November 22, 2018 at 15:56 #1386675
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Couldn’t find a previous thread for this race.
Le Brivido has joined Aidan O’Brien and, despite his obvious frailty, looks well overpriced at 25/1. I’ve already backed him eachway for this (before the news broke on twitter). The 50/1 about Addeybb doesn’t look terrible either. These older milers are going to have to make hay before an outstanding crop of 3 year-olds emerge so I’d expect a smaller proportion of those listed to have autumn-orientated campaigns than usual.November 23, 2018 at 21:05 #1386796
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Interesting stuff, TKF. tbh Hadn’t noticed they had a Queen Anne market up yet.
If both/either Le Brivido or Addeybb get there I think you’ll have excellent bets. Just not for me. Always reluctant to back horses who’ve been off the course so often. Certainly on previous form Le Brivido is value and has won at Royal Ascot too; trouble is his price is not about form. It is all about how likely he is of making it there. Also impossible for me to have an opinion at this stage to say how much ability he’ll retain after injury. In those circumstances 12/1 might be value, your 25/1 might be value, but also 100/1 might NOT be value if only a very small chance of running. Addeybb is also great value on ability, but how likely is soft ground at that time of year? Connections will never again race him on a firm surface after what happened at Newbury. Trainer has expressed a wish to step the horse up in trip in future too.
One I like at the prices is 20/1 Century Dream for Simon Crisford’s yard. Ran an excellent race at Ascot in the QEII despite the run of the race not going for him. Looked the winner at one stage, but jockey probably went for home too far out and/or just didn’t get home over a mile on very soft ground. Still did best of those up with the pace. 3/4 length 3rd to Roaring Lion. That performance suggests to me he could improve further once returned to slightly less of a test of stamina… And we know he goes well both at Ascot and on a firm surface; beaten less than a length in this year’s Queen Anne.
Good luck TKF, this thread has made me back Century Dream, so thanks.value is everythingNovember 23, 2018 at 22:27 #1386804
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If push came to shove to have a bet now, i would prob chuck a few shillings at Lord Glitters. Older milers look thin on the ground again this yearApril 26, 2019 at 07:57 #1423097
Really great to hear this week that Barney Roy is back in action this season after failing to fire (quite literally) at stud! On the card for the Queen Anne trial next week, he was one of my favourite wins of recent times in the St James Palace 2 years ago . I can’t resist the 20/1 on Bet365 for the Queen Anne itself. I also like Without Parole in this, he’s been a bit disappointing since his SJP win last season but having also backed him that day I’ve been following him closely since and I really still wonder whether the key is just rattling quick ground. The step up in trip to the Juddmonte wasn’t ideal for him, so he never got the chance to show that SJP form again on GF. He also bolted up at Yarmouth on his second start and it was super quick that day. John Gosden did say 9-10F would be his optimum this year so I’ll be keeping the powders dry for now and watching closely, but the owners think a lot of him and a return to Ascot on GF could really suit. The other to note is surely Auxerre after his Lincoln romp. For now I’ll stick to Barney Roy as my antipost. A lot to do after a year off but apart from Beauty Generation has easily the best form. Does anyone know the latest on Beauty Generation? Is he definitely being aimed at this?
Barney Roy 20/1 Bet365April 26, 2019 at 11:01 #1423109
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Polydream for me if turning up
Looked a potential top class horse last season but had terrible luck in the foret then at the breeders cup
This division is very weak, beauty generation aside, she has the potential to be better than these lot if she can stay a mile
Money will be staying in my pocket till we see her running over a mile, freddy head has said she will reappear over that trip so it will be worth watchingMay 1, 2019 at 16:21 #1430222
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Canvassed @ 33/1 e/w
Runs today in the trial for the race. Hopeful of a big run. Think he’s special.May 1, 2019 at 17:29 #1430251
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I CAN FLY 20/1
Put her up in my thread and when you think horses who show form at Ascot can repeat back here again of those older milers in Europe could say got best form that was 2nd behind Roaring Lion last year while recent runs not great could be a staright 1m back at this venue what she needs.May 1, 2019 at 18:40 #1430281
Haven’t seen it but looked a good first run back from Barney Roy today pulling 3L clear of the third. Will surely come on for that and hopefully give CA the confidence to run in the Queen Anne having previously said he wouldnt be campaigned at group 1 this year . 20/1 all gone nowMay 15, 2019 at 17:43 #1438005
Barney Roy now 10/1 Joint Fav with William Hill I noticed todayMay 15, 2019 at 18:00 #1438006
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I’m on Le Brivido at 16s for this.
Hopefully be favourite after saturdays Lockinge.May 16, 2019 at 07:52 #1438175
- Total Posts 874
As the opening post of this thread suggests, I’ve been mad keen on Le Brivido for this since last season (well, more accurately since his Jersey Stakes win). Gutted about the debacle of last season but this looks the logical target now with Moore booked for the Lockinge on Saturday. Also, Olmedo would be interesting if turning up here, think he’s getting back to his best now.May 16, 2019 at 08:33 #1438177
- Total Posts 1927
I too am on Le Brivido at 25s after his eye-catching run first time out for AOB.
He’ll be an interesting watch here, as at one stage i thought he had the potential to be top drawer. Hopefully he’s still got that potential.
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!May 18, 2019 at 12:31 #1439225
Added Without Parole at 16/1 before the lockhingeMay 22, 2019 at 21:02 #1440146
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Barney Roy declared to run 6pm longchamp tomorrowMay 22, 2019 at 21:45 #1440148
AH yes thanks for the heads up FF. hmmm not sure about the soft ground for him?
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