs to be upped in trip” but in truth how do any of us truly know that to be the case ? Perhaps the horse benefited from a pace scenario, or was merely just enjoying being out in front (*for a change, if he is usually a back marker) In my experience a horse running on well is massively over bet next start and the value is woeful! They don’t win nearly as often as we all think either!
I digress, when I watch a race I get distracted and my eyes naturally just go straight to the leader – can I have some proper advice how to read races from those who have been doing it for years ? I’d be super grateful. Thank you.
Hi Matt,
I’ll try not to convolute the message too much.
Specifically on the trip scenario (good question btw) the first thing I’d do is look at the basic pedigree side of things.
I’m assuming you read the recent form of a horse somewhere?
If you go on to the racing post website (laptop preferably but information available on app etc) you can view the past form of the sire, dam and dam-sire.For example when Australia won the Derby a few years back he went into the race stepping up from 8 furlongs to 12f. It was widely accepted that he absolutely would stay as his sire was a derby winner and dam was an Oaks victor.
It isn’t always as easy as that though. There was a lot of debate the year Golden Horn won the Derby as to whether he would stay as the pedigree wasn’t exactly suggesting he would but from watching him and the way he won the Dante Derby trial it made sense that he would.
Also if you look at the dam you can see the others she has foaled and get a sense of what trip one might want, especially if having a full brother/sister (same sire)
Anyway, there’s a lot more that could be said on the matter but my lunch break is over (actually it was 10 minutes ago
)Hi Chivers, thank you for your response. I am talking about discerning information from watching the race live. All the seasoned pros seem to be able to draw conclusions from the race by merely watching it and I feel like a rookie still in this regard.
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